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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Finland!

2023-05-30

比赛分析

芬兰杯

已完赛

星期二2023-05-30 23:30

解读理由

HJK VS Honka


HJK welcome visitors from Espoo for this Finnish Cup 1/16-finals clash at Bolton Arena in Helsinki late Tuesday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s football very well and we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here. Both teams play in the Veikkausliiga, the highest tier of Finnish football. The level of Veikkausliiga is low by European standards but it has still improved during the last 10 or or so years. I watch all Veikkausliiga and Finnish Cup games starting from this stage – many matce live on the stadium as well. Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put more resources on the big leagues than on the big leagues than on Veikkausliiga where they make many mistakes with their odds. HJK have not been at their best lately – there is no denying this. Even so, they are still in the first play in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class. The bookies have now reacted to this – too heavily and offer odds of around 1.75-1.80 on HJK to win during the 90 minutes of play at least at the time of writing this analysis on Tuesday around 5 pm. Beijing time.. They have won the championship many times in a row and even made it to the UEFA Europa League group phase last season where they played against Spanish Real Betis, Italian AS Roma and Bulgarian Ludogorets – a surprisingly strong team as well. At home they fought well against both Betis and Roma despite losing – 0-2 to Betis and 1-2 to Roma. Against Ludogorets it was 1-1 at Bolt Arena after a pretty balanced clash. In the 2021 they qualified for the UEFA Conference League group phase winning two of the two games. Their squad this season is about as good as last season. Their players salary budget is 2.1 million euros, clearly the biggest in Veikkausliiga. Honka’s player budget is one million. HJK are also a much bigger team than Honka in terms of players total market value according to well-known German website, Transfermarkt.com. Honka lost their star striker, Agon Sadiku, right before the season started. He was sold to Norway for a very big amount of money by Veikkausliiga standards – 600 000 euros to be precise. Honka have not really been able to replace him and the bookies

Honka are clearly worse than last season when they were even fighting for the championship late into the season. They did, however, finish in third place. This is also their place in my power rating but are only marginally better than SJK, ranked in 4th place. Honka were very disappointing in their most recent match losing to one of the worst teams, KTP, at home 0-1 as big favorites, priced around 1.50 by the bookies to win. KTP are usually a weak team on the road and were promoted to Veikkausliiga for this season. Honka had 63% ball possession and did record 20 goal attempts but KTP also had 19 attempts. Moreover, KTP recorded more shots on goal - 11-8! Before this Honka were not impressive offensively despite beating AC Oulu 3-1 away from home. Oulu had more goal attempts (10-5) and both teams generated less than one goal in expected goals (xG). Before this KuPS beat them 1-0 in Espoo. HJK, too, were disappointing offensively in their most recent match in Åland. IFK Mariehamn could not make almost anything happen offensively - failing to record any shots on HJK’s goal but defended well. No goals were scored. HJK must be very annoyed by this draw as they were clear favorites on the betting market. Before this it was a 1-1 draw in Tampere and again HJK failed to impress but Ilves played better than average in this game. Before this HJK crushed a dangerous team, Inter Turku, 4-1 at home. HJK have very good fans by Finnish standards and the home advantage here is bigger than in many other Finnish Cup games. HJK and Honka locked horns in the round 1 of Veikkausliiga and Honka started very well but then HJK took strong control of the game and won 2-0. This competition is not the main preiority for either team and some squad rotation is expected today. This probably favors HJK who have a very big number of great players in the squad. Honka’s squad is much more narrow..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

香港VS香港


北京时间周二晚,在赫尔辛基博尔顿体育馆举行的芬兰杯1/16决赛中,jk欢迎来自埃斯波的观众。我非常了解我的祖国足球,我们在这里还有另一个有利可图的赌博机会。这两支球队都参加了芬兰足球的最高级别联赛——维甲联赛。以欧洲标准来看,维库斯利加的水平很低,但在过去的10年左右的时间里,它仍然有所提高。从这里开始,我看了所有的维城联赛和芬兰杯的比赛——很多比赛也在体育场现场直播。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,博彩公司把更多的资源放在联赛上,而不是在联赛上,他们在赔率上犯了很多错误。hkk最近并没有处于最佳状态——这是不可否认的。即便如此,在我的力量排名中,他们仍然是第一个反映球队纯粹级别的球队。博彩公司现在对此做出了反应——过于沉重,至少在周二下午5点左右写这篇分析的时候,在90分钟的比赛中,hkk的赔率约为1.75-1.80。北京时间. .他们已经连续多次获得冠军,甚至在上赛季的欧联杯小组赛阶段,他们对阵了西班牙皇家贝蒂斯,意大利罗马和保加利亚卢多戈雷茨——一支令人惊讶的强大球队。在主场对阵贝蒂斯和罗马的比赛中,他们表现出色,尽管0-2负于贝蒂斯,1-2负于罗马。在博尔特竞技场与卢多戈雷特的比赛中,双方势均力敌,比分为1-1。在2021年,他们赢得了两场比赛中的两场,获得了参加欧洲联盟联赛小组赛的资格。他们这个赛季的阵容和上个赛季差不多。他们的球员工资预算是210万欧元,显然是维克考斯利加最高的。Honka的球员预算是100万美元。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员总市值而言,jk的规模也比洪卡大得多。就在赛季开始前,宏卡失去了他们的明星前锋阿贡·萨迪库。按照维克考斯利加的标准,他以一大笔钱被卖给了挪威——准确地说,是60万欧元。洪卡并没有真正能够取代他和博彩公司

很明显,当他们在赛季后期还在为冠军而战的时候,他们的表现比上赛季还要差。然而,他们最终获得了第三名。这也是他们在我的力量评级中的位置,但只比排名第四的SJK好一点点。在最近的一场比赛中,洪卡队非常令人失望,他们在主场0-1输给了最差的球队之一KTP,这是一个大热门,博彩公司的胜率在1.50左右。KTP通常是一支在客场表现不佳的球队,本赛季升入了维克考斯利甲。洪卡有63%的控球率,并且有创纪录的20次射门,但KTP也有19次射门。此外,KTP的射门次数更多——11比8!在此之前,尽管在客场3-1击败奥卢,但洪卡的进攻并没有给人留下深刻的印象。奥卢队的进球次数更多(10胜5负),两队的预期进球数都不到一个(xG)。在此之前,up在埃斯波以1比0击败了他们。在最近一场与Åland的比赛中,香港恒大的进攻端也令人失望。玛丽汉姆在进攻端几乎什么都做不了——没有射门,但是防守很好。没有进球。hkk一定对这个平局非常恼火,因为他们在博彩市场上是明显的热门。在此之前,我们在坦佩雷1-1战平,同样的,皇马没能给人留下深刻的印象,但是伊尔维斯在这场比赛中发挥得比平均水平要好。在此之前,hkk在主场以4比1击败了一支危险的球队——国际图尔库。以芬兰的标准来看,hkk拥有非常好的球迷,主场优势比其他许多芬兰杯比赛都要大。在维克考斯利加的第一轮比赛中,hkk和洪卡发生了争执,洪卡开局很好,但随后hkk强有力地控制了比赛,并以2-0获胜。这场比赛对两队来说都不是首要任务,预计今天会有一些阵容轮换。这可能对拥有大量优秀球员的HJK有利。Honka的阵容要窄得多…

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