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外籍分析师
塞尔维亚职业体育高手,精通欧洲足球,已有15年足球分析经验。
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Who will prevail in Helsinki? 欧预赛 芬兰VS斯洛文尼

2023-06-16

比赛分析

欧预赛

已完赛

星期六2023-06-17 00:00

解读理由

A capacity crowd will fill Helsinki's Olympic Stadium, eagerly supporting Finland as they strive to dethrone Group H leaders Slovenia in the third matchday of the UEFA Euro 2024 qualifying campaign. Finland's opening two away matches in March yielded mixed results (one win, one loss), but they now have a crucial advantage as both upcoming games will be played on home soil. This favorable circumstance presents an excellent opportunity for Finland to gain momentum and emulate their previous campaign's heroic feat of securing their first-ever major tournament qualification.


The success of their previous campaign was largely attributed to their formidable performance at home, where they secured an impressive four victories out of five matches, with only a single loss. Notably, Finland managed to keep a clean sheet in each of these victories, indicating their defensive strength. Furthermore, they remain undefeated in the two previous head-to-head encounters with Slovenia, registering one win and one draw. The solitary triumph came at a home venue, further highlighting Finland's prowess when playing in front of their passionate supporters.


Slovenia, aiming to compete with Europe's finest in the main tournament for the first time since 2000, has enjoyed a promising start to this qualification campaign, securing back-to-back wins. These victories have extended their unbeaten streak to eight matches (five wins, three draws), putting them on the cusp of equaling their longest-ever unbeaten run. A triumph in this match would not only set a new national record of five consecutive wins but also serve as a significant milestone for the team.


However, coach Matjaž Kek is aware of his side's recent struggles on the road in this competition. With only three victories in their last ten away Euro qualifiers and six losses to their name, Slovenia faces a challenging task in securing consecutive away Euro qualifying victories for the first time in over 24 years. This statistic suggests that Slovenia cannot be considered a guaranteed winner in this match and will face strong resistance from the determined Finnish team.


My honest opinion is 2.1 odds for Finland to win are simply too good. I choose Finland as my favorite to win here, as the odds also suggest. Good luck!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

赫尔辛基奥林匹克体育场将座无虚席,热情支持芬兰队在2024年欧洲杯预选赛的第三场比赛中击败H组第一的斯洛文尼亚队。芬兰队3月份的首场客场比赛结果好坏参半(一胜一负),但他们现在有一个关键的优势,因为接下来的两场比赛都将在本土进行。这种有利的环境为芬兰提供了一个极好的机会,可以获得动力,并模仿他们上一届的英雄壮举,确保他们第一次获得重大赛事资格。


他们上一赛季的成功很大程度上归功于他们在主场的出色表现,他们在五场比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的四场胜利,只有一场失利。值得注意的是,芬兰队在这些胜利中都保持了零封,这表明了他们的防守实力。此外,他们在之前两次与斯洛文尼亚的交锋中保持不败,取得了1胜1平的成绩。这场唯一的胜利是在主场取得的,在他们热情的支持者面前,这进一步凸显了芬兰队的实力。


斯洛文尼亚的目标是自2000年以来首次在主要赛事中与欧洲最好的球队竞争,他们在预选赛中取得了一个有希望的开局,取得了背靠背的胜利。这些胜利将他们的不败纪录扩大到8场(5胜3平),即将追平他们历史上最长的不败纪录。如果在这场比赛中获胜,不仅将创造五连胜的新全国纪录,而且将成为球队的一个重要里程碑。


然而,主教练凯克意识到他的球队在最近的比赛中表现不佳。斯洛文尼亚在过去的10场欧洲杯预选赛中只取得了3场胜利,并且在他们的名单上输了6场,他们面临着一项艰巨的任务,这是24年来第一次连续取得欧洲杯预选赛的客场胜利。这一数据表明,斯洛文尼亚在这场比赛中并不是绝对的赢家,他们将面临意志坚定的芬兰队的强大抵抗。


我的诚实观点是,芬兰赢球的几率是2.1,这实在是太好了。根据赔率,我认为芬兰队最有可能在这里获胜。好运!

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