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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 芬兰杯 埃尔维斯VSKPV科高拉

2023-06-22

比赛分析

芬兰杯

已完赛

星期四2023-06-22 23:00

解读理由

Ilves vs KPV


Ilves welcome visitors from the small city of Kokkola at Ratina Stadion for this Finnish Cup 1/8-final clash late Thursday evening Beijing time. By European standards we cannot expect a very high-level game here.. However, we have yet another betting opportunity on Finnish football! The hosts play in Veikkausliiga, the first tier of Finland. They are currently in 7th place in the standings with 14 points to their account after 11 matches. I want to mention that some teams in Veikkausliiga have played 13 games already. Their number of expected points (xPTS) they have, however, been unlucky – especially recently. They would have deserved 16.78 points. They have improved their level of football significantly from early season but the actual results do not really reflect this improvement. This is probably the main reason for Ilves being undervalued here! They have now played three draws in a row. In their most recent match they faced a dangerous team, Honka, who are in 4th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Ilves were the underdogs in this game according to the bookies - priced around 2.85 to win. It was a 1-1 draw at home but Ilves would have deserved a narrow win. They had 57% ball possession and recorded more shots on and off goal, goal attempts (10-4), attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they were not ast their best away from home against Haka but took a 1-1 draw. Before this they were very unlucky not to take all three points at home against FC Lahti – it was a 2-2 draw. Ilves recorded many more shots on and off goal, goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they took two fine wins! They are unlikely to finish in top-4 in Veikkausliiga which would bring them a place in the UEFA Conference League qualification next season. However, they could earn this by winning the Finnish Cup and are surely motivated here. Some squad rotation is expected here form Ilves but they have many hungry young, talented players to choose from. These players are much better than any KPV player!

KPV play in Ykkönen, the second-highest tier of Finnish football. Teams in this league have significantly lower players’ salary budgets than any Veikkausliiga club. This is the case here as well. In terms of players’ total market value according to a German website, Transfermarkt.com, too Ilves are at a completely different level than KPV! KPV cannot match KuPS in any area of the game here – not even close! They are the rock-bottom team in Ykkönen with a pathetic seven points to their account. Yes, they have improved a little lately taking two draws in their latest two games. However, their offense is very lame – they have netted the ball just six times in Ykkönen this season! Furthermore, according to my sources their team level is far from great at the moment. I also want to highlight that the difference between Veikkausliiga and Ykkönen is massive. In Ykkönen most players are not even professional footballers! KPV will surely defend very hard here and this match is unlikely to be a super-clear win for Ilves. Even so, Ilves has so much offensive talent and a more fit squad that I expect them to score at least twice here! Odds of around 1.65 are offered on the Ilves -1.5 goals handicap option by the biggest bookies that offer the biggest betting limits. My sophisticated, strongly data-based estimation on Ilves to win by a margin of at least two goals is 69%.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

伊尔维斯vs波兰人民党


北京时间周四晚,芬兰杯1/8决赛将在拉蒂纳体育场举行,届时我将欢迎来自小城市科科拉的游客。按照欧洲的标准,我们不可能期待一场高水平的比赛。然而,我们还有另一个赌芬兰足球的机会!东道主将在芬兰的一级联赛维考斯利加(Veikkausliiga)比赛。在11场比赛后,他们以14分的积分排名第7位。我想说的是,有些球队已经踢了13场比赛了。然而,他们的预期分数(xPTS)一直不太走运——尤其是最近。他们应该得到16.78分。他们的足球水平比赛季初有了很大的提高,但实际结果并没有真正反映出这种提高。这可能是伊尔维斯在这里被低估的主要原因!他们已经连续打了三场平局。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们面对的是一支危险的球队,Honka,他们在我的实力排名中排名第四,这反映了球队的纯粹水平。根据博彩公司的说法,我在这场比赛中处于劣势,赢球的价格约为2.85英镑。虽然主场1-1战平,但伊尔维斯本应以微弱优势取胜。他们有57%的控球率,记录了更多的射门和射门次数,进球次数(10-4),进攻和危险进攻。在此之前,他们在客场对阵哈卡的比赛中并没有表现出最好的状态,但最终以1-1战平。在此之前,他们很不幸在主场对阵拉赫蒂的比赛中没能全取三分,打成了2比2的平局。伊尔维斯记录了更多的正场外射门、进球尝试、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前,他们取得了两场漂亮的胜利!他们不太可能在维克考斯利加联赛中排名前四,这将使他们在下赛季获得欧洲联盟联赛资格。然而,他们可以通过赢得芬兰杯来获得这一荣誉,并且肯定会受到激励。从伊尔维斯开始,球队会有一些轮换,但他们有很多渴望的年轻有天赋的球员可供选择。这些玩家比任何pv玩家都强!

KPV在Ykkönen踢球,这是芬兰足球的第二梯队。在这个联赛中,球队的球员工资预算明显低于任何一家维克考斯利亚俱乐部。这也是这里的情况。根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的总市场价值而言,伊尔夫和个人价值完全不同!KPV在比赛的任何领域都无法匹敌——甚至差得远!他们是Ykkönen排名垫底的球队,只有可怜的7分。是的,他们在最近的两场比赛中取得了两场平局。然而,他们的进攻很差劲——他们本赛季Ykkönen只进了6次球!此外,根据我的消息来源,他们的团队水平目前还远远不够好。我还想强调的是,维克考斯利加和Ykkönen之间的区别是巨大的。在Ykkönen,大多数球员甚至不是职业足球运动员!人民党肯定会在这里努力防守,这场比赛对伊尔维斯来说不太可能是一个超级明显的胜利。即便如此,伊尔维斯拥有如此多的进攻天赋和更加健康的阵容,我希望他们在这里至少能进两个球!伊尔维斯-1.5球障碍选项的赔率约为1.65,由提供最大投注限额的最大博彩公司提供。我对伊尔维斯以至少两个球的优势获胜的预测是69%。

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