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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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10/9 in my last J1 league bets🎯🎯🎯

2023-07-22

比赛分析

日职

已完赛

星期六2023-06-03 13:00

解读理由

In my opinion Kawasaki have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.


Kawasaki have strong mental advantage before this game as they won last 3 consecutive matches against Kobe and they didn't lost against them in last 7 in a row. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with Kawasaki 1:0 win.


Kawasaki started slow, but currently they are in very good shape - they didn't lost in 8 of last 9 matches in all competitions (7 wins in the process). In last round Kawasaki played on away against title defenders Yokohama Marinos and recorded really valuable 1:0 win. That was fully deserved win: expected goals scored for Kawasaki 2.63, for Marinos 1.22. For sure that was huge boost of confidence and they wants to go with momentum.


Vissel won 3 of last 4 league matches, but results looks better than really should. In two matches they had lower expected goals scored number than opponents, in next two little bit higher (1.31 vs 0.96 & 1.67 vs 1.00). Vissel is higher in league table than Kawasaki, but according to the expected goals scored/conceded model they playing very close to each other. Kobe have 31.8 expected goals scored, Kawasaki 28.2. Kobe have 23.4 expected goals conceded, Kawasaki have 22.9.


Both teams on very similar level, but Kawasaki have mental advantage before this game and they also have momentum on their side. That should be enough to avoid loss here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,川崎在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。


川崎在这场比赛之前有很强的心理优势,他们在最近3场比赛中赢了科比,并且在最近7场比赛中没有输过。两队在这个体育场的上一场比赛以川崎队1:0获胜告终。


川崎起步很慢,但是现在他们状态很好——最近9场比赛中8场没有输(7场胜利)。上一轮川崎客场对阵卫冕冠军横滨马里诺斯,并取得了非常宝贵的1:0胜利。这是一场完全应得的胜利:川崎的预期进球数为2.63,马里诺斯为1.22。毫无疑问,这极大地增强了他们的信心,他们想要继续前进。


维塞尔在过去的4场联赛中赢了3场,但结果看起来比实际要好。在两场比赛中,他们的预期进球数低于对手,在接下来的两场比赛中,他们的预期进球数略高于对手(1.31比0.96和1.67比1.00)。维塞尔在联赛排名上比川崎高,但根据预期进球数/失球数模型,他们的表现非常接近。科比预期进球31.8个,川崎28.2个。科比有23.4个预期失球,川崎有22.9个。


两支球队的水平非常相似,但川崎在这场比赛前有心理优势,他们也有动力。这应该足够避免损失了。

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