AC Oulu VS Honka

AC Oulu welcome Honka from the city of Espoo for this Finnish Veikkausliiga battle at Raatin Stadion late Monday evening Beijing time. This is the first tier of my home country's football but the level is relatively low by European standards. It has, however, improved during the last 10 or so years. As a Finnish professional football bettor I know this league very well - the bookies on the other hand, often seem to make mistakes with their odds in Veikkausliiga and in Ykkönen, the second-tier. AC Oulu have grabbed 11 points and currently occupy the 4th place in the standings. They have played seven games in this league so far – Honka have played eight matches. Oulu have been a little better than I estimated in my in-depth preseason analysis. I have, as a result, raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Especially their offense has looked good in most games. They have netted the ball nine times so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is even higher 10.67. Their defense has not been as good though – they have conceded 10 goals but their number of expected goals is lower- 7.98 to be precise. 

 AC Oulu have, in fact, played just one bad game this season – this match probably affects the odds even in today's game.. This match was played on the 29th of April at home against a very good team, SJK, 0-3. In fact, SJK are the only team in this league that have not lost a single game so far! Yes, it was an abysmal performance, no denying that! However, SJK's excellent coach, J. Gomez, tactically humiliated the hosts' R. Duarte completely in this match. SJK, rather untypically for them – played very straightforward football and put massive pressure on AC Oulu's defense! I want to emphasize that SJK played above their level in this match. Yes, they fully deserved the three points but the final score still does flatter them. AC Oulu were heavily criticized, even mocked, for this match in the Finnish football media. Even so, they beat Ilves 2-1 away from home in the next game after a fine performance priced around 3.70 to win on the betting market. Indeed, they recorded many more goal attempts, shots on and off goal. Furthermore, AC Oulu generated 1.84 in xG - Ilves managed just 0.56. Before this they faced HJK in Helsinki and it was a 1-1 draw as massive underdogs, HJK priced around 1.45-1.50 to win by the bookies. Even so, AC Oulu had 52% ball possession and many more scoring attempts (11-5) and shots off goal. HJK did record more shots on goal (3-2) and overall the game was a surprisingly balanced one! The xG numbers were almost somewhat balanced. In their most recent match they got their ”revenge” and crushed SJK in a Finnish Cup game away from 4-1 as clear underdogs according to the bookies. It was a great performance and proves that a smart bettor should never react too much on one game.

Before the cup win over SJK, on the 13th of this month, they were strong and beat VPS 2-1 at home after a strong performance. Yes, they were the favorites in this game but I want to mention that VPS are a better team than the standings reflect. AC Oulu had 57% ball possession and recorded many more scoring attempts (11-5), shots on and off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. 13 days ago they were defeated at home by KuPs 0-2 but the match was a little more balanced than the final score suggests. The ball possession was 47-53% and KuPS only had three shots on goal. Yes, Kups did deserve the win though and played very well in this game – especially defensively.. Oulu can improve significantly from this performance. KuPS were solid favorites on the betting market in this game. Today +0.5 goals handicap on the hosts is the smart choice as they are narrow favorites in this game. They have many young very talented players, for example the 18-year-old midfielder Otso Liimatta. Pretty big European clubs are watching him closely and he will most probably not play in Veikkausliiga next season..

Honka started the season well but have not impressed lately. They lost their star striker, Agon Sadiku, right before the season and have not been able to replace him.. They have scored just fibe goals so far but have also had a solid defense and have allowed just six goals. They have won just one of their most recent five games. This win came on the 5th of this month at home as big favorites against FC Lahti who are a pretty weak team by pure class. Several Lahti players were hit by the Corona virus before the game and the loss was expected. I do not give this match very much emphasis. They have failed to score in their latest two games - both at home – and lost to KuPS in their most recent game. It was a lame performance and Honka only recorded one shot on goal. Before this their performance was even worse against a mediocre team, Haka, and they lost 0-2 despite being priced around 1.80 by the bookies to win. Honka had 61% ball possession but Haka recorded more shots on goal. Honka can improve but the bookies seem to give their potential way too much emphasis. Last season they finished 3rd and even had a chance to win the championship! They have a clear edge over the hosts defensively but in terms of offensive quality Oulu are better. As a whole they are marginally the stronger team with today's expected lineups. The hosts have a very good situation in terms of missing players – only Tony Miettinen ja Alexander Forsström are out today.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

奥卢VS香港

北京时间周一晚间，AC奥卢将在拉廷球场迎来来自埃斯波市的洪卡，与芬兰队展开一场激战。这是我祖国足球的第一梯队，但与欧洲标准相比，水平相对较低。然而，在过去10年左右的时间里，它有所改善。作为一名芬兰职业足球投注者，我对这个联赛非常了解——另一方面，博彩公司似乎经常在维克考斯利加和Ykkönen(二级联赛)的赔率上犯错。AC奥卢拿到了11分，目前在积分榜上排名第四。到目前为止，他们已经在联赛中打了7场比赛，而洪卡只打了8场。奥卢比我在季前赛的深入分析中估计的要好一些。因此，我提高了他们的能量等级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级。特别是他们的进攻在大多数比赛中看起来都很好。到目前为止，他们有9次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)更高，为10.67个。他们的防守就没那么好了——他们丢了10个球，但他们的预期进球数更低——准确地说是7.98个。

事实上，AC奥卢本赛季只打了一场糟糕的比赛——这场比赛可能会影响到今天的赔率。这场比赛是4月29日在主场对阵一支非常优秀的球队，SJK, 0-3。事实上，SJK是目前为止唯一一支没有输过一场比赛的球队!是的，这是一场糟糕透顶的表演，不可否认!然而，在这场比赛中，SJK优秀的教练J. Gomez在战术上彻底羞辱了东道主的R. Duarte。SJK，对他们来说很不寻常——踢得很直截了当，给奥卢的防守施加了巨大的压力!我想强调的是，SJK在这场比赛中的表现超出了他们的水平。是的，他们完全配得上这三分，但最后的比分仍然让他们感到高兴。AC奥卢在这场比赛中受到了芬兰足球媒体的严厉批评，甚至嘲笑。尽管如此，在接下来的比赛中，他们在客场2-1击败了伊尔维斯，在博彩市场上，他们以3.7英镑的价格赢得了比赛。事实上，他们记录了更多的进球尝试，射门和射门。此外，AC奥卢在xG中获得1.84分，而伊尔维斯仅获得0.56分。在此之前，他们在赫尔辛基面对的是HJK，双方以1比1战平，被认为是一大劣势，HJK的胜率在1.45-1.50左右。即便如此，AC奥卢拥有52%的控球率，更多的得分尝试(11比5)和射门次数。hkk确实有更多的射门(3-2)，总的来说，比赛是一个令人惊讶的平衡!xG的数量几乎是平衡的。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们完成了他们的“复仇”，并在芬兰杯的一场比赛中以4比1的比分击败了SJK，根据博彩公司的说法，他们显然处于劣势。这是一个伟大的表现，证明了一个聪明的投注者不应该在一场比赛中反应过度。

在本月13日战胜SJK之前，他们表现强劲，在主场2-1击败了VPS。是的，他们在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的，但我想说的是，VPS是一支比排名所反映的更好的球队。AC奥卢有57%的控球率，并且记录了更多的得分尝试(11胜5负)，射门和射门，进攻和危险进攻。13天前，他们在主场以0-2被卡普斯击败，但比赛比最终比分显示的更加平衡。控球率为47比53%，而卡普斯只有3次射门。是的，卡普斯确实配得上这场胜利，他在这场比赛中打得很好，尤其是在防守端。奥卢可以从这个性能显著提高。在这场比赛中，up是博彩市场上最受欢迎的赌注。今天+0.5个进球对东道主来说是一个明智的选择，因为他们在这场比赛中有微弱的优势。他们有很多非常有天赋的年轻球员，比如18岁的中场奥特索·利马塔。很多欧洲豪门俱乐部都在密切关注他，下赛季他很可能不会在维克考斯利加踢球。

本赛季开局不错，但最近表现不佳。他们在赛季开始前失去了他们的明星前锋阿贡·萨迪库，而且一直没有人能取代他。到目前为止，他们只进了5个球，但防守也很稳固，只丢了6个球。在最近的五场比赛中，他们只赢了一场。这场胜利是在本月5日主场对阵拉赫蒂的比赛中取得的，从纯粹的实力来看，拉赫蒂是一支相当弱的球队。几名拉赫蒂球员在比赛前感染了冠状病毒，输掉比赛是预料之中的。我不太重视这场比赛。他们在最近的两场比赛中都没有进球——都是在主场——并且在最近的一场比赛中输给了对手。这是一场蹩脚的比赛，洪卡只射门一次。

在此之前，他们在对阵一支平庸的球队哈卡队时表现更差，尽管博彩公司的胜率在1.8英镑左右，但他们还是以0比2输掉了比赛。宏卡有61%的控球率，但哈卡的射门次数更多。洪卡可以提高，但博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力。上个赛季他们获得了第三名，甚至有机会赢得冠军!他们在防守上比东道主有明显的优势，但在进攻质量方面奥卢更好。作为一个整体，他们在今天的预期阵容中略显强大。东道主在缺阵球员方面的情况非常好，今天只有米耶蒂宁和亚历山大Forsström缺阵。

05月22日奥卢 VS 洪卡比赛分析直播