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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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7th WINNER in a row? 世青赛 韩国20VS尼日利20

2023-06-05

比赛分析

世青杯

已完赛

星期一2023-06-05 01:30

解读理由

Korea Republic U20 VS Nigeria U20


South Korea and Nigeria U20 lock horns in this World Cup quarter-final clash at Estadio Unico Madre de Ciudades in Santiago del Estero very early Monday morning Beijing time. The stakes are, of course, sky-high here. We can expect a pretty high-level battle here by U20 standards. The goal expectancy here is, however, lower than and the probability of a draw higher than the betting market estimates. The probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 60%. Even a 0-0 final score after 90 minutes of play would not be a major surprise. The probability of a draw is 31%. This would be enough for my fans and me to take the 7th winner in row! Korea have exceeded my – and probably most football journalists' and the bookies' expectations so far. I have, as a result, raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. The bookies should respect them more.. They played very well as a team and have impressed me especially offensively! They are better on the pitch than the list of players would indicate! South Korea have been in fine form recently and have not lost any of their most recent 13 games in regulation time. On the 15th of April Uzbekistan dis beat them in penalties though but South Korea were okay in this AFC Championship U20 semi-finals battle. I also want to mention that Uzbekistan are a surprisingly strong team.. South Korea beat a dangerous team, Ecuador 3-2 as clear underdogs – priced around 4.00 to win in regulation time on the betting market - in the previous round. Before this they played two draws – first against Honduras U20 and them against Gambia U20. Against Honduras they had 70% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (8-4), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks but it was a 2-2 draw. In the first match of group stage they beat a massive football country, France, 2-1 priced around 10.00 to win by the bookies. Yet another example of them being underrated on the betting market!

 Nigeria, too, have played well recently winning three of their latest five games. They were, however, lucky to beat Argentina three days ago. The Argentines had 66% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal (14-4), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks - 106-66. The biggest bookies with the largest stakes rather weirdly see Nigeria as very clear favorites here offering them odds of around 1.95 to win in regulation time - at the time of writing this preview Sunday evening Beijing time at least. I expect their odds to go up though as smart money is expected to pile up on South Korea – unless unexpected news concerning the starting lineups arrive.. I have to strongly disagree with the betting market here! The Africans do have an edge over South Korea in all areas of the game with the expected lineups. They are a physically strong team. My point is that the difference between the teams is not big.. The +0.5 goals handicap option on South Korea is an excellent bet with the current odds. The chance of winning is 59%!


GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

韩国U20 VS尼日利亚U20


北京时间周一凌晨,世界杯1 / 4决赛将在圣地亚哥德尔埃斯特罗的马德雷城市体育场举行,韩国队和尼日利亚队将展开激战。当然,这里的风险极高。按照U20的标准,我们可以期待一场相当高水平的战斗。然而,这里的进球预期低于博彩市场的估计,平局的可能性高于博彩市场的估计。总进球数少于2.5个的概率是60%。即使是90分钟后0-0的最终比分也不会让人感到意外。平局的概率是31%。这足以让我和我的粉丝连续第七次获得冠军!到目前为止,韩国队的表现超出了我的预期,可能也超出了大多数足球记者和博彩公司的预期。因此,我提高了他们的能量等级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。博彩公司应该更尊重他们。他们作为一个团队踢得非常好,尤其是在进攻端给我留下了深刻的印象!他们在球场上的表现比球员名单上显示的要好!韩国队最近状态良好,在最近的13场比赛中没有输过一场。4月15日,乌兹别克斯坦在点球大战中击败了他们,但韩国队在这场亚足联U20半决赛中表现不错。我还想提一下,乌兹别克斯坦是一支令人惊讶的强队。在上一轮比赛中,韩国队以3比2击败了一支危险的球队——厄瓜多尔队,显然处于劣势——在博彩市场的规定时间内,韩国队的胜率约为4.00。在此之前,他们打了两场平局——先是对阵洪都拉斯U20,然后是对阵冈比亚U20。对阵洪都拉斯时,他们有70%的控球率,进球次数、射正次数(8-4)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多,但最终以2-2战平。在小组赛的第一场比赛中,他们以2比1击败了足球大国法国队,博彩公司的胜率约为10美元。这是他们在博彩市场被低估的又一个例子!

尼日利亚在最近的五场比赛中也取得了三场胜利。然而,他们很幸运地在三天前击败了阿根廷队。阿根廷队拥有66%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数、射偏次数(14比4)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(106比66)。拥有最大赌注的最大博彩公司相当奇怪地认为尼日利亚是非常明显的热门球队,在规定时间内,他们的赔率约为1.95,至少在北京时间周日晚上撰写这篇预告时。我预计他们的赔率会上升,因为聪明的钱预计会涌向韩国——除非有关首发阵容的意外消息到来。我强烈反对这里的博彩市场!非洲人确实在比赛的各个方面都比韩国队有优势。他们是一支身体素质很强的球队。我的观点是,两支球队之间的差距并不大。以目前的赔率来看,韩国队+0.5个进球的赔率是一个很好的赌注。获胜的机会是59%!


好运!

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