Sarmiento Junin VS Newells Old Boys

Sarmiento Junin welcome Newells old Boys for this Argentinian Liga Pro round 19 clash at Estadio Eva Peron in Junin Friday morning Beijing time. This league is of lower level as a whole by global standards than many football enthusiasts and bettors probably think - taking into consideration what a great football country Argentina is in terms of football culture and – of course, led by Leo Messi, they lifted the World Cup trophy last December in Qatar! It is, on average, similar to many other South American leagues, for example the Brazilian Serie A and the Colombian Primera A, a low-scoring league. This match is no exception! The probability of under 1.5 goals scored is 50%. The probability of a draw is also very high – even by Liga Pro standards. Neither team's offense has impressed me in Liga Profesional this season – in fact the host have played two goalless draws in a row! Thave been lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). Indeed, the hosts have grabbed 24 points but I would have deserved just 21.09. They occupy the 12th place in the standings but I have them in the 23th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Newells Old Boys have been much better than the hosts recently and have scored five goals in their latest two games. The visitors have an edge in all areas of the game and are solid favorites here. Indeed, I must disagree with the biggest, often pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers who see the Newells Old Boys only as slim favorites and offer them odds of around 2.80 to take all three points today. The recommended bet is +0.5 goals handicap option on the visitors with a clearly over 70% chance of winning. They have lost just one of their latest seven games.. Yes, the home advantage is there but Sarmiento Junin do not have the best fans and have not impressed at home this season.. As most of my fans probably know, I bever let the league table fool me! Newells Old Boys have potential for much better performances and might well start climbing up the standings even further soon! 

The visitors are in 9th place in my power rating. Last season they finished in 11th place with 40 points in the pocket. However, they would have deserved more in terms of expected points (xPTS)! At the moment they have 26 points to their account but their xPTS is 28.02.The bookies should respect them more! Sarmiento Junin, on the other hand, endep up in the 21st place with just 32 points to their account in this league with a total of 28 clubs. I want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Sarmiento Junin  players have a total market value of just around 13 million euros. In my opinion this is still a little too low though. I would set the number at around 14.5 million.. . The visitors' players have a total market value of approximately 30 million which is slightly too high as well! My point is that the visitors are much the bigger  team"on paper". They have much more individual skill - especially offensively despite the fact that Sarmiento Junin have scored more goals so far this season in Liga Pro However, the total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a pretty good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch!

萨米恩托·朱宁VS纽维尔老男孩

北京时间周五上午，萨米恩托·朱宁欢迎纽维尔老男孩参加阿根廷职业联赛第19轮在伊娃贝隆球场的比赛。从全球标准来看，这个联赛的整体水平可能比许多足球爱好者和投注者想象的要低——考虑到阿根廷在足球文化方面是一个多么伟大的足球国家，当然，在梅西的带领下，他们去年12月在卡塔尔举起了世界杯奖杯!平均而言，它与许多其他南美联赛相似，例如巴西甲级联赛和哥伦比亚甲级联赛，这是一个低得分联赛。这场比赛也不例外!进球少于1.5个的概率是50%。平局的可能性也非常高——即使按照职业联赛的标准。在本赛季的西甲联赛中，两支球队的进攻都没有给我留下深刻的印象——事实上，东道主已经连续两场零比零的平局!就期望值(xPTS)而言，我很幸运。事实上，东道主已经拿到了24分，但我应该得到21.09分。他们在积分榜上排名第12位，但我把他们的实力排名排在第23位，这反映了球队的纯粹等级。纽维尔的老男孩队最近比东道主好得多，在最近的两场比赛中打进了5球。客队在比赛的各个方面都有优势，在这里是最受欢迎的球队。事实上，我必须反对那些最大的、通常相当精明的博彩公司，他们接受客户的最大赌注，这些客户认为纽厄尔斯老男孩队只是微弱的热门，并为他们提供2.80左右的赔率，以获得今天的全部三分。建议的赌注是客队+0.5个进球障碍选项，显然胜率超过70%。他们最近七场比赛只输了一场。是的，主场优势在那里，但是萨米恩托·朱宁没有最好的球迷，本赛季在主场没有给人留下深刻的印象。正如我的大多数粉丝可能知道的那样，我从不让积分榜欺骗我!纽维尔老男孩队有潜力取得更好的成绩，而且很可能很快就会开始进一步攀升!

v星人在我的能量评级中排名第九。上赛季他们以40分的成绩排在第11位。然而，就期望积分(xPTS)而言，他们理应得到更多!目前，他们的账户上有26点，但他们的xPTS是28.02。博彩公司应该更尊重他们!另一方面，萨米恩托·朱宁在这个共有28家俱乐部的联赛中仅获得32分，排名第21位。我想提一下，根据一个非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站，Transfermarkt.com，萨米恩托·朱宁球员的总市值约为1300万欧元。在我看来，这还是有点太低了。我估计这个数字在1450万左右。客队球员的总市值约为3000万，这也有点太高了!我的观点是，客队在“纸面上”要大得多。他们有更多的个人技术——特别是在进攻端，尽管本赛季到目前为止，萨米恩托·朱宁在西甲联赛中打进了更多的球。然而，总的市场价值当然有时会被误导，但仍然是一个很好的指标，表明一支球队在球场上的实际水平!