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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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An interesting match in Finland! 洪卡VS科特卡

2023-05-26

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期五2023-05-26 23:00

解读理由

Honka VS KTP


Honka welcome visitors from the city of Kotka, for this Finnish Veikkausliiga clash at Tapiolan Urheilupuisto in Espoo late Friday evening Beijing time. Inter Turku host IFK Mariehamn for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Veritas Stadion Monday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of my home country's football but the level is somewhat low by European standards. It has, however, improved during the last 10 or so years! As a Finnish professional football bettor I know this league and all the teams very well - the bookmakers, on the other hand, pretty often seem to make some mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga and in Ykkönen, the second-tier. I watch every single Veikkausliiga game– many games live at the stadium - like today in Tapiola! Honka have grabbed 12 points and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings in this league with a total of 12 clubs.. This is also their place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, the difference between Honka and SJK (3rd place) is minimal. Honka have netted the ball eight times in Veikkausliiga so far this season. However, in terms of expected goals they would have deserved 11.45 goals. They have had solid defense and have allowed seven goals but the number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is smaller. It is true that they have not fully met the expectations so far but we must not forget that they lost their key striker, Agon Sadiku, right before the season kicked off. They did buy a replacement but it has taken time to improve.. However, they are still not at the same level as last season – and quite possibly never will.. They were even fighting for the championship late into last season but ended up in third place..

Honka also lost a key midfielder a while ago (injury) but the situation in the midfield is better now.. Honka played well on Monday away from home against AC Oulu winning 3-1. Oulu are a pretty good team and at the time of kick off they were slim favorites on the betting market.. Before this Honka lost two games and did not impress me. In fact, this pick is mainly against KTP who are among the worst teams in Veikkausliiga and were promoted from Ykkönen for this season. They can play pretty well at home but are usually pretty useless on the road.. Their defense has looked shaky in almost all games this season.  They cannot match Honka in any area of the game!  Furthermore, they have just six points to their account and have won just once in this league this season – this win came at home against a lowly team, IFK Mariehamn. On Monday they did not have much of a chance at home against SJK and lost 0-2. The visitors fully deserved the win after recording more shots on target, goal attempts and generating much more in xG – 1.76-0.54 to be precise. Honka do not have a big number of fans in Tapiola but have a very loud and enthusiastic (by Finnish standards) group of mainly young fans  who create a good atmosphere at the stadium!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

洪卡VS KTP


北京时间周五晚,在埃斯波的Tapiolan Urheilupuisto球场,洪卡队欢迎来自科特卡市的游客前来观看芬兰队的比赛。北京时间周一晚上,国际图尔库主场迎战芬兰队玛丽汉。这是我祖国足球的第一梯队,但与欧洲标准相比,水平有些低。然而,在过去10年左右的时间里,它得到了改善!作为一名芬兰职业足球投注者,我对这个联赛和所有球队都非常了解——另一方面,博彩公司在维考斯利加和Ykkönen二级联赛的赔率上似乎经常犯一些错误。我看了每一场维克考斯利加的比赛——很多比赛都是现场直播的——就像今天在塔皮奥拉的比赛!Honka拿到了12分,目前在这个联赛中排名第四,共有12家俱乐部。这也是他们在我的力量评级中的位置,反映了球队的纯粹等级。然而,Honka和SJK(第三名)之间的差距很小。本赛季到目前为止,洪卡在维克考斯利加已经打进8球。然而,从预期进球的角度来看,他们应该得到11.45个进球。他们有坚实的防守,丢了7个球,但预期失球数(xGA)更少。到目前为止,他们确实没有完全达到人们的期望,但我们不能忘记他们在赛季开始前失去了他们的关键前锋阿贡·萨迪库。他们确实买了新的,但需要时间来改进。然而,他们仍然没有达到上赛季的水平——而且很可能永远也达不到。上个赛季末,他们甚至还在为冠军而战,但最终只获得了第三名。

前阵子洪卡也失去了一名重要的中场(受伤),但是现在中场的情况好多了。宏卡在周一客场3-1战胜AC奥卢的比赛中表现出色。奥卢是一支相当不错的球队,在开球的时候,他们在博彩市场上是微弱的热门。在此之前,洪卡输了两场比赛,并没有给我留下深刻的印象。事实上,这个选择主要是针对KTP,他们是维考斯利加最差的球队之一,本赛季从Ykkönen升级。他们可以在主场打得很好,但在客场却毫无用处。他们的防守在本赛季几乎所有的比赛中都显得摇摇欲坠。他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与Honka匹敌!此外,他们只拿到了6分,本赛季在联赛中只赢了一场,这场胜利是在主场对阵一支实力不强的球队,IFK玛丽汉姆。周一,他们在主场对SJK的比赛中没有多少机会,以0-2输掉了比赛。客队在xG - 1.76-0.54的比赛中记录了更多的射正、射门次数和更多的进球,完全配得上这场胜利。洪卡队在塔皮奥拉没有很多球迷,但他们有一群非常大声和热情的(以芬兰的标准)年轻球迷,他们在体育场创造了良好的气氛!

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