In my opinion Kofu have really good chances to avoid loss in this game.

Coach Yoshiyiku Shinoda and his team for sure have big motivation to do well in this game as they won this competition in previous season. I expect strong line up on the pitch.

Both teams are on similar level in current season, both are places in play off zone and they will fight to get promotion into J1 league till the end.

Where I see advantage for guests before this game to make big difference? FORM.

At the end of they May Kofu had excellent streak of 3 consecutive wins – they conceded only one goal during that run and scored 7. Unfortunately, in last round they lost on away against Oita, but no shame at all as Oita is other strong promotion candidate – currently ranked on second place in league table.

On the other hand Nagasaki is out of form at the moment and they are not able to find the balance – they recored only one win in last 6 matches. They won at home against Iwata, but according to the expected goals scored model that wasn’t deserved result at all.

Title defenders are in better form and they have all required tools to avoid loss here.

在我看来，功夫在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免失败。

shinida教练和他的球队肯定有很大的动力在这场比赛中取得好成绩，因为他们在上个赛季赢得了这项比赛。我希望场上有强大的阵容。

这两支球队在本赛季处于相似的水平，都在附加赛区，他们将为进入J1联赛而战斗到最后。

在这场比赛之前，我看到客人的优势在哪里?的形式。

在比赛结束时，他们取得了三连胜的优异成绩——在这段时间里他们只丢了一个球，进了7个球。不幸的是，他们在上一轮客场输给了大分，但这并不可耻，因为大分是另一个强大的晋级候选人——目前排名第二。

另一方面，长崎目前状态不佳，他们无法找到平衡——他们在过去的6场比赛中只取得了一场胜利。他们在主场战胜了岩田，但根据预期进球模型，这根本不是他们应得的结果。

冠军捍卫者的状态更好，他们都有必要的工具来避免损失。