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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2023-07-13

比赛分析

墨超

已完赛

星期五2023-07-14 09:05

解读理由

Santos Laguna VS Atlas


Santos Laguna welcome Atlas for this Liga MX Apertura round 3 at Estadio Corona in Torreón Friday morning Beijing time. This league is one of the best in America and football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a pretty high-level game here. By this league's standards a match of mediocre quality is on the cards between these two mediocre teams. This league is, on average, more high-scoring than for example the Brazilian Serie A or the Argentinian Liga Pro. However, in this game, based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis the goal expectancy is lower than the betting market estimates. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 54%. The visitors often play well-organized and pretty defensive football on the road. The hosts must realize how dangerous Atlas are on the counter attacks and I expect them to avoid massive offensive risks.. Furthermore, the draw would certainly not surprise anyone. The probability of this result is 31%. Both teams have three points to their account. However, Atlas have looked better as a whole on the pitch so far. They have a score difference of 2:1. Santos Laguna, on the other hand, have netted the ball three times and allowed four goals in this league so far. The biggest, sometimes somewhat sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers soo the host as solid favorites, offering them odds of around 2.35-2.40 to take all three points. I must disagree and see the visitors as narrow favorites here! This means that Atlas +0.5 goals handicap is the smart bet here with a good chance of winning. My fans and I have done very well betting on this Mexican football and To understand the teams' pure class we have to take a look at Liga MX Clausura which finished this spring.

In Clausura Santos Laguna finished in 19th place with 19 points. However, their score difference was abysmal – 23:37 to be precise. Indeed, they had a lot of defensive problems. The same seems to be the case at the moment as well.. In this area of the game Atlas have a massive edge. They conceded just 21 goals in Apertura. However, they do lack some speed and creativity in offense. Even so, I trust their players and good coach to improve this area of the game. They scored 16 goals in Clausura but their number of expected goals (xG) was 22.12. Santos Laguna do have a decent offense and they scored 23 goals but their number of xG was just 21.34. However, I expect them to be a little more effective on the offense in Apertura. To sum up, in this area of the game the teams are more or less equal. Santos Laguna took a deserved win over Puable in their latest game winning 3-2 away from home after a very entertaining game. However, Puabla's defense was a mess in this game and this game does not reflect Santos Laguna's offensive class correctly. Before this they were very disappointing at home against Quaretaro losing 0-2. They were very clear favorites in this game – priced around 1.65 to win by the bookies. They recorded just 0.29 in xG! Atlas lost to Monterrey, a pretty good team, in their latest game 0-1 away from home. They were clear underdogs in this clash. However, they recorded many more goal attempts (15-6) and allowed the hosts just one shot on goal. Both teams generated 0.85 in xG. Before this they easily beat Cruz Azul at home recording 2.65 in xG! The visitors managed just 0.45



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桑托斯拉古纳VS阿特拉斯


北京时间周五上午Torreón,桑托斯拉古纳欢迎阿特拉斯参加西甲联赛第三轮。这个联赛是美国最好的联赛之一,足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场相当高水平的比赛。按照这个联盟的标准,这两支平庸的球队之间的比赛将是一场平庸的比赛。平均而言,这个联赛比巴西的意甲联赛或阿根廷的职业联赛得分更高。然而,在这场比赛中,根据我复杂的、强有力的基于数据的分析,预期进球低于博彩市场的估计。总进球数少于2.5个的概率为54%。客队在客场经常踢出组织严密、防守严密的足球。东道主必须意识到阿特拉斯的反击有多危险,我希望他们避免大规模的进攻风险。此外,抽签结果肯定不会让任何人感到意外。这个结果的概率是31%。两队各得三分。然而,到目前为止,阿特拉斯在球场上整体上看起来更好。他们的比分相差2:1。另一方面,桑托斯·拉古纳目前在联赛中取得了3次进球,丢了4个球。最大的,有时有些狡猾的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注,因此主持人是可靠的最爱,提供大约2.35-2.40的赔率来获得所有三个点。我必须不同意,认为游客在这里是狭窄的最爱!这意味着阿特拉斯+0.5个进球障碍是一个聪明的赌注,有很好的获胜机会。我和我的球迷都很看好这支墨西哥足球,为了了解这支球队的实力,我们必须看看今年春天结束的西甲联赛。

在克劳苏拉-桑托斯站,拉古纳以19分排名第19。然而,他们的得分差距非常大——准确地说是23:37。事实上,他们的防守有很多问题。目前的情况似乎也是如此。在游戏的这个领域,阿特拉斯拥有巨大的优势。他们在阿珀图拉只丢了21个球。然而,他们在进攻端确实缺乏一些速度和创造力。即便如此,我还是相信他们的球员和优秀的教练能够改善这方面的比赛。他们在克劳苏拉打进16球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)为22.12。桑托斯拉古纳确实有一个不错的进攻,他们打进了23球,但他们的xG数只有21.34。然而,我希望他们在Apertura的进攻中能更有效一点。总而言之,在游戏的这一领域,团队或多或少是平等的。在一场非常有趣的比赛后,桑托斯-拉古纳在客场以3-2战胜普阿布尔,赢得了一场应得的胜利。然而,这场比赛普亚布拉的防守一团糟,这场比赛并没有正确反映桑托斯拉古纳的进攻水平。在此之前,他们在主场0-2输给了夸雷塔罗,表现非常令人失望。在这场比赛中,他们是非常明显的热门——博彩公司开出的赔率在1.65左右。他们在xG中只记录了0.29 !阿特拉斯队在最近一场客场0-1输给了一支相当不错的球队蒙特雷队。在这场冲突中,他们显然处于劣势。然而,他们的进球次数更多(15-6),只给东道主一次射门机会。两支球队在xG上的得分都是0.85。在此之前,他们在主场以2.65的成绩轻松击败了克鲁兹·阿祖尔!游客们只拿到了0.45分

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