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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A great match to bet on! $$$

2023-05-31

比赛分析

芬兰杯

已完赛

星期三2023-05-31 23:30

解读理由

KTP VS Gnistan


KTP welcome visitors from  Helsinki, the capital of Finland, for this Finnish Cup 1/16-finals clash at Arto Tolsa Areena in Kotkalate Wednesday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s football extremely well and we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! I have also previewed two other Finnish Cup games. KTP play in the Veikkausliiga, the highest tier of Finnish football. The level of Veikkausliiga is low by European standards but it has still improved during the last 8-12 years. JJK play in Ykkönen, the second tier. The difference between these two leagues is massive. In Ykkönen most players are not even professional footballers. I watch all Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and Finnish Cup games starting from this stage – many matches live at the stadium as well! Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put much more time and resources on the big leagues than on the big leagues – for example the Spanish LaLiga - than on Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and Finnish Cup where they make many mistakes with their odds! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that KTPare a much better team here. They are in 8th place in Veikkausliiga at the moment. They have nine points to their account after nine games. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is slightly lower though.. 

KTP are traditionally a strong team at home in front of enthusiastic fans. I expect the atmosphere to be good at Arto Tolsa Areena today! This competition is not the main priority for either team but I expect only moderate squad rotation by KTP'S excellent young coach, Jussi Leppälahti. KTP are not among the top-6 teams in Veikkausliiga and are surely motivated to try to win the Finnish Cup. The prize money for the winner is only 50 000 euros but the winner earns a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification for next season. This would be a massive achievement for KTP. It is improbable but not impossible! In their most recent game they beat Honka, the third-best team in Veikkausliiga according to my power rating, away from home 1-0. It was a big surprise as they were priced around 7.00 to win on the betting market. I was impressed by KTP's performance as they even recorded more shots on target - 11-8- Surely a massive boost for their confidence. The biggest, often rather smart bookies that accept the biggest stakes offer odds of around 1.55 on KTP to win during the 90 minutes of play here and that's too much. I see them having a 73% chance! Gnistan know that they probably will not win this competition - the chance is less than 1%. Their focus is on Ykkönen where they top the standings with 17 points to their account. They dream of being promoted to Veikkausliiga but this is probably not going to happen.. Yes, they have played well but their number of expected points is still much lower and the strong results have made them too hot on the betting market! They are not among the top-3 Ykkönen in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They will surely try to defend hard here and a draw would not be a massive surprise but they have not faced an offense of KTP's caliber for ages and I think it will be too much for them to handle.. Many Gnistan defenders are pretty slow compared to KTP's offensive players.. Offensively Gnistan cannot match KTP either.. I also want to mention that KTP'S player salary budget (around 600 000 euros) and players total market value (close to three million euros) - according to Transfermarkt.com are at a totally different level than those of Gnistan's! I also do not fully trust Gnistan's coach J. Rantanen ahead of this massive challenge..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

巴基斯坦VS阿富汗


北京时间周三晚,KTP欢迎来自芬兰首都赫尔辛基的游客前来观看在科特卡拉特阿尔托·托尔萨竞技场举行的芬兰杯1/16决赛。我非常了解我的祖国足球,我们在这里又有一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我还预演了另外两场芬兰杯比赛。KTP参加的是芬兰足球的最高级别联赛——维甲联赛。以欧洲标准来看,维库斯利加的水平很低,但在过去的8-12年里,它仍然有所提高。JJK打在Ykkönen,第二梯队。这两个联赛之间的差异是巨大的。在Ykkönen,大多数球员甚至不是职业足球运动员。从这个阶段开始,我看了所有的维城联赛、Ykkönen和芬兰杯的比赛——许多比赛也在体育场现场直播!幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,博彩公司把更多的时间和资源放在大联赛上,而不是大联赛——比如西甲联赛——而不是维考斯利加、Ykkönen和芬兰杯,他们在赔率上犯了很多错误!当然,毫无疑问,ktpa是一支更好的球队。他们目前在维克考斯利加排名第8。九场比赛后,他们的帐上有九分。他们的期望值(xPTS)略低一些。

在热情的球迷面前,KTP是一支传统的强队。我期待今天阿尔托托萨竞技场的气氛会很好!这场比赛对两支球队来说都不是首要任务,但我希望KTP优秀的年轻教练Jussi Leppälahti能够适度轮换阵容。KTP并不是维考斯利加的前六名球队之一,他们当然有动力去赢得芬兰杯。获胜者的奖金只有5万欧元,但获胜者将获得下赛季欧洲联盟联赛资格的入场券。这将是KTP的巨大成就。这是不可能的,但不是不可能的!在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们客场1-0击败了宏卡队,根据我的实力评级,宏卡队是维克考斯利加第三强的球队。这是一个很大的惊喜,因为他们在博彩市场上的价格约为7.00。KTP的表现给我留下了深刻的印象,他们甚至记录了更多的正射,11比8,这无疑极大地增强了他们的信心。最大的,通常是相当聪明的博彩公司接受最大的赌注,在90分钟的比赛中,KTP的赔率约为1.55,这太大了。我看到他们有73%的机会!阿富汗知道他们可能不会赢得这场比赛——机会不到1%。他们的重点是Ykkönen,在那里他们以17分的积分排名第一。他们梦想着升入维克考斯利甲,但这可能不会发生。是的,他们打得很好,但他们的预期点数仍然低得多,强劲的结果使他们在投注市场上太热了!他们不在我的力量排名前三Ykkönen之列,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。他们肯定会在这里努力防守,平局不会是一个巨大的惊喜,但他们已经很久没有面对过KTP这样的进攻了,我认为这对他们来说太难应付了。与KTP的进攻球员相比,许多巴基斯坦后卫都相当慢。在进攻端,巴基斯坦也比不上巴基斯坦。我还想提一下,根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,KTP的球员工资预算(大约60万欧元)和球员总市值(接近300万欧元)与格尼斯坦的水平完全不同!面对如此巨大的挑战,我也不完全信任巴基斯坦的教练J. Rantanen。

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