Manchester United VS Fulham

Manchester United welcome Fulham for this English Premier League round 38 clash at Old Trafford  late Sunday evening. This is the last round of play in the best league on the planet. I expect an open and entertaining game here – most probably with several goals. Indeed, I see this match as more high-scoring than the betting market does and my estimation on over 3.5 total goals to be scored is 51%. Neither team have anything valuable to play for here. Surely Man United want to secure the third place before Newcastle who currently in 4th place, two points behind today's hosts. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. To secure the third place Man United need to win and have a very big chance to do so here! In England winning the last home game is considered very important. It is a thank you to the loyal and loud fans who have spent a lot of money throughout the season cheering for their team. I believe neither team will be too interested in defending here and expect both to want to score some goals, enjoy the game and entertain the fans. Man United have not quite met my – or their fans – expectations this season but at Old Trafford they have been on fire this season. Indeed, they have won 14 of the 18 games in front of their fans. Moreover, they have netted the ball a whopping 34 times at Old Trafford this season. Their defense has been incredibly solid at home and they have allowed just nine goals at their stadium. Even Manchester City, the best team in the world, the reigning and fresh champions, have allowed many more goals – 17 to be precise. 

Man United have won three games in a row now – two of them by a margin of more than one goal. In their most recent game they crushed Chelsea 4-1. Yes, Chelsea have had an abysmal season but still have a huge number of talented and very expensive players in the squad. Man United generated a stunning 4.94 in expected goals (xG) in this match! This is a number hardly ever seen in any match in the top-10 leagues in the world. Before this they were not quite at their best but beat Bournemouth, a surprisingly dangerous team, 1-0 away from home recording 1.65 in xG – the hosts' number was 0.98. Fulham have had a better season than anyone probably expected and will finish in 12th place. They have 52 to their account but have been massively lucky this season in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved just 38.56 points. With this number of points they would be close to the relegation zone! Furthermore, their defense is, in reality, much more shaky than the number of goals - 52 - conceded would reflect. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 69.32! I would not be at all surprised to see Man United taking a very clear win here!

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曼联VS富勒姆

曼联欢迎富勒姆参加周日晚在老特拉福德举行的第38轮英超联赛。这是这个星球上最好的联赛的最后一轮比赛。我期待一场开放而有趣的比赛——很可能会有几个进球。事实上，我认为这场比赛比赌博市场上的得分更高，我估计总进球超过3.5个的概率是51%。两支球队在这里都没有什么有价值的东西。曼联当然想在纽卡斯尔之前锁定第三名，纽卡斯尔目前排名第四，落后今天的东道主两分。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等，则得分差将成为决胜局。要保住第三的位置，曼联需要赢球，而且在这里有很大的机会!在英格兰，赢得最后一场主场比赛被认为是非常重要的。这是对忠诚和大声呐喊的球迷的感谢，他们整个赛季都在为他们的球队加油。我相信两支球队都不会对防守太感兴趣，我希望双方都想要进球，享受比赛，取悦球迷。曼联本赛季没有达到我的期望，也没有达到他们球迷的期望，但在老特拉福德，他们本赛季一直处于火热状态。事实上，他们在球迷面前赢得了18场比赛中的14场。此外，他们本赛季在老特拉福德的进球次数高达34次。他们在主场的防守非常稳固，在主场只丢了9个球。即使是曼城，世界上最好的球队，卫冕冠军和新冠军，也丢了更多的球——准确地说是17个。

曼联已经连续赢了三场比赛，其中两场以超过一球的优势获胜。在最近的一场比赛中，他们以4比1大胜切尔西。是的，切尔西经历了一个糟糕的赛季，但球队中仍然有大量有天赋和非常昂贵的球员。曼联在这场比赛中创造了惊人的4.94的预期进球(xG) !这个数字在世界排名前十的联赛中几乎从未出现过。在此之前，他们并不是处于最佳状态，但击败了伯恩茅斯，这支令人惊讶的危险球队，客场1-0,xG得分为1.65，而主队的数字为0.98。富勒姆本赛季的表现超出了所有人的预期，最终将排在第12位。他们的账户上有52个积分，但本赛季在预期积分(xPTS)方面非常幸运。他们应该得到38.56分。有了这么多的积分，他们就接近降级区了!此外，他们的防守，实际上，比丢了52个球所反映的数字要不稳定得多。他们的预期进球(xGA)是69.32!如果看到曼联在这里大获全胜，我一点也不会感到惊讶!

05月28日曼联 VS 富勒姆比赛分析直播