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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A fine match to bet on! 欧青赛 瑞士21VS意大利21

2023-06-26

比赛分析

欧青U21

已完赛

星期一2023-06-26 00:00

解读理由

Switzerland U21 VS Italy U21


Switzerland U21 and Italy U21 lock horns in this EURO U21 round 2 clash at Cluj Arena in Cluj-Napocan. The football fans and us serious football bettors who are aiming to make a long-term profit can expect a pretty good level clash here by U21 standards. The stakes are very high here – especially for Italy who really need points here. I expect them to even take some risks if the score is level late into the second half. However, there is a very clear difference in pure class between the two teams – bigger than the recent results would suggest. Italy were pretty dominant in the Qualifying in the Qualifying Group F and topped it without losing a single game! They netted the ball 19 times in 10 games and allowed just five goals! The Swiss, on the other hand, finished in second place in Qualifying Group E with 23 points behind the Netherlands. They too achieved mostly good results but I want to highlight that the group was pretty easy. Moldova U21 finished in third place with a very bad goal difference of 7:12. The Swiss cannot match Germany in any area of the game. The Italians have the biggest edge over the opponent in defensive quality. If they defend the way they did in the qualification phase I would not be at all surprised if Switzerland were to fail to score even once. Even so, Italy can - and most probably improve even further in this area of the game. Furthermore, their offensive players are much more talented individuals than those of the Swiss and their offensive structure/formation is also better and has more variations.

 We shouldn't let their most recent match fool us! They lost to a very strong team, France U21, 1-2 as underdogs in the betting market. The French team were solid favorites – priced around 2.35 to take all three points. Even so, Italy recorded many more goal attempts (16-10), shots on goal, shots off target as well as attacks. They would have deserved at least a draw! They must be very annoyed by this loss and I'm sure their excellent coach can motivate his men – and create a great tactic for this clash against the Swiss! Before this defeat the Italians comfortably swept past Serbia U21 on the 24th of March and Ukraine U21 3-1, and three days before over Serbia U21 2-0. The Swiss beat Norway in the opening round 2-1 and were not bad but still did not fully deserve the three points. The Norwegians had 51% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal, attacks (127-56) and dangerous attacks 79-35. Despite the fact that we cannot say that the win was massively lucky it is still very clear that the Swiss team were over-rated on the betting market – priced around 2.40 to win. The same seems to be true against Italy as well! The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Italy U21 odds of around 1.80 to win and that is too high! They have a 63% chance to take all three points.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

瑞士U21对阵意大利U21


瑞士U21和意大利U21将在欧洲杯U21第二轮在克卢日纳波坎的克卢日竞技场展开对决。以U21标准来看,球迷和我们这些想要长期获利的严肃的足球投注者可以期待一场相当精彩的比赛。这里的利害关系非常高,尤其是对真正需要积分的意大利来说。我希望他们能在下半场扳平比分的情况下冒一些风险。然而,两支球队在纯粹的等级上存在非常明显的差异——比最近的结果所显示的要大。意大利在预选赛F组的比赛中占据了绝对优势,并且一场未输。他们在10场比赛中射门19次,只丢了5个球!另一方面,瑞士人在预选赛E组以落后荷兰队23分的成绩排名第二。他们也大多取得了不错的成绩,但我想强调的是,这个小组相当容易。摩尔多瓦U21排名第三,净胜球差7:12。瑞士队在比赛的任何领域都无法与德国队匹敌。意大利人在防守质量上比对手有最大的优势。如果他们像预选赛阶段那样防守,即使瑞士队一球未进,我也不会感到惊讶。即便如此,意大利还是可以——而且很有可能在这方面做得更好。此外,他们的进攻球员比瑞士人更有天赋,他们的进攻结构/阵型也更好,有更多的变化。

我们不应该让他们最近的比赛欺骗我们!在博彩市场上,他们以1比2输给了一支非常强大的球队——法国U21。法国队是最受欢迎的球队,他们的价格在2.35分左右,可以包揽全部三分。尽管如此,意大利队的进球次数(16-10次)、射正、射偏以及进攻次数都要多得多。他们至少应该得到一场平局!他们一定对这场失利非常恼火,我相信他们优秀的教练可以激励他的队员,并为这场对阵瑞士的比赛创造一个伟大的战术!在这场失利之前,意大利队在3月24日轻松击败塞尔维亚U21和乌克兰U21,三天前以2:0击败塞尔维亚U21。瑞士队在首场比赛中以2比1击败了挪威队,表现不错,但仍然没有完全配得上三分。挪威队有51%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数、射门次数、进攻次数(127比56)和危险进攻次数(79比35)。尽管我们不能说这场胜利是非常幸运的,但很明显瑞士队在博彩市场上被高估了——胜率约为2.40。意大利似乎也是如此!最大的,有时相当敏锐的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注,提供意大利U21的赔率约为1.80,这太高了!他们有63%的机会拿到全部三分。

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