Bellinzona VS Thun

Bellinzona welcome Thun for this Swiss Challenge League round 35 clash at Stadio Comunale Bellinzona early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest tier of Swiss football. The level of this league is pretty low by European standards. The difference compared to the first tier is substantial. Today we can expect a match of mediocre level by the Challenge League but - most importantly for my fans and me – we have a very lucrative betting opportunity here. There is a big difference in pure class between the two teams here. With today's lineups the visitors have an over 70% chance of taking all three points.They have a substantial edge in all areas of the game. I want to mention that last season Thun finished in 5th place and were pretty close to the 4th place. Bellinzona, on the other hand, were promoted to the Challenge League for this season. They can be pretty happy with their season as they will avoid relegation. Xamax, in 10th place in the league table, will be that team that suffers this fate. The hosts are currently in 8th place in the standings with 34 points to their account. However, I have them in last place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They have grabbed a total of 34 points so far but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 25.02. Their offense has been very bad this season. Indeed, they have netted the ball just 35 times. This is clearly the lowest number in this league. Indeed, even Xamax have scored 40 goals. Ballinzona's offense lacks everything needed to score enough goals at this level. It has a poor structure. Furthermore, the strikers are not fast enough and lack individual skill. They often pass the ball too slowly and inaccurately near the opponent's goal. This makes it easy for the opponent to defend successfully. 

The Bellinzona midfielders should work harder and take more part in both attacking and defending. Indeed, their defense, too, has been very leaky. They have allowed a whopping 65 goals. Thuns season has definitely been a disappointment for me - and probably most football journalists as well. I have, as result, lowered their power rating but it seems the bookies have reacted even more and now undervalue them. They have 49 points in the pocket but their number of expected points is still massively bigger – over 55 points. Offensively the edge over Bellinzona is bigger than defensively. They have scored 60 goals which is just one goal less than Yverdon, the current leaders. In their most recent match they were very bad and lost to Xamax 0-3 away from home. Yes, the final score does flatter Xamax but they still did deserve the three points. Before this they were very lucky to beat Wil 3-2 at home. S. Wallner scored an own goal in the 36th minute etc. I want to mention that Will played below their normal level in this match. Thun, on the other hand, played an entertaining and good game four days ago at home against Lausenne, a very strong team who are currently in 2nd place with 57 points. Lausanne were solid favorites on the betting market in this game. It was a somewhat balanced battle where Thun recorded 59% ball possession and more attacks and dangerous attacks. Lausenne, on the other hand, had more scoring attempts and shots on goal. Thun can improve from this game but even if they will not – they would still have a very good chance of winning!

贝林佐纳VS图恩

北京时间周三凌晨，贝林佐纳欢迎图恩参加在贝林佐纳公共球场举行的瑞士挑战赛第35轮比赛。这是瑞士足球的第二梯队。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平相当低。与第一层相比，差异是巨大的。今天我们可以期待一场中等水平的挑战赛，但对我和我的球迷来说最重要的是，我们在这里有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会。这两支球队在纯粹的水平上有很大的不同。以今天的阵容，客队有超过70%的机会全取三分。他们在比赛的各个方面都有很大的优势。我想提一下，上个赛季，图恩排名第五，非常接近第四名。另一方面，贝林佐纳本赛季升入了挑战联赛。他们可以对自己的赛季非常满意，因为他们将保级。排在联赛第10位的Xamax将是遭受这种命运的球队。东道主目前在积分榜上排名第八，积34分。然而，我把他们排在反映球队纯粹级别的力量排名的最后一名。到目前为止，他们总共拿到了34分，但他们的期望积分(xPTS)只有25.02分。他们这个赛季的进攻很糟糕。事实上，他们只进过35次球。这显然是联盟中最低的数字。事实上，就连Xamax也进了40个球。巴林佐纳的进攻缺乏在这种水平上取得足够进球所需要的一切。它的结构很差。此外，前锋速度不够快，缺乏个人技术。他们经常在对手的球门附近传球太慢，传球不准。这使得对手很容易成功防守。

贝林佐纳的中场应该更加努力，更多地参与进攻和防守。事实上，他们的防御也是漏洞百出。他们丢了65个球。对我来说，这个赛季绝对是令人失望的，可能大多数足球记者也是如此。因此，我降低了他们的力量评级，但似乎博彩公司的反应更强烈，现在低估了他们的价值。他们现在已经拿到了49分，但是他们的预期积分要多得多——超过55分。进攻端对贝林佐纳的优势大于防守端。他们进了60球，只比现在的领头羊弗登少一球。在最近的一场比赛中，他们表现非常糟糕，在客场0-3输给了Xamax。是的，最后的得分确实让Xamax感到高兴，但他们仍然应该得到三分。在此之前，他们非常幸运地在主场以3-2击败了威尔。沃尔纳在第36分钟打进了一个乌龙球等等。我想说威尔在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。另一方面，图恩在四天前主场对阵洛桑，这是一支非常强大的球队，目前以57分排名第二。在这场比赛中，洛桑是博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队。这是一场比较平衡的比赛，图恩有59%的控球率，更多的进攻和危险进攻。另一方面，洛桑有更多的得分尝试和射门。雷霆可以从这场比赛中有所提高，但即使他们不这样做，他们仍然有很大的机会获胜!