Incheon United VS FC Seoul

Incheon welcome Seoul for this Korean K League 1 round 17 battle at Chuncheon Sungui Arena Park Wednesday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of Korean football. Korea undoubtedly is one of the best football countries in Asia. The level of this league is, however, not very high by global standards.. Football fans and us profit-hungry serious football bettors can expect a clash of decent level by s K1 League standards between the two mediocre teams.. My fans and I have done very well recently, winning 17/20 of the latest picks and have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! The hosts currently occupy the 10th place in the standings in this league with a total of 12 clubs with only 18 points to their points. However, they are only four points behind Daejeon, currently in 6th place. There is no denying the fact that Incheon have been a disappointment so far this season. In my sophisticated, in-depth preseason analysis I expected them to be a little worse than last season but have as a result of their lame performances in many games lowered their power rating that reflects the teams'  pure class. Last season they finished in 4th place with 49 points in their pocket. Indeed, they have bug potential for improvement in all areas of the game. I do trust their coach in this and the players are also good enough to climb up the standings significantly! I do expect them to make it to the top-6 and play in the Championship Group later this season.. They are in 6th place in my power rating. The visitors, on the other hand, occupy the 6th place in this ranking. In fact hosts have already improved from early season and have looked much more confident and relaxed on the pitch recently than early spring. They are a strong home team despite not having the most enthusiastic fans. Indeed, losses at home are rare – they have lost just two of their latest 11 games at their stadium! Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 23.56. Their offense has undoubtedly lacked creativity and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal and they have netted the ball 17 times so far. Their number of expected goals (xG) is still decent - 22.43. Incheon's defense has been pretty and they have conceded 22 goals. Their midfielders should be more active in defending...

Incheon have not lost any of their latest five games. In their most recent match they beat Daejeon away from home 3-1. They were very efficient capitalizing on their scoring chances and did, in all honesty, have some luck on their side. Daejeon are a dangerous team though. Before this they faced Daegu, also away from home and it was a 2-2 draw. It was a good performance and they would have perhaps deserved a narrow win. Indeed, they had 62% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks – 80-60. The hosts did have two more shots on target though. Furthermore, on the 24th of May they crushed Gyeongnam at home 3-0 at home in a home game. Seoul are in 4th place in the standings but  as most of my fans probably know by now, I never let the standings fool me! They have 27 points in the bank but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 22.12. Their offense has undoubtedly been better than I would have expected and they have scored a whopping 29 goals  -some of them pretty lucky though - schots with low xG or the opponent's defense making silly mistakes.. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) is just 23.98. Defensively the hosts should have an edge over Seoul with the expected lineups despite the fact that so far Seoul have allowed three goals less than Incheon. Seoul should have conceded many more goals in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA) than the actual number.

Seoul lost to Daegu away from home in their most game but their performance was okay. Before this they took a 1-0 win over Gangwon, who are in 11th place with just 12 points. It was not a particularly impressive performance. In March and April they had luck on their side in several balanced games. Let's not forget that many of their players have played above their normal level this season. Last season they finished in 8th place after the regular season with 41 points and a negative score difference of 38:42 and had to play in the Relegation Group.. There is no reason to believe that they would be significantly better this season.. The biggest, sometimes pretty smart bookies offer both teams odds of around 2.70 to at the time of writing this preview early Wednesday morning Beijing time. With these odds there is value betting on Incheon as the are solid favorites today. The smart bet - with a high chance of winning - is the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap in this game where the goal expectancy is a little lower than the bookies estimate.. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 61%. The probability of a draw is somewhat high - 33%..

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仁川联队VS首尔FC

北京时间周三晚，韩国K联赛第17轮，仁川队将在春川顺义体育场公园迎战首尔队。这是韩国足球的第一梯队。韩国无疑是亚洲最好的足球国家之一。然而，按照全球标准来看，这个联赛的水平并不是很高。足球迷和我们这些渴望利润的严肃的足球投注者可以期待这两支平庸的球队之间以K1联赛的标准进行一场像样的比赛。我和我的粉丝最近做得很好，赢得了17/20的最新选择，并且还有一个非常有希望的投注机会!东道主目前在联赛积分榜上排名第10位，共有12家俱乐部，积分仅为18分。但与排名第6位的大田队仅差4分。不可否认的是，仁川队在本赛季至今的表现令人失望。在我复杂而深入的季前赛分析中，我预计他们的表现会比上赛季差一点，但由于他们在许多比赛中的糟糕表现，降低了反映球队纯粹实力的力量评级。上赛季他们以49分排名第四。事实上，它们在游戏的所有领域都有改进的潜力。我相信他们的教练，球员们也足够优秀，可以在积分榜上大幅攀升!我确实希望他们能进入前六，并在本赛季晚些时候参加冠军小组。他们在我的能量评级中排名第六。另一方面，游客在这个排名中占据了第6位。事实上，东道主已经从赛季初开始有所改善，在球场上看起来比初春更加自信和放松。他们是一支强大的主队，尽管没有最热情的球迷。事实上，他们很少在主场输球——他们最近在主场的11场比赛中只输了两场!他们的期望值(xPTS)是23.56。毫无疑问，他们的进攻缺乏创造力和在对手球门附近的传球准确性，迄今为止他们已经17次进球。他们的预期进球数(xG)仍然不错——22.43个。仁川队的防守很好，他们丢了22个球。他们的中场应该更积极地防守。

仁川在最近的5场比赛中没有输过一场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们客场3-1击败了大田队。他们非常有效地利用了他们的得分机会，老实说，他们确实有一些运气。大田是一支危险的球队。在此之前，他们面对的是同样是客场的大邱，双方战成2-2平。这是一场精彩的比赛，他们或许应该以微弱优势取胜。事实上，他们有62%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、角球、进攻和危险进攻——80比60。不过主队确实又射正了两球。此外，在5月24日的主场比赛中，他们还以3比0击败了庆南队。首尔目前排名第四，但我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!他们的银行存款有27点，但他们的预期点数(xPTS)只有22.12。他们的进攻毫无疑问比我预期的要好，他们打进了惊人的29个进球——尽管其中一些相当幸运——低xG的球员或者对手的防守犯了愚蠢的错误。事实上，他们的预期进球数(xG)仅为23.98。尽管到目前为止首尔比仁川少丢了3个球，但按照预期阵容，东道主在防守上应该比首尔有优势。如果以预期失球(xGA)来计算，应该比实际失球多很多。

首尔队在他们的大部分比赛中客场输给了大邱，但他们的表现还不错。在此之前，他们以1比0战胜了仅积12分排名第11位的江原队。这不是一个特别令人印象深刻的表演。在3月和4月，他们在几场平衡的比赛中运气不错。别忘了，他们的很多球员本赛季的表现都超出了正常水平。上赛季常规赛结束后，他们以41分和38:42的负分差排名第8，不得不进入保级组。没有理由相信他们本赛季会有明显的进步。在北京时间周三凌晨撰写这篇预告时，最大的、有时也相当聪明的博彩公司给出的赔率在2.70左右。有了这样的赔率，仁川队是值得押注的，因为他们是今天的热门球队。聪明的赌注——赢球的机会很大——是东道主手里有+0.5个进球

在这场比赛中，进球预期比博彩公司估计的要低一些。进不到2.5球的概率是61%。平局的可能性有些高——33%。

06月07日仁川联 VS 首尔FC比赛分析直播