In my opinion Monagas have really good chances to avoid big loss in today’s match up.

First match between both teams finished with draw 0:0 – that was very close match: expected goals scored for Monagas 0.48, for Boca Juniors 0.68. I expect another close encounter today.

Boca Juniors have first place in this group, even with loss today. Their motivation is under big question mark especially with upcoming league game at Monday. I expect big rotation in squad and that should have very bad impact on their performance today. For sure today they will play without 3 key players: defenders Rojo and Advincula and winger Langoni. Boca failed to win with 2 goals difference in last 7 matches in a row and they coming with low confidence after 0:4 loss against Godoy Cruz in last league game on away.

Of course, Monagas is worse team than Boca, but they still have huge chances to finish on third place in this group and I’m sure guests today will give absolutely everything to avoid loss. I expect very defensive tactic and that not will be easy nut to crack.

Monagas +1.5 AH looks like good option to play.

在我看来，莫纳加斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。

两队的第一场比赛以0:0结束，这是一场非常接近的比赛:莫纳加斯的预期进球数为0.48，博卡青年队的预期进球数为0.68。我期待今天又一次近距离接触。

博卡青年队在小组中排名第一，尽管今天输球了。他们的动力是一个很大的问号，特别是在周一即将到来的联赛。我期待着阵容的大轮换，这将对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。可以肯定的是，今天他们将在没有三名关键球员的情况下比赛:后卫罗霍和阿德温库拉以及边锋兰戈尼。博卡在最近7场比赛中以2球的差距未能取胜，在上一场客场0:4输给戈多伊克鲁兹后，他们信心不足。

当然，莫纳加斯是一支比博卡更糟糕的球队，但他们仍然有很大的机会以小组第三的身份结束比赛，我相信今天的客人绝对会尽一切努力避免输球。我期待非常防守的战术，这将不是一个容易解决的问题。

莫纳加斯+1.5 AH看起来是个不错的选择。