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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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2023-06-04

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2023-06-05 03:00

解读理由

Celta Vigo vs Barcelona


Celta Vigo welcome Barcelona for this Spanish LaLiga round 38 clash at Estadio de Balaídos in Vigo very early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. This is the second-best league on the planet and we can expect a high-level game here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here. My fans and I have won seven picks in a row in LaLiga and the much longer term results are also excellent!

The situation here is very clear: Only Celta Vigo have anything left to play for. They are in an intense battle to avoid relegation. Their opponents in this battle are Getafe (14th place, 41 points), Valencia (15th place, 41 points, (Almeria 16th, 40 points) and Valladolid who are in 18th place with 39 points. The teams who finish 18-20th places are relegated to LaLiga2 for next season. When betting on the last round matches in LaLiga it is important to know that if points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. Yes, Celta Vigo's big edge in motivation affects the probabilities and odds here massively. However, it seems that the betting market gives this factor too much emphasis here. Indeed, the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Barcelona, a world-class team and fresh LaLiga champions odds of around 2.45 to take all three points! However, the recommended bet is Barcelona +0.5 goals with a very high chance of winning. Barcelona¨'s coach will most probably rotate the squad here – once again. Even so, they have a huge number of extremely strong and creative players in the squad. Many young and very talented players are surely very motivated to prove their skills here! There is an over 50% chance that even a draw would be enough for Celta Vigo to save themselves from relegation – if Valladolid fail to beat Getafe that is.

Yes, Celta would have deserved some 43 points in terms of expected points. However, there is no denying the fact that they have had a very disappointing season! Their offense has been very bad this season and they have netted the ball just 41 times in LaLiga so far this season. It lacks everything to score enough goals.. The structure is poor, strikers lack skill and Celta's attacks are often very predictable which makes it easy for the opponent to defend successfully. Now they are facing Barcelona's very strong defense. Indeed, Barcelona have allowed just 18 goals in Laliga. Celta Vigo have been in abysmal form lately and have lost five of their latest six games. They are low in confidence and according to my sources their team spirit is not great either. I also do not trust their coach ahead of this massive challenge! In their most recent game they lost to a lowly team Cadiz 0-1 and recorded just 0.48 in xG. A bad performance indeed.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

维戈塞尔塔vs巴塞罗那


北京时间周一凌晨,维戈塞尔塔将在维戈Balaídos体育场欢迎巴塞罗那参加西甲联赛第38轮的比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。这是世界上第二好的联赛,我们可以期待一场高水平的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。我和我的球迷已经在西甲联赛中连续七次获得选秀权,长期的结果也很好!

现在的情况很清楚:只有维戈塞尔塔还有球队可以为之效力。他们正在为保级进行激烈的战斗。本场比赛的对手是赫塔菲(第14名,41分)、瓦伦西亚(第15名,41分)、阿尔梅里亚(第16名,40分)和巴利亚多利德(第18名,39分)。排名第18-20位的球队将在下个赛季降级到西甲。在下注西甲最后一轮比赛时,重要的是要知道,如果在比赛结束时得分相等,那么正面交锋将是决胜局。是的,塞尔塔在动力上的巨大优势极大地影响了这里的概率和赔率。然而,博彩市场似乎在这里过分强调了这个因素。事实上,接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司提供的赔率约为2.45,这是一支世界级的球队,也是西甲联赛的新冠军。然而,推荐的赌注是巴塞罗那+0.5个进球,获胜的可能性非常高。巴萨的教练很可能会在这里再次轮换阵容。即便如此,他们的阵容中还是有很多非常强大和有创造力的球员。许多年轻而有天赋的球员肯定非常有动力在这里证明他们的技术!如果巴利亚多利德不能击败赫塔菲,那么一场平局就足以让维戈塞尔免于降级的可能性超过50%。

是的,塞尔塔应该得到43分。然而,不可否认的事实是,他们有一个非常令人失望的赛季!本赛季他们的进攻非常糟糕,本赛季到目前为止,他们在西甲联赛中只有41次进球。它缺少能进足够多球的一切。球队的结构很差,前锋缺乏技术,塞尔塔的进攻通常很容易预测,这使得对手很容易成功防守。现在他们面对的是巴萨非常强大的防守。事实上,巴萨在西甲只丢了18个球。维戈塞尔塔最近状态糟糕,最近6场比赛输了5场。他们缺乏信心,而且据我所知,他们的团队精神也不是很好。面对如此巨大的挑战,我也不相信他们的教练!在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们0-1输给了实力较弱的加的斯队,xG的战绩仅为0.48。真是一场糟糕的表演。

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