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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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8/10 latest picks WON! $$$ 芬超 图尔库国际VS玛丽港

2023-05-22

比赛分析

芬超

已完赛

星期一2023-05-22 23:00

解读理由

Inter Turku VS IFK Mariehamn


Inter Turku host IFK Mariehamn for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Veritas Stadion Monday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of my home country's football but the level is somewhat low by European standards. It has, however, improved during the last 10 or so years! As a Finnish professional football bettor I know this league and all the teams very well - the bookies on the other hand, often seem to make mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga and in Ykkönen, the second-tier. I watch all Veikkausliiga games – many games live at the stadium like today!. Inter have grabbed just three points and currently occupy the 12th place in the standings in this league with a total of 12 clubs.. However, as my fans know – I never let the standings fool me. They have played just four games in this league so far – Mariehamn have played six matches. Furthermore, Inter have played only away games so far! The weather in Turku today is great – sunny and over 20 degrees Celsius. A big number of loud fans is expected to be cheering for their team today. The home advantage is on average lower in Veikkausliiga than in most other European football leagues. However, here it is substantial. Inter must be very eager to win the first game and we must also remember that the visitors have a long journey from the island of Åland which is located between Finland and Sweden. They are usually very bad on the road and have lost both away games this season as well allowing four goals in these two matches.

 Last season IFF Mariehamn often defended very well – relying mostly on counter attacks, corner kicks and free kicks to score. This season, however, their defense has been very leaky and they have allowed 11 goals – the highest number in Veikkausliiga. They have scored seven goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is just 5.34. They have lost four of their latest five games in Veikkausliiga. They took the win on the 13th of this month at home over Haka, a mediocre team, but did not deserve it. Haka had 57% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts did have more shots on goal though. In the Finnish Cup they have taken a few wins lately but the opponents PPJ and KoiPS are very low-level amateur teams. Inter too, beat, took a win over Tampere United, in the Finnish cup last week. They, too, are an amateur team but have some decent players. Inter's 3-0 away win was a good performance taking into account their coach rotated the squad. Before this they were beaten by HJK, in Helsinki, the best team in Finland, but the final score is misleading. Inter were good in the first half and were leading 1-0 at halftime. They also had a chance to make it 2-2 but did not find the net. The final score was 4-1 for the big favorites HJK but Inter do not have to be ashamed of their performance. Inter have faced only top-4 teams (HJK, SJK and KuPS) and a pretty good team Ilves in Veikkausliiga so far. In the opening round they beat KuPS 2-1 away from home - a fine performance! They have a clear edge over the visitors here and have a 66% chance to take all three points!


GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

国际图尔库VS玛丽汉姆


北京时间周一晚上,国际图尔库主场迎战芬兰队玛丽汉。这是我祖国足球的第一梯队,但与欧洲标准相比,水平有些低。然而,在过去10年左右的时间里,它得到了改善!作为一名芬兰职业足球投注者,我对这个联赛和所有球队都非常了解——另一方面,博彩公司似乎经常在维克考斯利加和Ykkönen(二级联赛)的赔率上犯错。我看了所有的维城联赛,很多比赛都是现场直播的,就像今天!国际米兰只拿到了3分,目前在联赛中排名第12位,总共有12家俱乐部。然而,正如我的粉丝所知道的,我从不让排名欺骗我。到目前为止,他们在联赛中只打了4场比赛,而玛丽汉姆已经打了6场比赛。此外,国米到目前为止只打过客场比赛!今天图尔库的天气很好,阳光明媚,气温超过20摄氏度。预计今天会有大批球迷大声为他们的球队加油。维克考斯利加的主场优势平均比大多数欧洲足球联赛都要低。然而,这是实质性的。国际米兰一定非常渴望赢得第一场比赛,我们也必须记住,客队从位于芬兰和瑞典之间的Åland岛远道而来。他们在客场的表现通常很糟糕,本赛季两场客场都输掉了比赛,在这两场比赛中丢了四个球。

上个赛季,玛丽汉姆的防守非常出色——主要依靠反击、角球和任意球来得分。然而本赛季,他们的防守漏洞百出,他们丢了11个球,这是维克考斯利加最多的。虽然打进了7个进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)只有5.34个。他们在最近的五场比赛中输掉了四场。本月13日,他们在主场战胜了一支平庸的球队哈卡队,但他们配不上这场胜利。哈卡有57%的控球率,并且有更多的射门次数、射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。不过主队的射门确实更多。在芬兰杯上,他们最近取得了一些胜利,但对手PPJ和KoiPS都是非常低级的业余球队。国际米兰也在上周的芬兰杯上击败了坦佩雷联队。他们也是一支业余球队,但有一些不错的球员。考虑到教练的轮换阵容,国米客场3-0的胜利是一场不错的表现。在此之前,他们在赫尔辛基被芬兰最好的球队jk击败,但最终的比分是误导性的。国米上半场踢得很好,半场结束时1-0领先。他们也有机会将比分追成2-2,但没能进球。最后的比分是4比1,但国米不必为他们的表现感到羞愧。到目前为止,国米在维克考斯利加只面对过排名前四的球队(hkk, SJK和KuPS)和一支相当不错的球队伊尔维斯。在首场比赛中,他们在客场2-1击败对手,表现非常出色!他们明显领先客队,有66%的机会拿到全部三分!


好运!

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