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Who will qualify to the Final? 欧国联 荷兰VS克罗地亚

2023-06-14

比赛分析

欧国联

已完赛

星期四2023-06-15 02:45

解读理由

I don’t see Netherlands' favorites here.

Netherlands made a very poor performance against France in their last serious game, where they lost 4:0. They were a big surprise in the World Cup with a good performance, losing against the Champions Argentina but also must remember how weak they rivals were (Qatar, Ecuador, USA, Senegal…). Furthermore, for this match they’ll miss two key players in attack and defense: Depay and De Ligt. They’ll be replaced by Gakpo and Timber.

Depay’s absence is a big problem, because during Koeman's last arrival in the national team, it was he who dragged him into the NL, scored against Germany and France, made assists against England, and scored 6 + 8 in 8 matches in the selection for the Euro. Now they have to find other leaders. It did not work out in the spring: the Netherlands lost to France 0:4 and failed to defeat Gibraltar 3:0, although the bookmakers offered a handicap line of 6+ goals.

The team is now in the NL semi-finals thanks to the efforts of Van Gaal and the weak group of fading Wales and Belgium, unstable Poland. They have yet to prove their worth. The match will be held in the Netherlands, which gives the hosts a certain advantage: here they are unbeaten for a long time. But they almost always play with those who are weaker, and always - not right through.

On the other hand, Croatia proved in the last World Cup again how strong and competitive they are.

Croatia has almost no equal in Europe in terms of playing in fights right through. They have been finalists and semifinalists in the last two World Cups. In the 8 playoff games of those tournaments, they lost only twice: both times against the Champions (France and Argentina). Of course, this is a completely different tournament, but participation in the match for the trophy is at stake.

Neither the Dutch nor the Croats have had time to eat their fill of titles - do not expect indifference from any of the parties. And if so, then it is more logical to believe in those who are more successful and competitive in this particular format of knockout matches.

Anyway, in order to reach the semi-finals of the League of Nations, Croatia did not lose in the group in any of the 4 matches between Denmark and France - it has a good chance to shock another top.

Croatia is missing Leipzig defender Josko Gvardiol and striker Marko Livaja by injuries. So Kramaric will be the first striker. Left winger Perisic needs just one more goal to his 34 and will be the next nation's second-highest goalscorer.

Both the Netherlands and the Croats were a pleasant surprise at the World Cup, but only the Oranjes changed their coach after that. Inviting Koeman may not be a bad decision, but it is a reboot of the national team. In the Croatians with Dalic we can be sure they will not play below their level, in the Dutch with their new helmsman - not yet. It would be a mistake to call them the clear favorites of the match.

Croats will come to the match with a strong squad. In theory, they can field 9 of the 11 players who eliminated Brazil from the World Cup in December. The high value of the result will make the hosts play more carefully than before, and football before the first mistake is a favorite for pragmatic Croats. Croatia has so much quality and I don’t see The Netherlands win here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我在这里看不到荷兰队的最爱。

荷兰队在上一场正式比赛中对法国的表现非常糟糕,他们以4:0输掉了比赛。他们在世界杯上表现出色,令人惊讶,输给了冠军阿根廷,但也必须记住他们的对手有多弱(卡塔尔,厄瓜多尔,美国,塞内加尔……)。此外,在这场比赛中,他们将失去两名进攻和防守的关键球员:德佩和德赖特。他们会被嘉波和泰木取代。

德佩的缺席是个大问题,因为在科曼最后一次来到国家队的时候,正是德佩把科曼拉进了NL,在对阵德国和法国的比赛中进球,在对阵英格兰的比赛中助攻,在欧洲杯的选拔中8场比赛打进6 + 8球。现在他们必须寻找其他领导人。但在今年春天,这一策略并未奏效:荷兰队0:4输给了法国队,3:0也没能击败直布罗陀,尽管博彩公司开出了6+球的赔率线。

由于范加尔的努力,这支球队现在进入了国家联赛的半决赛,而威尔士、比利时和不稳定的波兰则是弱组。他们还没有证明自己的价值。这场比赛将在荷兰举行,这给了东道主一定的优势:他们在这里已经很长时间保持不败了。但他们几乎总是和那些较弱的人玩,而且总是——不彻底。

另一方面,克罗地亚在上届世界杯上再次证明了他们是多么强大和有竞争力。

克罗地亚在欧洲几乎没有对手能踢到最后。在过去的两届世界杯上,他们都进入了决赛和半决赛。在这些锦标赛的8场季后赛中,他们只输了两次:都是对冠军(法国和阿根廷)。当然,这是一场完全不同的比赛,但能否参加争夺奖杯的比赛关系重大。

无论是荷兰人还是克罗地亚人都没有时间去吃他们的头衔——不要指望任何一方会无动于衷。如果是这样,那么相信那些在这种淘汰赛中更成功、更有竞争力的人就更合乎逻辑了。

无论如何,为了进入国际联盟的半决赛,克罗地亚在丹麦和法国的4场比赛中没有输掉任何一场,这是一个很好的机会来冲击另一个冠军。

克罗地亚因伤失去了莱比锡后卫乔斯科·格瓦迪奥尔和前锋马尔科·利瓦贾。所以克拉马里奇将是第一前锋。左翼边锋佩里西奇只需要再进一个球就能达到他的34球,他将成为下一个国家第二高的射手。

荷兰队和克罗地亚队都是世界杯上的惊喜,但只有橙衣军团在那之后换了教练。邀请科曼或许不是一个糟糕的决定,但这是国家队的一次重启。克罗地亚人有达利奇,我们可以肯定他们不会低于他们的水平,荷兰人有了新的舵手——现在还不行。说他们是这场比赛的大热门是错误的。

克罗地亚人将带着强大的阵容参加比赛。理论上,他们可以派出去年12月将巴西队淘汰出世界杯的11名球员中的9名。结果的高价值将使东道主比以前踢得更小心,而足球在第一个错误之前是务实的克罗地亚人的最爱。克罗地亚的实力如此之强,我不认为荷兰队会在这里获胜。

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