Borja头像
外籍分析师
西班牙人,全职体育专家。
  • 968

    方案

  • 21411

    粉丝

Penultimate round in La Liga! 西甲串关

2023-05-28

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2023-05-29 01:00

西甲

已完赛

星期一2023-05-29 01:00

解读理由

Two rounds till the end of the season in La Liga.

GETAFE - OSASUNA

Getafe is fighting to avoid relegation. They are with 38 points, same points as Valladolid (relegation), Cadiz; one below Almeria; and two below Valencia and Celta. Many teams involved in that fight, with several games between them, and Getafe will close the season playing against Valladolid, a game which surely will decide who will be relegated between both of them.

Their season has been terrible. Changed the coach some weeks ago taking Bordalas in charge and the team improved a lot in their competitive spirit, but are lacking quality. Their plan is very simple: make a lot of faults, intensity, long balls to the strikers, and try to score in some action. They use to have only 30-40% possession and are not controlling any game.

This plan is very dangerous because it is a plan made for a draw, unless they find some lucky goal in a set piece as did against Betis (0:1) in the last round. But against bottom Elche they weren’t able to win the match and drew 1:1 due to the lack of ideas/B plan.

Furthermore, for this match they will miss their best player due to an injury: Enes Unal, who scored 14 goals so far (Getafe scored 32 in total). Other two starters are out: midfielders Aleña and Arambarri.

On the other hand, Osasuna had a fantastic season. Managed to play the Cup Final (playing very well) and they have real chances for Europe. Are in Conference League position, but with the same points as Athletic and just one above Girona, who will be their rival in the last round.

Osasuna is a very strong and competitive team, able to equalize Getafe’s intensity. Are in great form and are a very difficult team to beat. This season, only this teams managed to beat them:

Barcelona, Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid, Betis, Real Sociedad, Villarreal, Rayo Vallecano, Valencia and Getafe.

All of them top teams who ended above them except Rayo, Valencia and Getafe: Rayo won 2:1 at home luckily, when they were in great form and in the TOP7. Valencia beat them when they were in much better form too and with Osasuna missing a penalty, receiving a red card… And Getafe the same: a very unlucky defeat with Osasuna receiving an early red card and missing many chances.

But against relegation mid-table teams Osasuna use to be very competitive and achieve good results.

So both teams have a lot of motivation. For Osasuna to achieve the Conference League position would be an historical success, following the Cup final, so the team is very motivated. They have quality enough to at least avoid the defeat here, especially against a team like Getafe who will be without their best player, lot of nerves and maybe happy with a draw, because surely the safe zone will be in 41-42 points (remember they have 38 points now and the last round against relegation rival Valladolid).

CADIZ - CELTA

Cadiz has 38 points, same as relegation zone, but has a great last round - will face bottom Elche. A draw here + a victory against Elche most probably will be enough to avoid relegation.

They are playing well, and are a team who managed very well this relegation situations, although they are lacking quality in the squad. They have one of the worst squads in La Liga, and to make things worse, they have been dealing with many injuries for a long time. This is a problem for a difficult week like this one, with 3 games in 7 days.

For this match they will miss: Chust, Fali, Zaldua, Garrido, Ocampo, Alex Fernadez, Ramos and Cala. Three of them are starters.

As we have seen in their recent games, the team is managing the games thinking on their next ones too. For example, made awful performances and many rotations against Atletico (5:1) to be at 100% against Mallorca. And did the same in their last game against Villarreal (2:0) to be at 100% in this last two rounds. This makes me think that surely are also thinking on the game against Elche in the last round, so surely a draw won’t be a bad result for them here. Must remember also that many teams in the relegation zone will play between each other.

On the other hand, Celta is in trouble. They have 40 points and will finish the season against Barcelona. So they would need one point here to avoid problems, because the relegation is in 38 points now with many teams involved. They are in terrible form, 4 defeats and one draw in their last 5 games, terrible performances… But I believe in this team.

They have a lot of quality to be in the TOP10 team. Just lately they have been playing terribly, but the draw against Girona in the last round gave them motivation and boosted their morale. But in normal circumstances, they are far superior to Cadiz, as shown in the previous game where beat them easily (3:0)

Guests have much more quality here in my opinion. While for the hosts their next game is a great chance to get the three points and here will have the target just to avoid the defeat, for Celta the next game will be a nightmare and achieving a point here is crucial to avoid relegation. I believe that both teams would be happy with the draw in this match.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在西甲联赛结束前还有两轮比赛。

赫塔菲-奥萨苏纳

赫塔菲正在为保级而战。他们积38分,与加的斯的巴利亚多利德(降级)相同;一个在阿尔梅里亚下面;在瓦伦西亚和塞尔塔下面还有两个。许多球队都参与了这场战斗,他们之间有几场比赛,赫塔菲将在赛季结束时对阵巴利亚多利德,这场比赛肯定会决定他们之间谁将降级。

他们的这个赛季太糟糕了。几周前换了教练,让博尔达拉接手,球队在竞争精神上有了很大的提高,但仍然缺乏实力。他们的计划非常简单:制造大量的失误,强度,长传给前锋,并尝试在一些行动中得分。他们过去只有30-40%的控球率,没有控制任何比赛。

这个计划是非常危险的,因为这是一个为平局而制定的计划,除非他们在定位球中找到一些幸运的进球,就像上轮对阵贝蒂斯(0:1)那样。但面对底部的埃尔切,由于缺乏创意/B计划,他们无法赢得比赛并以1:1打平。

此外,在本场比赛中,他们将因为伤病失去他们最好的球员:埃内斯·乌纳尔,他目前已经打进14球(赫塔菲总共打进32球)。另外两名首发球员缺阵:中场Aleña和阿拉姆巴里。

另一方面,奥萨苏纳有一个梦幻般的赛季。他们踢进了杯赛决赛(踢得很好),他们有真正的机会进入欧洲赛场。在联盟杯的位置上,和竞技积分相同,只比最后一轮的对手赫罗纳多一分。

奥萨苏纳是一支非常强大和有竞争力的球队,能够扳平赫塔菲的强度。我们状态很好,是一支很难被击败的球队。本赛季,只有这两支球队成功击败了他们:

巴塞罗那、皇家马德里、马德里竞技、贝蒂斯、皇家社会、比利亚雷亚尔、巴列卡诺、瓦伦西亚和赫塔菲。

除了雷约,瓦伦西亚和赫塔菲之外,所有的顶级球队都在他们之上:幸运的是,雷约在主场2:1获胜,当时他们状态很好,排名前7。瓦伦西亚击败他们的时候,他们的状态也要好得多,奥萨苏纳丢了一个点球,吃了一张红牌……赫塔菲也是如此:一场非常不幸的失败,奥萨苏纳早早就吃了一张红牌,错失了很多机会。

但面对降级的中游球队,奥萨苏纳一直很有竞争力,取得了不错的成绩。

所以两支球队都有很大的动力。对于奥萨苏纳来说,在杯赛决赛之后获得联盟杯的位置将是一个历史性的成功,所以球队非常有动力。他们有足够的实力至少可以避免在这里的失利,特别是面对赫塔菲这样的球队,他们将失去他们最好的球员,他们会很紧张,也许会对平局感到高兴,因为41-42分肯定是安全的(记住他们现在有38分,最后一轮对阵保级对手巴利亚多利德)。

加的斯-塞尔塔

加的斯得到38分,和降级区一样,但最后一轮表现出色——将面对垫底的埃尔切。这里的一场平局加上对埃尔切的一场胜利很可能就足以保级了。

他们踢得很好,是一支在保级的情况下管理得很好的球队,尽管他们的阵容缺乏质量。他们的阵容是西甲最差的球队之一,更糟糕的是,他们长期以来一直受到伤病的困扰。对于像本周这样7天内有3场比赛的艰难一周来说,这是一个问题。

本场比赛他们将错过:丘斯特、法利、扎尔杜瓦、加里多、奥坎波、费尔南德斯、拉莫斯和卡拉。其中三个是开胃菜。

正如我们在他们最近的游戏中所看到的那样,该团队在管理游戏时也会考虑他们的下一个游戏。例如,在对阵马竞(5:1)的比赛中,他表现糟糕,多次轮换,但在对阵马洛卡的比赛中,他的状态是100%的。在上一场对阵比利亚雷亚尔(2:0)的比赛中,他们也做了同样的事情,在最后两轮比赛中保持100%的状态。这让我觉得他们肯定也在考虑上一轮对埃尔切的比赛,所以平局对他们来说肯定不是一个坏结果。还必须记住,许多降级区的球队将在彼此之间进行比赛。

另一方面,塞尔塔有麻烦了。他们得到了40分,并将在赛季末对阵巴塞罗那。所以他们需要一分来避免麻烦,因为现在降级到38分,有很多球队参与其中。他们的状态很糟糕,最近5场比赛4负1平,表现很糟糕,但我相信这支球队。

他们有足够的实力进入TOP10。最近他们踢得很糟糕,但是在上一轮和赫罗纳的战平给了他们动力,鼓舞了他们的士气。但在正常情况下,它们是超级的

在加的斯之前,正如之前的比赛中所示,他们轻松击败了他们(3:0)。

在我看来,这里的客人有更高的品质。对于东道主来说,下一场比赛是他们拿到三分的好机会,而这里的目标就是避免失败,而对于塞尔塔来说,下一场比赛将是一场噩梦,在这里拿到一分对保级至关重要。我相信两队都会对这场比赛的平局感到高兴。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。