IFK Varnamo VS Kalmar

Varnamo welcome Kalmer for this Swedish Allsvenskan round 9 battle at Finnvedsvallen early Tuesday night Beijing time. This match is of decent level by European standards – certainly much better than of the Finnish Veikkausliiga for example. Malmö, the reigning champions at the time, even made it to the UEFA Champions League Group stage a few years ago. However, today we cannot expect a very high-level game even by Allsvenskan standards. Both teams have had a pretty difficult start to the season. Furthermore, both teams have struggled offensively and I see this match as more low-scoring and the probability of a draw more probable than the betting market does. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 66% and the chance of a draw is 33%. This would be enough for me fans and me to extend the strong record of 8/10 latest picks won – at least at the time of writing this analysis. Monday evening Beijing time. The host currently occupy the 11th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs. They have netted the ball seven times so far this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher 10.12 to be precise. Their defense has been pretty solid. It has a good structure and silly mistakes are pretty rare. They have allowed 10 goals. Varnamo have nine points to their account but would have deserved 12.02 in terms of expected points (xPTS).

Varnamo are pretty small team by financial standards and do not have any ”big names” in the squad. However, they play well as a team and also have good team spirit according to my sources. They will probably heavily rely on home games to take points this season and have performed well so far in front of their fans! Indeed, they have won 2/3 matches in front of loyal fans. On the 24th of April they even beat a pretty big and traditional club from Stockholm, AIK, 1-0. They were priced around 4.30 to wn on the betting market – yet another example of the bookies underestimating Varnamo! Most of the biggest bookies do not seem to have an actual favorite here and offer odds of around 2.70 for both teams to win. However, I expect Varnamo's odds to drop before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them. Taking the substantial home advantage into account, Varnamo deserve to be solid favorites in my opinion. Kalmar were pretty strong last season finishing in 4th place. However, they were pretty lucky in maey games then and are expected to be much worse this season.. They have 11 points to their account but their number of xPTS is smaller. They have not won any of their latest four games - losing two in a row right before this game. They seem to be low in confidence at the moment. They have potential to play better but the improvement is probably not gonna happen soon..

瓦尔纳莫VS卡尔玛

北京时间周二晚，瓦尔纳莫欢迎卡尔默参加瑞典阿尔斯文斯坎队在芬恩韦德伦的第9轮比赛。以欧洲的标准来看，这场比赛的水平还算不错，当然比芬兰的联赛要好得多。Malmö，当时的卫冕冠军，甚至在几年前进入了欧洲冠军联赛小组赛阶段。然而，今天我们不能期待一场高水平的比赛，即使是按照阿尔斯温斯坎的标准。两支球队本赛季的开局都很艰难。此外，两支球队的进攻都很挣扎，我认为这场比赛的得分更低，平局的可能性比博彩市场更大。进球数少于2.5球的概率为66%，平局的概率为33%。对于我和我的球迷来说，这足以延续8/10的最新选秀获胜记录——至少在写这篇分析的时候是这样。北京时间周一晚上。东道主目前共有16家俱乐部，排名第11位。本赛季到目前为止，他们有7次进球，但他们的预期进球(xG)要高得多，准确地说，是10.12。他们的防守相当稳固。它的结构很好，很少出现愚蠢的错误。他们丢了10个球。瓦尔纳莫目前有9分，但如果以期望积分计算，他们应该得到12.02分。

按照财政标准，瓦尔纳莫是一支相当小的球队，球队中没有任何“大牌”。然而，根据我的消息来源，他们作为一个团队踢得很好，也有很好的团队精神。本赛季他们可能会严重依赖主场比赛来拿分，而且到目前为止他们在球迷面前表现得很好!事实上，他们在忠实的球迷面前赢得了2/3的比赛。4月24日，他们甚至以1比0击败了来自瑞典斯德哥尔摩的传统豪门。他们在博彩市场上的价格约为4.30比1，这是另一个博彩公司低估瓦尔纳莫的例子!大多数最大的博彩公司似乎没有一个真正的最爱，并提供2.70左右的赔率，为两支球队获胜。然而，我预计瓦尔纳莫的赔率在开球前会下降，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。考虑到巨大的主场优势，瓦尔纳莫在我看来应该是最受欢迎的球队。卡尔玛上个赛季非常强大，排名第四。然而，他们在当时的许多比赛中都相当幸运，预计本赛季会更糟糕。他们的账户上有11个点，但他们的xPTS数量较少。他们在最近的四场比赛中没有赢过一场，在这场比赛之前连输了两场。目前他们似乎信心不足。他们有潜力打得更好，但进步可能不会很快发生。