These odds are simply wrong! It is far from a walk in the park for Atletico, but they deserve to be around 38 % favourites.

Both are naturally more or less rested because of the international match break, and there is still plenty to play for also for Sevilla who perhaps are too far from top-3 both classwise and in the actual table, but need to confirm their top-4 position in La Liga.

Apart from doubtful full-back Vidal Sevilla are in full strenght, and Atletico only wing-back Carrasco out for sure as he is suspended. He is a big miss, but the recent return of Trippier has been extremely welcomed news for the right flank. Joao Felix is a doubt, but also would likely not be starting either as he is not fullfilling the hopes of coach Simeone.

Atletico were result-wise in a bad run in early 2021, but it easily explained by both injuries and bad luck. They tend to go hand in hand if the key players are out, and Trippier was clearly the standout missing man.

由于国际比赛，两队自然都或多或少地休息了，塞维利亚与前三名相去甚远，但为了欧冠资格，他们需要确认排在前四名。

塞维利亚出比达尔外阵容完整，马竞卡拉斯科停赛、特里皮尔回归、乔奥·费利克斯可能缺席。

马竞在2021年初表现不佳，伤病和运气都很差。 关键球员不在球队表现不稳定，现在核心特里皮尔回归了。

Atletico last league games with xG.

Sevilla have excellent home results to show in a big picture as they have kept a clean vs most La Liga teams, but the worrying thing is they can not say the same vs these better clubs! Sevilla have recently lost to Barcelona, Dortmund, Real Madrid, and Chelsea. The only win vs big teams was the firs leg of the cup semifinal against Barcelona, but they still got kicked out in the away leg.

So Sevilla are rather reliable to beat Huesca and Elche at home, but not the big guns!

Sevilla last league games with xG. In Valladolid they needed keeper Bono to score at 94th minute to equalize!

塞维利亚拥有出色的主场成绩，因为他们对大多数西甲球队都保持了零封，但令人担忧的是他们对实力较强的俱乐部时无法不失球。 塞维利亚最近输给了巴塞罗那，多特蒙德，皇家马德里和切尔西。 唯一一场对阵豪门的胜利是杯赛半决赛对阵巴塞罗那的第一回合，但他们仍然在次回合被对手逆转，淘汰出局。

塞维利亚在主场击败韦斯卡和埃尔切的表现缺乏说服力。

For Atletico this is first of their difficult games to protect their 4 point lead over Barcelona, and in that chase getting kicked out of Champion's league is a big help. It is very true that they looked scared in the Chelsea games, and needed heroics of keeper Oblak to win over Alaves, but it all counts! They have Suarez and Oblak, match winners in both boxes. They look like a familiar Simeone team now, they do win comfortbly, but they do win games!

I am not expecting an entertaining game in the traditional way, but it is good to see if the nerves of Simeone are good enough for the rest of the season.

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对于马竞来说，这是他们艰难的比赛之一，球队需要取胜以确保他们的4分领先优势。 确实，他们在切尔西比赛中看上去很糟糕，需要门将奥布拉克的英勇才能战胜阿拉维斯，但他们有苏亚雷斯和奥布拉克。 球队现在恢复了正常水平，他们有能力赢得比赛。

看好马竞获胜。

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