In my opinion Spezia have really good chances to avoid loss in today’s match up.

Spezia have good mental advantage before this game as they didn’t lost against Verona in both matches of current season. Spezia won 2:1 in Verona and recorded 0:0 draw at home.

Today’s match is on neutral ground so it’s more like who is better team on the road? In current season Spezia played little bit better in away matches in Serie A.

If You look on the bigger picture Spezia played better football in this season than Verona. Spezia is better team with the ball – 47.1% average ball possession with 298 accurate passes per game. Verona only 41% average ball possession with 227 accurate passes per game. Spezia also was more dangerous in attack as they had 42.2 expected goals scored, Verona 36.3. Both teams kept same number of clean sheets, but Spezia conceded 5 goals more from penalty kicks and they had more clearances per game than Verona.

Spezia coming for this game is in better form – in last 4 matches they were able to win against Milan on away, in last round they had big unluck against Roma. On the other hand Verona looked poor in last 4 matches (3 losses and one draw) and for sure they not coming here with big confidence.

Spezia is more solid team in my eyes and have all required tools to avoid loss here.

在我看来，斯佩齐亚在今天的比赛中有很好的机会避免失利。

斯佩齐亚在这场比赛前有很好的心理优势，因为他们在本赛季的两场比赛中都没有输给维罗纳。斯佩齐亚2:1战胜维罗纳，主场0:0战平。

今天的比赛是在中立场地，所以更像是谁在客场表现更好?本赛季，斯佩齐亚在意甲的客场比赛中表现得稍好一些。

如果你从整体上看，这个赛季斯佩齐亚比维罗纳踢得更好。斯佩齐亚的控球能力更强，平均控球率为47.1%，场均有298次准确传球。维罗纳场均控球率只有41%，场均有227次准确传球。斯佩齐亚在进攻端也更具威胁，他们的预期进球数为42.2，维罗纳为36.3。两队保持相同的零失球数，但斯佩齐亚的点球失球比维罗纳多5个，他们的场均解围次数比维罗纳多。

斯佩齐亚在这场比赛中状态更好——在过去的4场比赛中，他们在客场战胜了米兰，在上一轮对阵罗马的比赛中，他们运气不佳。另一方面，维罗纳最近4场比赛看起来很糟糕(3负1平)，他们肯定不会带着很大的信心来到这里。

在我看来，斯佩齐亚是一支更可靠的球队，他们拥有避免损失的所有必要工具。