Mito Hollyhock VS Renofa Yamaguchi

Mito welcome Renofa Yamaguchi for this Japanese Emperor's Cup 1/32-finals clash at Best Denki Stadium Wednesday evening Beijing time. Both teams play in the J2 League, the second-highest tier of Japanese football. Japan definitely is the strongest football country in Asia. The level of the J2 league is better than some football fans probably realize. However, football fans and us serious football bettors cannot expect a particularly good-level clash here by J2 League standards between the two pretty lowly teams. We have done very well recently winning 17/20 of the latest picks and have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! The hosts currently occupy the 19th place in the standings with just 20 points to their points. They have undoubtedly been a disappointment this season. I expected them to be worse than last season but have as a result of mainly lame performances lowered their power rating which reflects the teams pure class. They had a bad difference – 18:35 to be precise. The bookmakers do not seem to have fully realized how much worse they are this season compared to last season.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 17.11. Their offense is among the worst in J2 League and their number of expected goals (xG) is just 15.43. They lack many things on offense. They often pass the ball too slowly and inaccurately near the opponents goal. This makes it easy for especially the better teams to organize the defense well. Renofa Yamaguchis's offense is, in all honesty, not great either. They have scored 17 goals in J2 League so far. Even so, their number of xG is 20.12. They have potential to improve in this area of the game but a significant improvement will probably take time. They have just 19 points in their pocket but their number of xPTS is 21.56. I expect them to climb up the standings soon. I have them in the 14th place in my power rating. The hosts are in 18th in this ranking at the moment. 

In terms of defensive quality the visitors have a slightly bigger edge over Mito than offensively. They have conceded 34 goals but their number of goals allowed is just 27.89. Renofa Yamaguchi have won all three latest games between the two teams. Mito have, in fact, managed to score just once in these three matches! The teams last locked horns on the 28th of May at this same stadium and the visitors won 1-0 as clear underdogs. The match was a pretty balanced one though. Mito very clear favorites in this game according to the bookies – priced around 2.10 to take all three points. This was yet another example of them being overvalued and the visitors undervalued on the betting market. The same is true in this match! The biggest, sometimes pretty sharp bookies offer the hosts odds of around 2.30 to win in regulation time. This is too low! The smart bet is the visitors with to +0.5 goals handicap. I see this match as a coin toss – without a favorite. The home advantage is there but Mito do not have very good home fans.. The visitors have been in a little better form than the hosts results-wise recently. On the pitch they have looked much more sharp and confident!

水户蜀葵VS山口雷诺法

北京时间周三晚上，水户欢迎山口Renofa参加日本天皇杯1/32决赛的比赛。两支球队都参加了J2联赛，这是日本足球的第二高级别联赛。日本绝对是亚洲最强的足球国家。J2联赛的水平比一些足球迷可能意识到的要好。然而，足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者不能指望这两支相当低级的球队在J2联赛的标准下发生特别高水平的冲突。我们最近做得很好，赢得了17/20的最新选择，还有另一个有利可图的投注机会!东道主目前在积分榜上排名第19位，只差20分。毫无疑问，他们本赛季令人失望。我预计他们会比上赛季更糟糕，但由于糟糕的表现，他们的能量评级降低了，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。他们相差很大，准确地说是18:35。博彩公司似乎还没有完全意识到他们本赛季比上赛季差了多少。他们的期望值(xPTS)只有17.11。他们的进攻是J2联赛中最差的，他们的预期进球(xG)只有15.43个。他们在进攻端缺乏很多东西。他们经常在对手球门附近传球太慢，传球不准。这使得更好的球队更容易组织好防守。说实话，山口雷诺法的进攻也不怎么样。到目前为止，他们已经在J2联赛中打进了17球。即便如此，他们的xG数是20.12。他们在这方面有潜力提高，但要取得显著的进步可能需要时间。他们现在只拿到了19分，但是他们的得分是21.56分。我希望他们的排名很快就会上升。我的能量排名是第14位。东道主目前排名第18位。

在防守质量方面，客队比水户在进攻方面有更大的优势。他们丢了34个球，但他们的失球数只有27.89个。山口雷诺法赢得了两队最近的三场比赛。事实上，美户在这三场比赛中只进了一球!两队上一次交锋是在5月28日，客队以1-0的比分明显处于劣势。不过这场比赛还是相当平衡的。在本场比赛中，水户很明显是夺冠热门，根据博彩公司的预测，价格在2.10左右，可以全部拿下3分。这是赌博市场上他们被高估而客队被低估的又一个例子。在这场比赛中也是如此!最大的，有时相当精明的博彩公司在规定时间内为东道主开出2.30左右的赔率。这太低了!明智的赌注是客队有+0.5个进球障碍。我认为这场比赛就像掷硬币一样，没有谁最喜欢谁。主场优势是有的，但是水户没有很好的主场球迷。客队最近的表现比主队好一些。在球场上，他们看起来更加犀利和自信!