Atletico Mineiro VS Athletico Paranaense

Atletico Mineiro and Athletico Parananse lock horns in this Copa Libertadores group stage round 4 battle at Mineirão in Belo Horizonte early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the biggest international cup competition in South America and the stakes are high here. The visitors have achieved much better results than Atletico Mineiro in this competition so far. Indeed, they top the standings with a total of seven points in their pocket. They have taken two wins and one draw in the group. However, as most of my fans probably know by now, I never let thye standings fool me.. The draw happened in an away game against Alianza Lima on the 5th of April. No goals were scored in this game but it could easily have gone either way. The visitors were clear favorites in this game but I was somewhat disappointed with their performance. The Peruvian hosts had 60% ball possession and recorded many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. In the second round they locked horns at Arena da Baixada and Athletico Paranaense took a 2-1 win. However, I want to highlight that this win was massively undeserved! Indeed, the visitors had 65% ball possession and recorded significantly more goal attempts (24-8) shots on goal (10-4) shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Atletico Mineiro would have deserved all three points after generating 2.42 in expected goals – the hosts' number was just 1.05. 

Atletico Mineiro are a strong team in front of their very enthusiastic and loud fans. They have won 13 of their most recent 16 home games. The home advantage is substantial here as well. Taking this factor into account – with the expected lineups – I see the hosts as very clear favorites here. A win even by a margin of more than one goal would not be a surprise.. Atletico Mineiro have three points to their account and really need a win. In terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved much more. Their goal difference is 3:3. I expect them to be aggressive here and put big pressure on the visitors' defense right from the kick off. They do have a clear edge in all areas of the game. Both teams play in the Brazilian Serie A. The hosts are currently in 4th place with 13 points to their account after seven rounds of play. . The visitors, on the other hand, occupy the 7th place but have been lucky in pretty many games. They have been in great form lately and have won four games in a row. In their most recent game they dominated Coritiba away from home with a 64% ball possession. They recorded many more goal attempts (17-9) shots on goal (17-9), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. It was a fine performance. The visitors were pretty disappointing in their most recent game and lost to Bragantino 0-2 away from home.

米内罗竞技VS帕拉纳塞竞技

北京时间周三凌晨，米内罗竞技和帕拉南斯竞技在贝洛奥里藏特举行的解放者杯小组赛第四轮比赛中，在米内罗竞技与帕拉南斯竞技进行了激烈的交锋。这是南美洲最大的国际杯赛，这里的赌注很高。客队在本次比赛中取得了比米内罗竞技好得多的成绩。事实上，他们以总共7分的成绩位居榜首。他们在小组中取得了两胜一平的成绩。然而，正如我的大多数粉丝现在可能知道的那样，我从不让他们的排名欺骗我。平局发生在4月5日客场对阵利马联盟队的比赛中。本场比赛没有进球，但很容易就会有两种结果。客队在这场比赛中显然是夺冠热门，但我对他们的表现有些失望。秘鲁主队有60%的控球率，他们的总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。在第二轮比赛中，他们在拜沙达竞技场发生了争执，帕拉纳塞竞技队以2-1获胜。然而，我想强调的是，这场胜利是非常不值得的!事实上，客队有65%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数(24-8次)、射正次数(10-4次)、射门次数、传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。米内罗竞技队在预期进球数为2.42球后本应得到全部三分，而东道主的预期进球数只有1.05球。

米内罗竞技在他们非常热情和大声的球迷面前是一支强大的球队。他们在最近的16场主场比赛中赢了13场。主场优势也很明显。考虑到这个因素，加上预期的阵容，我认为东道主是非常明显的热门球队。即使以一个多球的优势取胜也不会令人惊讶。米内罗竞技有三分，他们真的需要一场胜利。就期望分数(xPTS)而言，他们理应得到更多。他们的净胜球是3:3。我希望他们在这里更有侵略性，从开球开始就给客队的防守带来巨大的压力。他们在比赛的所有领域都有明显的优势。这两支球队都在巴西甲级联赛，东道主在7轮比赛后以13分排名第4。另一方面，客队排名第七，但在很多比赛中都很幸运。他们最近状态很好，已经四连胜了。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们以64%的控球率统治了科里蒂巴。他们记录了更多的射门次数(17-9)、射门次数(17-9)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。这是一场精彩的表演。客队在最近一场比赛中表现相当令人失望，在客场0-2不敌布拉坎蒂诺。