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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting game in Finland! 芬兰杯 于韦斯屈莱VS库普斯

2023-05-31

比赛分析

芬兰杯

已完赛

星期三2023-05-31 23:30

解读理由

JJK vs KuPS


JJK welcome visitors from Kuopio for this Finnish Cup 1/16-finals clash at Harjun Stadion Arena in Jyväskylä late Wednesday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s football extremely well and we have yet another vert promising betting opportunity here! KuPS play in the Veikkausliiga, the highest tier of Finnish football. The level of Veikkausliiga is low by European standards but it has still improved during the last 8-12 years. JJK play in Ykkönen, the second tier. I watch all Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and Finnish Cup games starting from this stage – many matches live at the stadium as well. Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put much more time and resources on the big leagues than on the big leagues than on Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and Finnish Cup where they make many mistakes with their odds. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that Kups are a much better team here. They are the second-best team in Veikkausliiga after HJK by pure class. They had a difficult start to the season losing two of the three games under an inexperienced coach Pasi Tuutti. He was quickly sacked and replaced by Jani Honkavaara. He won the championship with KuPS back in 2019. KuPS then went on to win six games in a row and played well. Even so, they did have some luck in some games as well. As a result, they became too hot on the betting market. Even so, they are in the fight for the championship this season despite being ”only” in third place in the Veikkausliiga standings.

 In their most recent match KuPS lost to SJK 0-1 away from home. SJK had 65% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on and off goal as well as attacks. KuPS were not bad by any means but the loss may still have hit their confidence and ”winning flow” a bit. They have won the Finnish Cup many times but I believe this season they will put their focus on Veikkausliiga and of course try to make something happen in the UEFA Conference League qualification. They have a tough game scheduled for Saturday in Veikkausliiga against Haka – an important game! The Finnish Cup is not very important for KuPS as the winner gets a prize of only 50 000 euros and a ticket to the Conference qualification for next season. However, KuPS will qualify for this almost certainly anyway - 98% probability or so. They have a strong starting eleven + 3-4 strong players on the bench. However, they lack a star striker at the moment and have not scored three goals in one game since the 14th of January when they beat Kuopion Elo, a very bad amateur team, 6-1 in a friendly game. Honkavaara will probably rotate the squad - possibly even heavily – today. Even so, KuPS have close to 80% chance of winning during the 90 minutes of play. The odds on them as only around 1.12 on the betting market at the time of writing this preview Tuesday evening Beijing time and that is too low!

JJK were promoted to Ykkönen from Kakkonen, third tier, for this season. They have had a slow start to the season and have five points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 7.45. This is a massive game for them and a good number of fans are expected to be cheering for JJK today. The weather is fine and JJK are a traditional club that has even played in Veikkausliiga in the past. They have lost two games in a row now. Ekenäs, a very strong team in Ykkönen, currently in 2nd place, beat JJK in Tammisaari four days ago 3-0 but the match was more balanced than the final score would suggest. Before this JJK were unlucky to lose to KåPa at home 1-2. They had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal as well as attacks and dangerous attacks. They have an excellent chance of avoiding losing by more than a margin of two goals!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

JJK vs up


北京时间周三晚,JJK欢迎来自库奥皮奥的游客前来观看在Jyväskylä哈君体育场举行的芬兰杯1/16决赛。我非常了解我的祖国足球,我们这里还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!up在芬兰足球的最高级别联赛Veikkausliiga踢球。以欧洲标准来看,维库斯利加的水平很低,但在过去的8-12年里,它仍然有所提高。JJK打在Ykkönen,第二梯队。从这个阶段开始,我看了所有的维城联赛、Ykkönen和芬兰杯的比赛——许多比赛也在体育场现场直播。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,博彩公司在大联赛上投入的时间和资源比在维考斯利加、Ykkönen和芬兰杯上投入的时间和资源要多得多,因为他们在赔率上犯了很多错误。当然,毫无疑问,up是一支更好的球队。他们在纯水平上是维克考斯利加第二好的球队,仅次于jk。在缺乏经验的教练帕西·图蒂的带领下,他们本赛季开局艰难,三场比赛中输了两场。他很快被解雇,取而代之的是贾尼·洪卡瓦拉。他在2019年与up一起赢得了冠军。随后,卡普斯队连续赢得了六场比赛,并且表现出色。即便如此,他们在一些比赛中也有一些运气。结果,他们在博彩市场上变得太火了。即便如此,他们本赛季仍在争夺冠军,尽管他们“只”排在维考斯利加积分榜的第三位。

在最近的比赛中,他们在客场0-1输给了SJK。SJK有65%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数和攻击次数。从任何角度来看,上升都不坏,但输球可能仍然打击了他们的信心和“胜利流”。他们已经多次赢得芬兰杯冠军,但我相信本赛季他们会把注意力集中在维克考斯利加,当然也会努力在欧洲联盟联赛资格赛中有所作为。他们将于周六在维克考斯利加与哈卡进行一场艰苦的比赛——一场重要的比赛!芬兰杯对up来说并不是很重要,因为冠军只能获得5万欧元的奖金和一张下赛季会议资格赛的门票。然而,无论如何,up几乎肯定会符合这一条件——98%左右的概率。他们有一个强大的首发11人+ 3-4名替补球员。然而,他们目前缺乏一名明星前锋,自1月14日在友谊赛中以6比1击败一支非常糟糕的业余球队库奥皮翁埃洛以来,他们还没有在一场比赛中进过3球。本卡瓦拉今天可能会轮换阵容,甚至可能是大量轮换。即便如此,在90分钟的比赛中,up也有接近80%的获胜机会。在北京时间周二晚上写这篇预告时,他们的赔率只有1.12左右,这太低了!

JJK本赛季从第三级球队Kakkonen提升到Ykkönen。他们本赛季开局缓慢,目前只拿到5分。但是,它们的期望值(xPTS)为7.45。这对他们来说是一场重要的比赛,预计今天会有很多球迷为jk欢呼。天气很好,JJK是一家传统的俱乐部,过去甚至在维克考斯利加踢过球。他们已经连输两场了。目前排名第二的Ykkönen是一支非常强大的球队,四天前在Tammisaari以3比0击败JJK,但这场比赛比最终比分所显示的更加平衡。在此之前,JJK不幸在主场1-2输给了kapata。他们有53%的控球率,记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数、进攻和危险进攻。他们有很大的机会避免以两球以上的差距输掉比赛!

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