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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Check why I see super value in this game 西甲 赫罗纳VS贝蒂斯

2023-05-28

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2023-05-29 01:00

解读理由

In my opinion Girona have really good chances to make 3 points in today’s match up.


In first match of the season between both teams Betis won at home 2:1, but that wasn’t fully deserved result. Girona played better – had 56% ball possession and created more big chances to score. I believe they are able to outplay Betis at home.


Girona is really strong front of home crowd – they recorded 10 wins in 18 matches. Just one month ago they made impressive win 4:2 against Real Madrid. Girona at home don’t have any problems with goalscoring as they scored already 34 goals (33.16 expected goals scored). On the other hand Betis doesn’t looked good in last away matches. They won only once in last 6 games on the road: 1:0 against Bilbao, but that wasn’t deserved result at all (Bilbao had 1.72 expected goals scored in that game.


Girona currently don’t have any problems with creativity and that really should make difference today – in last 8 consecutive La Liga matches had always above 1.16 expected. During that run they scored 14 goals and they had 14 expected goals scored. On the other hand Betis have huge problems with goalscoring – they failed to score in 4 of last 6 matches. In last 3 away matches they scored only one goal and in each game they had very low number of expected goal scored (0.27, 0.89 and 0.16).


Betis is on 6th place in league table, 6 points above next team so they have comfortable situation and secured place in Europa League, their motivation is under question mark for me. Girona is one point behind 7th Osasuna so for sure will give absolutely everything to win this game to make European Cups for next season.


If You look on the bigger picture Girona plays better in current season – according to the expected goal scored/conceded table now they should be on 7th positon, Betis only 11th.


Girona at home have all required tools to win. I see excellent value on home side.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在我看来,赫罗纳在今天的比赛中有很好的机会得到3分。


在两队本赛季的第一场比赛中,贝蒂斯在主场2:1获胜,但这并不是完全应得的结果。赫罗纳踢得更好,控球率达到56%,创造了更多的进球机会。我相信他们有能力在主场战胜贝蒂斯。


赫罗纳在主场观众面前真的很强大,他们在18场比赛中取得了10场胜利。就在一个月前,他们以4:2大胜皇家马德里。赫罗纳在主场的进球方面没有任何问题,他们已经打进了34球(预期进球33.16)。另一方面,贝蒂斯在最近的客场比赛中表现不佳。在过去的6场客场比赛中,他们只赢了一场:1:0战胜毕尔巴鄂,但这根本不是他们应得的结果(毕尔巴鄂在那场比赛中有1.72个预期进球)。


赫罗纳目前在创造力方面没有任何问题,这确实应该在今天起到作用——在过去的8场西甲比赛中,他们总是超过1.16的预期。在那场比赛中,他们进了14个球,他们预期进了14个球。另一方面,贝蒂斯在进球方面有很大的问题——他们在最近的6场比赛中有4场没有进球。在最近的3场客场比赛中,他们只进了1球,每场比赛他们的预期进球数都很低(0.27、0.89和0.16)。


贝蒂斯排在联赛第6位,比下一支球队高出6分,所以他们的处境很好,在欧联杯上也有一席之地,他们的动力对我来说是个问号。赫罗纳落后第7名奥萨苏纳1分,所以肯定会竭尽全力赢得这场比赛,争取下赛季的欧洲杯。


如果你从更大的角度来看,赫罗纳本赛季的表现更好——根据预期进球数和失球数,他们现在应该排在第7位,贝蒂斯只排在第11位。


赫罗纳在主场拥有所有取胜的必要条件。我认为主场很有价值。

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