Hammarby VS IFK Varnamo

Hammarby host IFK Varnamo for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 10 clash at Tele2 Arena in Stockholm early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of below average level by European standards. However, the level is still better than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga. Football fans and us football bettors cannot expect a particularly entertaining - or good-level match here.. Most importantly, we have a promising betting opportunity here! There is no doubt about the fact that Hammarby are the better team here. In terms of defensive quality, however, the difference is extremely slim at the moment. The home advantage is lower on average in Allsvenskan than in most other European leagues. Furthermore, Hammarby do not have particularly loud home fans – even by Swedish standards. Hammarby currently occupy the 10th place in the standings. They have a total of 12 points to their account. There is no denying the fact that they have been very disappointing so far this season. I have, as result, significantly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They are in 7th place in this rating at the moment. Last season they were surprisingly good and finished in 3rd place with 56 points to their account. However, they were somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). I believe the strong last season affects the odds too much here. Hammarby's defense has been incredibly vulnerable so far this season. They have conceded a stunning 18 goals! Yes, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is lower but I have still been surprised by the numerous mistakes their defenders and midfielders have made. Their defensive structure has been poor as well. They will surely improve as the season progresses but I think this will take time..The bookmakers seem to give their potential too much emphasis.

IFK Varnamo have allowed 11 goals so far and fight pretty well as a team despite not having any ”big names” in defense. Their offense is not great but taking into account Hammarby's leak defense I expect them to score here – perhaps even more than once. Even so, I expect them to be pretty defensive here and mainly rely on counter attacks, corner kicks etc to score. I see the match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. My fans and I have a chance to place a lucrative bet on IFK Varnamo with the +1.5 goals handicap option with a big chance of winning. All we need is for the visitors not to lose by a margin of more than one goal. The biggest, usually somewhat sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets respect the hosts way too much here. They have a 51% chance to take all three points. Hammarby have won just one of their latest five games and seem to be low in confidence! Moreover, they have not won any of their latest six games by a margin of more than one goal! They were disappointing in their latest game despite taking a point against Degerfors away from home as clear favorites – priced around 2.25 to win on the betting market. Even so, Degerfors recorded many more scoring attempts (18-8), shots on goal (8-5), shots off goal, corner kicks and dangerous attacks - 71-33. Degerfors, a  pretty lowly team, also generated much more in expected goals (xG) 1.68 – 0.63. IFK Varnamo were unlucky to lose to Kalmar in their most recent game 0-1 at home. They recorded more scoring attempts, shots on goal (4-1), attacks and dangerous attacks. Varnamo also generated more in expected goals (xG) 0.91 – 0.58.

哈马比VS瓦尔纳莫

北京时间周二凌晨，哈马比主场迎战瓦尔纳莫，将在斯德哥尔摩的Tele2 Arena球场与瑞典阿尔斯温斯坎队进行第10轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平低于平均水平。然而，水平仍然比例如芬兰的维克斯利加好。球迷和我们的足球投注者不能期望在这里看到一场特别有趣或高水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们在这里有一个很好的投注机会!毫无疑问，汉姆比在这里是一支更好的球队。然而，就防守质量而言，目前双方的差距微乎其微。奥尔斯文斯卡的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛都要低。此外，哈马比没有特别响亮的主场球迷——即使按照瑞典的标准。哈姆比目前在积分榜上排名第十。他们的账户上总共有12分。不可否认的事实是，他们本赛季到目前为止表现得非常令人失望。因此，我大大降低了他们的能量等级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级。他们目前在这一评级中排名第七。上赛季他们的表现出奇的好，以56分的积分排名第三。然而，就期望值(xPTS)而言，他们还是比较幸运的。我认为上个赛季的强势影响了这里的胜率。本赛季到目前为止，汉马比的防守非常脆弱。他们丢了惊人的18个球!是的，他们的预期失球数(xGA)较低，但我仍然对他们的后卫和中场犯下的众多错误感到惊讶。他们的防守结构也很糟糕。他们肯定会随着赛季的进展而进步，但我认为这需要时间……博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力。

到目前为止，瓦尔纳莫已经丢了11个球，尽管没有任何“大牌”防守，但作为一支球队，他们打得很好。他们的进攻不是很好，但是考虑到哈马比的防漏，我希望他们能在这里进球——也许不止一次。即便如此，我还是希望他们在这里保持很强的防守，主要依靠反击、角球等来得分。我认为这场比赛的得分比博彩市场更低。我和我的球迷有机会下注IFK Varnamo的+1.5个进球障碍选项，有很大的获胜机会。我们所需要的就是客队不能以超过一球的差距输掉比赛。在这里，那些接受最大赌注的最大的、通常有些精明的博彩公司过于尊重东道主了。他们有51%的机会拿到全部三分。汉马比最近五场比赛只赢了一场，似乎信心不足!此外，他们在最近的六场比赛中没有赢过一球以上的比赛!他们在最近的比赛中表现令人失望，尽管他们在客场对阵德格弗斯的比赛中获得了一分，在博彩市场上的胜率约为2.25分。即便如此，德格福斯的进球次数(18胜8负)、射正(8胜5负)、射偏、角球和危险进攻的记录(71胜33负)更多。德格弗斯，一支相当低水平的球队，也产生了更多的预期进球(xG) 1.68 - 0.63。瓦尔纳莫在最近一场主场0-1输给卡尔玛的比赛中很不幸。他们的进球次数、射门次数(4比1)、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。瓦尔纳莫也创造了更多的预期进球(xG: 0.91 - 0.58)。