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Here is the analysis for the big Final! 欧冠 曼城VS国际米兰

2023-06-10

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期日2023-06-11 03:00

解读理由

It all comes down to this after a season of trials and tribulations, happiness and despair.Manchester City face Inter Milan in the biggest game in club football - The UEFA Champions League Final.

Manchester City are undeniable favorites to win, but won’t be very easy. Let’s analyze it.

Manchester City are chasing footballing immortality with the promise of being on the esteemed list of teams that have won the treble. The Cityzens are one game away from an historic treble – if they win, it will only be the 10th treble that we’ve ever seen in Europe.

After beating rivals Manchester United in last weekend’s FA Cup final, they already have a domestic double under their belt, and now they have Inter standing in their way in Istanbul on Saturday night.

The Champions League has been a difficult trophy for City, as it’s the only trophy/tournament they have pending to win. Were close to did it in 2021 against Chelsea where they lost the final, whilst this will be the 4th Final for Pep Guardiola after two successful editions in 2009 and 2011 with Barcelona.

City ended the season in unstoppable form, storming to the Premier League title with 12 consecutive victories, and beating United at Wembley last week for the FA Cup Final. There’s little surprise that they come into this game as huge favourites.

The Cityzens‘ team can be predicted to a tee for the first time in Pep’s era: Ederson will be in goal, with Ruben Dias, Kyle Walker and Manuel Akanji starting ahead of him in a back three. The double pivot of John Stones and Rodri will continue their exploits ahead of the three defenders and the attacking quarter of Bernardo Silva, Kevin de Bruyne, Ilkay Gundogan, and Jack Grealish all add something different to City’s game and they will be led by Erling Haaland.

The Norwegian striker is the current tournament topscorer with 12 goals and stopping him will be key to the Italian side’s chances.

In my opinion Manchester City must do two things here.

First, stretch the pitch. Watching some of Inter, I do see a scenario where City start the ‘control’ lineup as they have with Bernardo and Grealish acting as wingers, but we could see our fast wingers lineup. Either way, City must take the match to the back three Inter use and really stretch the pitch to make space for our midfielders and/or Erling Haaland to create good goal scoring opportunities.

Adding that Inter will more than likely bunker down, this is imperative as the Inter defense is not the fastest and sCity must control the pace and demands. Thus, they can create chances with a wider field where finding Haaland on a 1v1 is much easier.

And second, get Kevin De Bruyne on the offensive early. This one is a bit more simple. City need to find KDB early and often as the midfield is pretty even except here, where KDB can and should make creative choices with two solid ball carriers next to him in Gundogan and Rodrigo.

KDB should then, take offensive early to Inter’s back line and utilize a wider pitch to make plays in the short spaces where he could find Haaland or one of the wingers who are wider than usual.

The bunker Inter will play will be tough to break down, but an early goal could open the floodgates for City. It’s why it is monumental that City come out firing.

On the other hand, Inter Milan would think it is a fairytale season already with their finals appearance. However, no team comes to this stage and is grateful only. Despite being underdogs for this one, the Nerazzurri will be determined to play the game of their lives and cause an upset.

Their season has been a rollercoaster. The hope back in August was the Scudetto with the return of Romelu Lukaku, but Inter proved far too inconsistent for that. Twelve league losses were obviously far too many and even put top-four qualification in question at one point when the team was on a six-game winless run. However, success in the Coppa Italia and Super Coppa helped make up for the Serie A struggles, and Inter’s red-hot form of late, with 11 wins in 12, has done the rest of the job to secure 3rd place and make the season more or less a success, including the Coppa against Fiorentina.

It’s important to note that Inzaghi’s team plays very differently in Europe than they do domestically. And I mean very differently. As one of the stronger teams in Italy, Inter often have to set the tempo in matches and need to take the initiative to break down “lesser” opponents. Having run the gauntlet of Bayern Munich, Barcelona, Porto, Benfica and Milan, that’s clearly not been the case for their route to the Champions League final.

On an aggregate level, Inter’s matches in Serie A are more open and see more action in both goalmouths. In the Champions League, the games are far more buttoned up. And as for Inter themselves, as you’d expect, they’re far more dominant domestically. In Serie A, they averaged more xG per game (1.83) than any other side, while in the Champions League that average drops to 1.40 xG per game. Similarly, their underlying defensive record is far better in Italy than in Europe.

Despite Inter Milan’s UCL Finals record, this fixture is being pegged as one of the most one-sided finals of all time. Manchester City are rampant, and the treble at the end of the road is too big a prize. Inter Milan have done very well to reach this far, but in terms of squad quality and depth, Manchester City are head and shoulders above.

Then again, a similar narrative surrounded the final when Tuchel’s Chelsea faced Manchester City in the 2021 final. The moral of the story is, anything can happen in a one-off game. A counterattack here, a mistake there, and all of a sudden an upset is on the cards.

Having said that, it still feels foolish to look past Manchester City for this one. Inter’s win would be an upset for the ages.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在经历了一季的考验和磨难、幸福和绝望之后,一切都归结为这一点。曼城在俱乐部足球最重要的比赛——欧洲冠军联赛决赛中对阵国际米兰。

曼城无疑是夺冠热门,但这并不容易。我们来分析一下。

曼城(Manchester City)正在追求足球的不朽,他们有望成为备受尊敬的三冠王球队之一。城市人离历史性的三冠王只差一场比赛了——如果他们赢了,这将是我们在欧洲看到的第10个三冠王。

在上周的足总杯决赛中击败对手曼联之后,他们已经在国内获得了双冠王,现在他们在周六晚上的伊斯坦布尔有国米挡道。

冠军联赛对曼城来说是一个艰难的奖杯,因为这是他们唯一一个等待赢得的奖杯/联赛。我们曾在2021年与切尔西的比赛中险些夺冠,但他们输掉了决赛,而这将是瓜迪奥拉在2009年和2011年执教巴萨两次成功后的第四次决赛。

曼城以不可阻挡的状态结束了这个赛季,以12连胜的战绩夺得英超冠军,并在上周的足总杯决赛中在温布利击败曼联。毫无疑问,他们是这场比赛的大热门。

佩普的时代,Cityzens的球队可以第一次预测到:埃德森将成为门将,鲁本·迪亚斯,凯尔·沃克和曼努埃尔·阿坎吉在他之前首发,组成三后卫。约翰·斯通斯和罗德里的双中心将继续在三名后卫之前发挥作用,贝尔纳多·席尔瓦、凯文·德布鲁因、伊尔凯·京多安和杰克·格雷利什的进攻部分将为曼城的比赛增添一些不同的东西,他们将由埃林·哈兰德率领。

这位挪威前锋以12粒进球高居本届欧洲杯射手榜榜首,阻止他将是意大利队夺冠的关键。

在我看来,曼城必须做两件事。

首先,拉长音高。看了一些国米的比赛,我确实看到了一个场景,曼城开始“控制”阵容,就像他们用贝尔纳多和格雷利什担任边锋一样,但我们可以看到我们的快速边锋阵容。无论如何,曼城必须将比赛引向国米使用的三后卫,并真正拉开场地,为我们的中场和哈兰德创造良好的进球机会。

他补充说,国米很可能会躲起来,这是必要的,因为国米的防守不是最快的,曼城必须控制节奏和要求。因此,他们可以在更广阔的场地上创造机会,在1v1中找到哈兰德要容易得多。

第二,让凯文·德布鲁因早点进攻。这个更简单一些。曼城需要尽早和经常找到KDB,因为中场非常均匀,除了这里,KDB可以而且应该在他身边有两个可靠的持球者京多安和罗德里戈的情况下做出创造性的选择。

KDB应该尽早进攻国米的后防线,并利用更宽的场地在更短的空间内发挥作用,这样他就可以找到哈兰德或其他比平时更宽的边锋。

国米将面对的地堡将很难攻破,但一个早期的进球可能会为曼城打开闸门。这就是为什么曼城的胜利具有纪念意义。

另一方面,国际米兰会认为这是一个童话般的赛季,因为他们已经进入了决赛。然而,没有一支球队能走到这一步,只会心存感激。尽管在这场比赛中处于劣势,蓝黑军团将决心打出他们生命中的比赛,并带来一场颠覆。

他们的赛季就像坐过山车一样。8月份的希望是随着卢卡库的回归而获得联赛冠军,但事实证明国米表现得太不稳定了。12场联赛的失利显然太多了,甚至在球队连续6场无胜的情况下一度让前四的资格受到质疑。然而,意大利杯和超级杯的成功弥补了意甲的低迷,国米最近的火热状态,12赛季11胜,完成了剩余的工作,确保了第三名的位置,并使本赛季或多或少取得了成功,包括对阵佛罗伦萨的杯。

值得注意的是,因扎吉的球队在欧洲的表现与他们在国内的表现非常不同。我的意思非常不同。作为意大利实力较强的球队之一,国米经常需要在比赛中设定节奏,需要主动打破“较弱”的对手。在经历了拜仁慕尼黑、巴塞罗那、波尔图、本菲卡和米兰的挑战后,他们进入欧冠决赛的道路显然不是这样。

总的来说,国米在意甲的比赛是

更开放,看到更多的行动在两个球门。在欧洲冠军联赛中,比赛要严格得多。至于国米,正如你所料,他们在国内的统治力要大得多。在意甲联赛中,他们的场均罚球数最多(1.83个),而在欧冠联赛中,他们的场均罚球数下降到了1.40个。同样,他们在意大利的潜在防守记录比在欧洲要好得多。

尽管国际米兰创造了欧冠决赛的记录,但这场比赛被认为是历史上最一边倒的决赛之一。曼城是猖獗的,三冠王在路的尽头是太大的奖励。国际米兰在这方面做得很好,但在阵容质量和深度方面,曼城遥遥领先。

然而,在2021年的决赛中,图赫尔的切尔西对阵曼城时,同样的故事也围绕着决赛。这个故事的寓意是,在一次性游戏中任何事情都可能发生。这里的一次反击,那里的一次失误,突然之间,一场颠覆就在眼前。

话虽如此,在这次比赛中忽略曼城还是很愚蠢的。国米的胜利将是一个时代的颠覆。

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