Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu for a La Liga match on Wednesday night. Real Madrid currently occupy the third position in the La Liga table on 71 points with three games to go. A defeat against Manchester City in the second leg of the semi-finals of the Champions League ended Real Madrid's dreams of winning the European title for a consecutive year. Instead, the Spanish and reigning world champions will have to settle for a trophy in the Copa de Rey because La Liga was also lost. Real Madrid lost against Valencia 1-0 in the previous round and Barcelona gained a mathematical advantage that brought them the title of Spanish champions. Meanwhile, Rayo Vallecano are currently placed on the 11th position in the league table with same number of games played as their opponents. Rayo Vallecano have secured their status for the next season and that is what was most important for the club this season; and might be less-motivated in this match. They were beaten 2-1 by Espanyol in their last outing. For this encounter, I am expecting a home win for Real Madrid. These are my reasons:

Firstly. Real Madrid are coming into this game off of two consecutive away losses suffered in the Champions League and La Liga against Manchester City and Valencia respectively. Los Blancos will be seeking revenge against their fellow Madrid-based counterparts after suffering a 3-2 defeat in the reverse fixture at the Estadio de Vallecas in November last year. And Madrid would be extra-motivated to avoid a third successive defeat in all competitions. They want to bounce back to winning ways immediately.

Secondly. Real Madrid are the stronger team and have been fairly better in form than their opponents. They have won five and drawn one of their last six home games, while their opponents have lost five of their last six away games. Real Madrid's defeat to Valencia last weekend has seen them slip down to third in the La Liga table , with rivals Atletico Madrid moving one point clear in second place after beating Osasuna; only twice in the last nine seasons have Los Blancos finished as low as third in the Spanish top flight. Real Madrid's only motive at the moment in the La Liga could be to fight for 2nd place against city rivals Atletico Madrid. They are currently one point below Atletico Madrid.

Real Madrid's strong home form makes them the strong favorites to come away with the maximum points, coupled with the above mentioned reasons. I am expecting a win for Real Madrid tonight.

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周三晚上，皇家马德里队将在圣地亚哥伯纳姆萨乌球场主场迎战巴列卡诺队，进行一场西甲比赛。皇马目前在西甲积分榜上排名第三，积分榜还剩三场比赛。在欧冠半决赛次回合中输给曼城，终结了皇马连续一年夺得欧洲冠军的梦想。相反，西班牙和卫冕世界冠军将不得不满足于国王杯的奖杯，因为西甲联赛也输掉了。在上一轮比赛中，皇马0 - 1输给了瓦伦西亚，而巴塞罗那则凭借数学上的优势获得了西甲冠军的头衔。与此同时，巴列卡诺目前在联赛积分榜上排名第11位，他们的比赛场次与对手相同。巴列卡诺已经确保了他们下赛季的地位，这对俱乐部本赛季来说是最重要的;在这场比赛中可能会缺乏动力。他们在上一场比赛中被西班牙人2-1击败。对于这场比赛，我希望皇马能在主场获胜。以下是我的理由:

首先。在这场比赛之前，皇马在欧冠和西甲分别对曼城和瓦伦西亚连续两场客场失利。去年11月在巴列卡斯球场的比赛中，白衣军团以3-2的比分被对手击败，他们将寻求报复。而皇马将会更加积极地避免在所有比赛中三连败。他们想要立即回到胜利的道路上。

其次。皇马是一支更强的球队，他们的状态比对手要好得多。在过去的6场主场比赛中，他们取得了5胜1平的成绩，而他们的对手在过去的6场客场比赛中输掉了5场。上周输给瓦伦西亚后，皇马在西甲积分榜上下滑至第三，对手马竞在击败奥萨苏纳后以1分的优势排名第二。在过去的九个赛季中，白衣军团只有两次在西班牙顶级联赛中排名第三。皇家马德里目前在西甲联赛的唯一动机可能是与同城对手马德里竞技争夺第二名。目前他们比马德里竞技落后1分。

再加上上面提到的原因，皇马强大的主场状态使他们成为夺冠热门。我期待皇马今晚能赢。

05月25日皇马 VS 巴列卡诺比赛分析直播