Breda VS Maastricht

Breda VS Maastricht

Breda host Maastricht for this Play Offs first leg battle at Rat Verlegh Stadion early Wednesday morning Beijing time. The stakes are sky-high here as the teams are fighting for a chance to be promoted to the first tier, Eredivisie for next season. This would be very important for both teams – especially financially. Quite interestingly, Maastricht finished higher up in the standings than the hosts. However, both teams took the same number of points – 59 to be precise. I expect an intense, physical clash with a lot of emotions - and quite probably several yellow cards or even a red card.. Maastricht have been overrated by the betting market many times this season and this is definitely the case here as well. They were lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) in the regular season. Indeed, they would have deserved just 51.11 points. They have netted the ball 65 times in Eredivisie this season. Their defense has been surprisingly good this season. Maastricht have conceded 65 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is still much higher.

The hosts have a clear edge in all areas of the game here. They deserve to be very clear favorites. The odds are perhaps a little lower than I would have expected before the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers posted their odds. Even so, the recommended bet is for the hosts to win - odds of over 1.50 are widely available in the betting market. The teams last locked horns on the 10th of March and Breda proved that they are a much better team than Maastricht. Indeed, they dominated the game and won 4-1. They recorded many more goal attempts (25-7), shots on goal, shots off goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. I want to highlight that the hosts were very lucky in terms of xPTS in the regular season. Furthermore, they are a much bigger team in terms of players total market value according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. Breda's players are valued at 9.4 million euros which is too low in my opinion. The Maastricht squad is valued at under 6 million.

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布雷达VS马斯特里赫特

布雷达VS马斯特里赫特

北京时间周三凌晨，布雷达主场迎战马斯特里赫特，进行附加赛首回合比赛。这两支球队都在为下赛季升入甲级联赛的机会而战。这对两支球队来说都非常重要，尤其是在财政上。有趣的是，马斯特里赫特的排名比东道主还要高。然而，两支球队得到了相同的分数——准确地说是59分。我预计会有一场激烈的身体冲突，而且很可能会有几张黄牌，甚至一张红牌。马斯特里赫特在这个赛季被博彩市场高估了很多次，这绝对是这里的情况。他们在常规赛的预期得分(xPTS)方面是幸运的。事实上，他们应该得到51.11分。他们本赛季在荷甲联赛中打进65球。他们本赛季的防守出奇地好。马斯特里赫特已经丢了65个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)仍然要高得多。

东道主在比赛的各个方面都有明显的优势。他们理应成为非常明显的宠儿。在接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司公布他们的赔率之前，赔率可能比我预期的要低一些。即便如此，推荐的赌注还是东道主赢——在博彩市场上，超过1.50的赔率随处可见。两队上一次交锋是在3月10日，布雷达证明了他们是一支比马斯特里赫特强得多的球队。事实上，他们控制了比赛并以4比1获胜。他们的进球次数(25-7次)、射正、射偏、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。我想强调的是，东道主在常规赛的xPTS方面非常幸运。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值来看，他们是一支更大的球队。布雷达球员的身价是940万欧元，在我看来太低了。马斯特里赫特队的身价不到600万英镑。

05月24日布雷达 VS 马斯特里比赛分析直播