Very important info for this game
2023-07-13
比赛分析
解读理由
In my opinion Los Angeles have all required tools to make 3 points in today’s match up.
Los Angeles today will play last home game before one month break without matches at home so I’m sure there is big motivation to break bad streak and win front of home crowd. Also it’s important to keep home ground for play off matches later.
Los Angeles in last round failed to win at home against San Jose, but that wasn’t deserved result at all: expected goals scored for LA 1.73, for San Jose 0.57. LA so far won 6 of 11 home matches, but they played better than results shows. They scored 19 goals, but they should score 20.85. They conceded 12 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede only 7.14. Today all key players are available and I expect high quality performance.
On the other hand St. Louis is big surprise of the season, but their results looks much better than really should. Today guests with serious squad problems. Their best player in current season (according to the ratings) Lowen is very doubtful. Best assistant Stroud is unavailable, same as second-best scorer Klauss. It’s huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.
On those circumstances I see very good chances for hosts to make important win at home ground.
该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
在我看来,在今天的比赛中,湖人已经具备了得到三分的所有必要条件。
今天湖人队将在一个月没有主场比赛的假期前进行最后一场主场比赛,所以我相信他们有很大的动力去打破连败,在主场观众面前获胜。同样重要的是要保持主场为以后的比赛。
上一轮洛杉矶未能在主场战胜圣何塞,但这根本不应该是这样的结果:洛杉矶的预期进球数为1.73,圣何塞为0.57。到目前为止,湖人队在11场主场比赛中赢了6场,但他们的表现比结果要好。他们进了19球,但他们应该进20.85球。他们丢了12个球,但根据预期丢球模型,他们只丢了7.14个。今天所有的关键球员都可以上场,我期待着高质量的表现。
另一方面,圣路易斯是本赛季的一大惊喜,但他们的结果看起来比实际情况要好得多。今天的客人有严重的球队问题。他们本赛季最好的球员(根据评分)罗文非常值得怀疑。最佳助理斯特劳德不在,第二得分手克劳斯也不在。这是一个巨大的打击,应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。
在这种情况下,我认为东道主很有可能在主场取得重要的胜利。
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