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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A FINE match to bet on! 意甲 都灵VS国际米兰

2023-06-03

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-06-04 00:30

解读理由

Torino VS Inter Milan


Torino host Inter Milan for Italian Serie A round 38 battle at Stadio Olimpico di Torino in Turin very early Sunday mmorning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. This league is of high level by European standards – the fourth-best in my opinion. Football fans and us football bettors can expect an entertaining or good-level match here! The teams do not have anything at stake here. However, Inter still have a chance to topple Lazio and take 3nd place.. AC Milan, in 4th place, are just two points behind and beating the other team from Milan would surely please the visitors here.. Furthermore, matches like this the home team is usually pretty strong as almost all teams in majjor football countries want to thank the home fans for the support throughout the season and at least do their best and score some goals– and not lose the last game of the season. However, I believe the bookies give this factors too much emphasis here! In these kinds of games the goal expectancy is also a little higher than in a ”normal” midseason match. Indeed, I see this match as more high-scoring than the betting market does. The probability of over 2.5 goals to be scored is 54%. When the teams last played against each other it was a 1-0 win for Inter last September. This match coul definitely go either way – much depends on the players motivation and mental state.

I have strongly disagree with the biggest, often pretty smart bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers who do not seem to see either team the favorites here and offer both teams odds of around 2.75 to take all three points here at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time . However, I do would nit be at all surprised to see the odds on Inter to go down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the visiotrs. The hosts should be narrow favorites here with the expected lineups. Both teams' managers are expected to do some squad rotation here. I want to highlight that Inter a have a big number of The league table does not reflect the teams pure class here. Indeed, Inter would have deserved 76.12 points in terms of expected points (xPTS) but have, in reality ”just” 69 points to their account. Let's also remember that they made it to the UEFA Champions League final which is played next weak. Indeed, they have had a very strong season. Torino, on the other hand, can be happy with their season as they are currently in 8th place with 53 points in the pocket. Their number of xPTS is 50.12. Inter have won nine of their latest 10 game – what a record! Torino have been in good form too lately but have been lucky in many games this spring..



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都灵VS国际米兰


北京时间周日凌晨,意甲第38轮比赛将在都灵奥林匹克球场举行,都灵主场迎战国际米兰。这是最后一轮比赛了。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛是高水平的,在我看来是第四好的。足球迷和我们的足球投注者可以期待一场有趣或高水平的比赛!球队在这里没有任何利害关系。然而,国米仍然有机会超越拉齐奥,获得第三名。排名第四的AC米兰仅落后两分,击败另一支来自米兰的球队肯定会让这里的游客高兴。此外,像这样的比赛,主队通常是相当强大的,因为几乎所有足球大国的球队都想感谢主队球迷整个赛季的支持,至少要做到最好,进一些球——而且不要输掉赛季的最后一场比赛。然而,我相信博彩公司在这里过分强调了这个因素!在这种类型的比赛中,进球预期也比“正常”的赛季中期比赛要高一些。事实上,我认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的比赛得分更高。进球超过2.5个的概率是54%。两队上一次交手是在去年9月,国米1-0取胜。这场比赛肯定会有两种结果——很大程度上取决于球员的积极性和精神状态。

我强烈反对那些最大的,通常是相当聪明的博彩公司,他们接受客户的最大赌注,这些客户似乎没有看到任何一支球队是最受欢迎的球队,并且在北京时间周五晚上写这篇预告时,两支球队的赔率都在2.75左右。然而,如果看到国米的赔率在开球前下降,我一点也不会感到惊讶,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在客队身上。根据预期的阵容,东道主应该是微弱的热门。两支球队的主教练都希望在这里进行一些阵容轮换。我想强调的是,国米拥有大量的球员,联赛排名并不能完全反映球队的实力。事实上,国米本应得到76.12分的预期积分,但实际上他们的账户“只有”69分。让我们也记住,他们进入了欧冠决赛,这是下一场比赛。的确,他们度过了一个非常强劲的赛季。另一方面,都灵可以为他们的赛季感到高兴,因为他们目前以53分排名第8。他们的xPTS数是50.12。国米在最近的10场比赛中赢了9场,这是一个多么好的纪录啊!都灵最近的状态也不错,但是在这个春天的很多比赛中都很幸运。

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