The second leg match of the Europa League semifinal is going to happen between Twente and Heerenveen. The 1st match ended with Twente's 2:1 win although they scored the winning goal just in the added time. If we look at the stats, it wasn't a surprise that Twente won because their xG was 1.98 while the opponents had 0.27. In this game, I'm predicting that Twente is going to win.

Twente has been in excellent form because they have won 5 games in a row that included a victory over Ajax. Twente has been a big force at home because the team was the 2nd best during the regular season with 13 wins and 4 draws in 17 games which means no losses at home! The team scored a total of 46 goals and conceded just 11. Per xG, the team is expected to score 2.20 goals at home (4th best) and concede 1.24 (4th best).

Heerenveen lost the last game that ended their 4 game-unbeaten streak. Only one game was against the opponent which is higher in standings, and that was PSV. Heerenveen was somehow lucky to draw because they had 9 fewer shots and only 39% ball control. On the road this season, Heerenveen had 6 wins and 7 draws in 17 games, with a total of 23 goals scored and 24 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.44 goals on the road and concede 1.72.

When teams played in front of Twente's fans, the score was 3:3. At the same time, Twente had an xG of 2.41 while Heerenveen had 1.91. Twente had an own goal but they came back and were up 3:1 but blew the lead, and Heerenveen tied the game in the 90th minute. Twente now is up 2:1 and they won't probably go attacking. Heereveen will do everything to tie the game but Twente should be able to score on counter-attacks so I'm expecting a win from their side.

欧联杯半决赛的第二回合比赛将在特温特和海伦芬之间进行。第一场比赛以特温特2:1的比分结束，尽管他们在补时阶段打进了制胜球。如果我们看一下数据，特文特赢并不奇怪，因为他们的xG是1.98，而对手的xG是0.27。在这场比赛中，我预测特文特会赢。

特文特的状态非常好，因为他们已经连续赢了5场比赛，其中包括战胜阿贾克斯。特文特在主场是一支强大的力量，因为这支球队在常规赛17场比赛中取得了13胜4平的成绩，排名第二，这意味着他们在主场没有输球!这支球队总共进了46球，只丢了11球。按xG计算，球队预计在主场打入2.20球(排名第四)，失球1.24球(排名第四)。

他们甚至输掉了结束他们四连胜的最后一场比赛。只有一场比赛是对阵排名更高的对手，那就是埃因霍温。不知何故，老鹰队运气不错，因为他们射门少了9次，控球率只有39%。在本赛季的客场比赛中，赫芬在17场比赛中取得了6胜7平的成绩，进球数为23球，失球数为24球。平均每场比赛，球队预计将在客场打入1.44球，失球1.72球。

当球队在特温特球迷面前比赛时，比分是3:3。与此同时，特温特的xG值为2.41，而海伦芬的xG值为1.91。特文特打进了一个乌龙球，但他们扳回了比分，以3:1领先，但很快就失去了领先优势，甚至在第90分钟将比分扳平。特文特现在2:1领先，他们可能不会再进攻了。赫芬会尽一切努力扳平比分，但特温特应该能够在反击中得分，所以我希望他们能赢。