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Deep analysis, great chance 解放者杯 瓜亚基尔VS波特诺

2023-06-29

比赛分析

解放者杯

已完赛

星期五2023-06-30 08:00

解读理由

The Estadio Monumental will be the setting for an intriguing clash as Ecuadorian side Barcelona SC hosts Paraguayan outfit Cerro Porteno in their final group match of the Copa Libertadores. While both teams are unable to progress to the knockout rounds, securing a victory would ensure a third-place finish and qualification for the Copa Sudamericana.

Barcelona SC has experienced a challenging period since the resignation of head coach Fabian Bustos earlier this month. Under interim boss Pablo Trobbiani, the team has managed just one win in their last three games. Although they ended a four-game losing streak with a 2-1 victory against Guayaquil City in the LigaPro, they suffered another defeat by the same scoreline at home to Universidad Catolica.

After finishing at the top of the first-round table last year, Barcelona had to settle for fourth place this season. While their focus is on kick-starting the second-round phase positively, securing third place in Group C of the Copa Libertadores is their immediate objective. A draw in this match will be sufficient for Barcelona to maintain their position due to their slightly better goal difference.

Barcelona will be eager to avenge their 2-1 loss to Cerro Porteno in their previous encounter. However, their home form has been inconsistent, with three defeats in their last five matches across all competitions. They will rely on the likes of Damian Diaz, the captain operating in the number 10 role, and Francisco Fydriszewski, who displayed his scoring prowess with a brace against Palmeiras.

Cerro Porteno, on the other hand, started their campaign strongly with ten wins in thirteen matches between March and April. However, they have struggled to maintain that form and have won only two of their last ten games. Having had a 19-day break, they will be eager to return to winning ways and build momentum ahead of the Clausura.

Manager Facundo Sava will be looking for improved performances from his side, especially in away matches. Cerro Porteno has suffered defeat in their last four away games, including both of their Copa Libertadores group-stage matches against Palmeiras and Bolivar. To secure a third-place finish and secure their spot in the Copa Sudamericana, Cerro Porteno must end this winless streak on the road.

In terms of team news, Barcelona will be without midfielder Luis Arce due to a long-term knee injury. However, Leonai is available for selection despite receiving two yellow cards in their previous LigaPro match. The team's defensive setup, with Carlos Rodriguez or Joshue Quinonez partnering Luca Sosa at center-back, and the goalkeeping choice between Victor Mendoza and Javier Burrai, will be decisions for Trobbiani.

For Cerro Porteno, Gabriel Baez is expected to return to the starting lineup after serving a one-match continental ban. The attacking duo of Diego Churin and Claudio Aquino, who excelled in the previous victory over Barcelona, will likely play key roles once again.


With pride and a place in the Copa Sudamericana at stake, both Barcelona SC and Cerro Porteno will be eager to end their Copa Libertadores campaign on a high note. The clash promises to be a fascinating battle between two determined sides seeking redemption and a positive result.

I believe the visitors could be closer to the victory as their form indicates, and the odds I expected here are 1.50. Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

纪念球场将上演一场有趣的比赛,厄瓜多尔球队巴塞罗那SC将在解放者杯小组赛的最后一场比赛中迎战巴拉圭球队塞罗·波特诺。虽然两支球队都无法进入淘汰赛,但如果取得一场胜利,将确保他们获得第三名,并获得参加南美杯的资格。

自本月早些时候主教练法比安·布斯托斯辞职以来,巴塞罗那俱乐部经历了一段充满挑战的时期。在临时主帅帕布罗·特罗比亚尼的带领下,球队在最近三场比赛中只取得了一场胜利。虽然他们在西甲联赛中以2比1战胜瓜亚基尔城,结束了4连败,但他们在主场再次以同样的比分输给了天主教大学。

在去年第一轮排名第一之后,巴塞罗那本赛季只能屈居第四。虽然他们的重点是积极地开始第二轮比赛,但确保解放者杯C组第三名是他们的直接目标。这场比赛的平局将足以让巴萨保持他们的位置,因为他们的净胜球略好一些。

巴塞罗那将急于为他们在上一场比赛中2-1输给波特诺报仇。然而,他们的主场状态一直不稳定,最近五场比赛中有三场失利。他们将依靠达米安·迪亚兹(Damian Diaz)和弗朗西斯科·费德里舍夫斯基(Francisco Fydriszewski)这样的球员,后者担任10号队长,在对阵帕尔梅拉斯的比赛中,费德里舍夫斯基展示了他的进球能力。

另一方面,波特诺在3月到4月的13场比赛中取得了10场胜利。然而,他们很难保持这种状态,在过去的10场比赛中只赢了两场。有了19天的休息,他们将渴望回到胜利的道路上,并在克劳绍拉之前建立动力。

主教练法昆多·萨瓦希望球队能有更好的表现,尤其是在客场比赛中。波特诺在最近的四场客场比赛中都遭遇了失败,包括他们在解放者杯小组赛对阵帕尔梅拉斯和玻利瓦尔的两场比赛。为了确保获得第三名,并确保他们在南美杯的席位,Porteno必须结束这一连胜。

球队方面,由于长期的膝伤,巴塞罗那中场路易斯·阿尔塞将缺阵。然而,莱昂内虽然在上一场联赛中吃了两张黄牌,但仍然可以入选。球队的防守阵型是卡洛斯·罗德里格斯或乔舒亚·奎诺尼斯与卢卡·索萨搭档担任中后卫,门将是维克多·门多萨和哈维尔·伯拉伊,这些都将由特罗比亚尼决定。

对于波特诺来说,贝兹有望在禁赛一场后重返首发阵容。迭戈·丘林和克劳迪奥·阿基诺的进攻组合,在上一场战胜巴塞罗那的比赛中表现出色,可能会再次发挥关键作用。


带着骄傲和南美杯的席位,巴塞罗那俱乐部和波特诺俱乐部都渴望在解放者杯结束他们的征程。这场冲突注定是一场引人入胜的战斗,双方决心坚定,寻求救赎和积极的结果。

我相信客队可以更接近胜利,因为他们的状态表明,我在这里预计的赔率是1.50。好运!

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