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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A lucrative game in Norway! 挪超分享

2023-05-29

比赛分析

挪超

已完赛

星期一2023-05-29 23:00

解读理由

Stabaek VS Valerenga


Stabaek welcome Vaöleranga for this Norwegian Eliteserien round 8 clash at Nadderud Stadion in Bekkestua late Monday evening Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. Football afns and us football bettors cannot expect a very entertaining - or good-level match here.. However, we have a promising betting opportunity here! Indeed, there is a clear difference in terms of pure class. The majority of my fans probably know by now that I never let the league fool me! Stabeak currently occupy the 7th place in the standings. They have a total of 11 points to their account. It is true that they have been surprisingly good so far. I have, as result, moderately raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They are in 12th place in this rating at the moment However, I want to mention that they have been lucky in several games this season. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 7.68. They have scored nine goals so far but their number of expected goals is moderately lower. They have conceded 11 goals so far. Their defensive structure has not been great in most games and the defenders have made some stupid mistakes. -especially under big pressure. Furthermore, the midfielders should take part in defending more actively. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 13.43. I do not trust their coaches' abilities to improve his team's performance in any area of the game.. Furthermore, I hav not been impressed by him as a leader. I think he is an overrated guy. I think the bookmakers have reacted way too much to Stabaeak's better than expected results and respect them too much here. This means that fans and I have a chance to place a lucrative bet on Valerenga with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The biggest, usually somewhat sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets do not seem to have an actual favorite here and offer both teams odds of around 2.75 to win. However, with the expected lineups, I see the visitors as solid favorites!

We should remember that last season Valeranga played wella and finished in 7th place. They managed to grab 45 points and had a good score difference of 46:37. Stabaeak, on the other hand, were promoted from OBOS-Ligaen, the second-tier, to Elitserien for this season. We have no reason to believe that Valeranga would be worse this season. They currently occupy 9th place. They are in 7th place in my power rating. Their offense has been very pretty strong, as expected and they have netted the ball 12 times. They have, however, conceded too many goals – 11 to be precise. However, their number of xGA is still significantly smaller– 8.13. Stabaek do not have very loud and enthusiastic fans – even by Norwegian standards. I also want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Valerenga players have a total market value of about 13 million euros. In my opinion this is still a bit too low! I would set the number at around 17 million.. . The hosts' players have a total market value of 7.5 million which is too high! Valeranga have been in better form than Stabaek lately and have significantly improved their level in May. They have lost just one of their latest fibe games – winning three of these five matches.





该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

斯塔巴克VS瓦勒伦加


斯塔巴赫欢迎Vaöleranga参加北京时间周一晚在贝克斯图亚纳德鲁德球场举行的挪威精英队第8轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛处于中等水平。球迷和美国球迷不能指望这里会有一场非常有趣或高水平的比赛。然而,我们在这里有一个很好的投注机会!确实,在纯粹的阶级方面有明显的区别。我的大多数球迷现在可能知道,我从来没有让联盟愚弄我!斯塔比克目前在积分榜上排名第七。他们的账户上总共有11分。到目前为止,他们确实表现得出奇地好。因此,我适度提高了他们的能量等级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。他们目前在这个排名中排名第12位,然而,我想说的是,他们在本赛季的几场比赛中都很幸运。他们的期望值(xPTS)为7.68。到目前为止,他们已经进了9个球,但他们的预期进球数略低。到目前为止,他们已经丢了11个球。他们的防守结构在大多数比赛中都不是很好,后卫犯了一些愚蠢的错误。——尤其是在巨大的压力下。此外,中场应该更积极地参与防守。他们的预期进球数(xGA)是13.43。我不相信他们的教练有能力在比赛的任何方面提高球队的表现。此外,我对他的领导能力印象不深。我认为他被高估了。我认为博彩公司对斯塔巴克好于预期的结果反应太大,太尊重他们了。这意味着球迷和我有机会在瓦勒伦加身上下注+0.5个进球障碍选项。最大的,通常有些敏锐的接受最大赌注的博彩公司似乎没有真正的最爱,并给出两支球队的赔率都在2.75左右。然而,在预期的阵容中,我认为客队是最受欢迎的!

我们应该记住,上赛季瓦莱兰加踢得很好,最终排名第七。他们设法拿到了45分,并取得了46:37的好成绩。相反,斯塔巴克本赛季从二级联赛obs - ligaen升入了埃利特泽连。我们没有理由相信瓦莱兰加这个赛季会更差。他们目前排名第九。他们在我的能量评级中排名第七。他们的进攻非常强大,正如预期的那样,他们已经打进了12球。然而,他们丢了太多的球——准确地说是11个。然而,它们的xGA数量仍然明显较小,为8.13。斯塔巴克没有非常大声和热情的球迷——即使按照挪威的标准。我还想提一下,根据一家非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,瓦莱伦加球员的总市值约为1300万欧元。在我看来,这还是有点太低了!我估计这个数字在1700万左右。东道主球员的总市值为750万,这太高了!瓦莱兰加最近的状态比斯塔巴赫好,在5月份他们的水平有了明显的提高。他们在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场,赢了三场。



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