Jarkko头像
外籍分析师
芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
  • 1578

    方案

  • 6617

    粉丝

Survival fight goes on!

2021-04-04

比赛分析

主队埃尔切LOGO

埃尔切

西甲

已完赛

星期日2021-04-04 22:15

客队贝蒂斯LOGO

贝蒂斯

解读理由

The final 10 rounds of the season have huge matches for most teams, and this is no exception as Elche fight for survival, and Betis have a chance for a full good season for once, and European competitions for next season!

In the case of Elche it is rather surprsing that they still have everything in their own hands as they were clearly the worst team in La Liga in the autumn despite getting several undeserved wins which made all xG-models look ridiculous, but since the managerial change in mid -February from Almiron to Escriba they have actually looked like a team who deserve a chance to stay.

Still, they have 25 points, and the whole season xPts suggests that they should be at 17, and that indicates their class! They have conceded 42 goals which is a lot, but again the statistical models say that number should be 50 by now! Of course, the goal expectations and point expectations go hand in hand, but it is safe to say Elche have defensive problems.

And attacking ones too, they have scored 25 goals (xG is 19!), and 5 of them by their best scorer Boye who is suspended today.

The best scorers of today's squad are wingers Fidel and Josan with 4 goals, the latter is unlikely to play due injury.

Under Escriba Elche has played these games below:

这个赛季的最后10轮对大多数球队来说都是非常重要的比赛,这也不例外,因为埃尔切为了保级而战,而贝蒂斯也有机会争取下赛季欧战资格。

埃尔切的情况令人吃惊,他们仍然掌握着一切,因为他们显然是西甲秋天最糟糕的球队,尽管他们赢得了几场不应得的胜利,这让他们看起来都很可笑,但是自从2月中旬从阿尔米隆到埃斯克里巴的主教练变换以来,他们看起来更像是一支值得留下的球队。

尽管他们有25分,而且整个赛季的预期数据表明他们应该只拿到17分,这也体现出他们的水平!他们已经丢了42个球,这是很大的数目,但是再一次,统计模型显示,现在这个数字应该是50个!当然,他们的进球数和预期数据大致相同,但是可以肯定的说埃尔切的防守有问题。

他们进了25个球(预期数据是19个!),其中5个球来自于他们最好的射手博耶,他今天被停赛了。

今天球队最好的射手是边锋菲德尔和乔桑,他们都进了4个球,乔桑因伤不太可能上场。

埃尔切在埃斯克里巴的指教下的成绩:

A bit of everything. Outplayed by the big teams except in the home game v Sevilla, and it was mostly due good timing as Sevilla were in-between the Champion's League fixtures against Dortmund. The other win was an undeserved one, and nothing here suggests that Elche should be safe from relegation.

Betis have been good lately, especially defensively vs thee bottom teams. They have narrowed the goal scoring chances down to close to 0 from teams like Getafe, Cadiz, Alaves and even the dangerous Levante side.

除了主场对阵塞维利亚的比赛外,他们被其他强队击败,这主要是因为塞维利亚分心欧冠比赛。另一场胜利是不应得的,埃尔切的表现没有说服力。

贝蒂斯最近表现得很好,特别是在防守上对抗那些垫底的球队。他们已经将进球数降到最低,对手包括赫塔菲、加的斯、阿拉维斯,甚至是危险的莱万特。

The international break brought them no bad news, out of the six players in international duty only Guardado returned with some injuries.

I am happy to go with Betis -0.75, I do not Elche will score here tonight. 0-2.

国际比赛没有给他们带来坏消息,在参加国际比赛的六名球员中只有瓜尔达多带伤归队。

我看好贝蒂斯获胜。比分参考0 - 2。


观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。