Finland welcome Slovenia at the Helsinki Olympic Stadium in the third round of matches from Group H in the 2024 European Championship qualifiers on Friday evening. Both countries remain very much in the hunt for qualification, having picked up vital victories on matchday two, and a tight contest is expected in what should prove a keenly contested affair in beautiful Helsinki. Boasting a 100% record after two matches, Slovenia find themselves at the top of Group H – three points clear of Finland, Denmark, Kazakhstan and Northern Ireland. Slovenia are coming into this match off of back of their 2-0 victory over San Marino in their second group qualifier match back in March. Finland on the same note were victorious over Northern Ireland in the last round of qualifier matches to get their campaign back on track, after losing their opening match away at Denmark. They are currently trailing Slovenia by three points, and two places below them in the third place. Ranked 56th and 62nd respectively, there seems little to choose between these nations and In what looks to be a very open Group H. This contest could prove vital in determining who will qualify from this group. I am expecting a win or a draw for Slovenia for the following reasons:

Firstly. It is fair to say that Finland's qualifying campaign did not get off to the best of starts as they suffered a 3-1 defeat to Denmark back in March, with highly-rated Atalanta youngster Rasmus Hojlund netting a hat-trick. However, they bounced back three days later, claiming a 1-0 victory over Northern Ireland at Windsor Park. They also stuttered in their Uefa Nations League campaign, claiming only one win in the last four matches of the Nations League, while losing two of them. Their record in the last eight games in all competitions stands at just three wins and three defeats. When you look at the bigger picture, they have only managed to win three of their previous 15 matches across all competitions, scoring more than one goal on just three occasions during that period.

Secondly. On the other hand, Slovenia could not have wished for a better start to their Euro 2024 qualifying campaign, as they head into the third round of matches with a three-point lead over the four teams below them, and a six-point lead over minnows San Marino. Thanks to friendly victories over Romania and Montenegro back in November, the Slovenians carry a four-game winning streak into this game, having scored two goals on three occasions during that period. They are currently on a six-game unbeaten run from their Euro Qualifiers and Nation League campaign combined. Having lost only two of their previous 14 outings, picking up six wins and six draws along the way, Slovenia will be confident of getting a positive result against Finland.

While Finland and Slovenia are closely ranked and relatively matched, the visitors have put together a solid run and are the more in-form side. Slovenia have the better chance of winning this game. However, Finland have home advantage in their favour, where they have not lost since June of 2022, and might do just enough to force a share of the spoils. So, a win or a draw for Slovenia are on the cards for this encounter.

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本周五晚，在2024年欧洲杯预选赛H组第三轮比赛中，芬兰将在赫尔辛基奥林匹克体育场迎接斯洛文尼亚。在第二场比赛中，两国都取得了关键的胜利，两国都在努力争取出线资格。在美丽的赫尔辛基，一场激烈的比赛将会被证明是一场激烈的比赛。两场比赛之后，斯洛文尼亚以100%的战绩高居H组第一，领先芬兰、丹麦、哈萨克斯坦和北爱尔兰3分。斯洛文尼亚在3月份的第二场预选赛中以2比0战胜圣马力诺，之后将进入本场比赛。同样值得注意的是，芬兰队在预选赛的最后一轮比赛中战胜了北爱尔兰，在首场客场输给丹麦之后，他们的比赛回到了正轨。他们目前落后斯洛文尼亚3分，排在第三，比斯洛文尼亚低两个名次。这两个国家分别排在第56位和第62位，在看起来非常开放的h组中，这两个国家之间似乎没有什么可选择的。这场比赛可能对决定谁将从该组出线至关重要。我预计斯洛文尼亚会赢或平局，原因如下:

首先。公平地说，芬兰队的预选赛开局并不好，因为他们在3月份的比赛中以1 - 3输给了丹麦，高评价的亚特兰大年轻球员拉斯穆斯·霍伊隆德上演了帽子戏法。然而，三天后，他们在温莎公园球场以1-0战胜了北爱尔兰。他们在欧洲国家联赛中也表现不佳，在最后四场比赛中只取得了一场胜利，并且输掉了两场比赛。在各项赛事的最后8场比赛中，他们的战绩只有3胜3负。当你从更大的角度来看，他们在之前的15场比赛中只赢了3场，在此期间只有3次进球超过1球。

其次。另一方面，斯洛文尼亚在2024年欧洲杯预选赛的开局再好不过了，他们以3分的优势领先于排名其后的四支球队，以6分的优势领先于弱小的圣马力诺，进入了第三轮比赛。得益于去年11月对罗马尼亚和黑山的友谊赛胜利，斯洛文尼亚人在这场比赛中取得了四连胜，在此期间他们三次打进两球。他们目前在欧洲杯预选赛和全国联赛中保持了六场不败。斯洛文尼亚在此前的14场比赛中只输了两场，取得了6胜6平的成绩，他们有信心在对阵芬兰的比赛中取得积极的结果。

虽然芬兰和斯洛文尼亚的排名相当接近，但客队表现稳定，状态更佳。斯洛文尼亚赢得这场比赛的机会更大。然而，芬兰有主场优势，自2022年6月以来他们还没有输过球，他们可能会做得足够多来分享战利品。因此，斯洛文尼亚在这场比赛中取胜或平局都是可能的。

06月17日芬兰 VS 斯洛文尼比赛分析直播