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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5/5 latest WON in LaLiga! 西甲 塞维利亚VS贝蒂斯

2023-05-21

比赛分析

西甲

已完赛

星期一2023-05-22 03:00

解读理由

Sevilla vs Real Betis


Sevilla and Real Betis lock horns in this Spanish LaLiga round 35 battle at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world and we can expect an intense, high-level and pretty entertaining battle here. More importantly, my fans and I have achieved excellent results betting on this league and we have yet another awesome betting opportunity here! The stakes are here and both teams should be motivated. Both teams have four more matches left to play this season, An important thing to remember when betting on the last round of LaLiga is that If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. I expect Betis to be a little more motivated here.. Let's take a look at the standings to better understand this rationale. The teams that finish in the top-4 will make it to the UEFA Champions League Group stage for next season. Real Sociedad are the team currently in 4th place with 62 points to their account. Betis have grabbed 55 points so their chances of toppling Real Sociedad and Villareal are, of course, slim. The realistic goal for Betis is to finish 5th or 6th which would mean that they would qualify for the UEFA Europa League group stage next season. To achieve this goal they will probably still need points as Athletic Bilbao, currently in 7th place, seem to be winning their game - they lead 2-1 at the time of writing this preview. With a win they would have 50 points in the bank but even a point would be very valuable for them. I expect them to be pretty defensive here. Furthermore, I see this match as slightly more low-scoring than the betting market does. Girona have taken 48 points so far and Osasuna have grabbed 47 points. Sevilla, too, have 47 points. However, their chances to take 6th place – or even 7th place that would bring them a place in the UEFA Conference League are small. I also want to mention that the Conference League would not be particularly motivating for a big club like Sevilla. 

Sevilla's number of expected points (xPTS) is only 42.87 and they are in 10th place. They managed to beat an Italian club, Juventus on Thursday(Spain time) 2-1 after a fierce and exhausting battle. The score was 1-1 after the 90 minutes of play. During the 120 minutes of play Sevilla did record mpre scoring chances and shots on goal. Juventus, however, generated more in expected goals (xG). It seems that the biggest bookies that offer the largest betting limits have reacted too much to this great win! Indeed, these normally pretty sharp bookies have made a mistake here offering Sevilla odds of around 2.40 to beat Betis.. Their season has been a disappointment as a whole . Last season they were good and earned a place in the Champions League Group stage this season. However, the results there were very lame last autumn and Sevilla did not qualify for the Play Offs.. Sevilla being much worse than last season was not a major surprise as they lost some key defensive players. Their first half of the season was a catastrophe and they were one of the worst teams in LaLiga! Before the Juventus match they beat a struggling Valladolid 3-0 away from home. They deserved the three points but the final score is still misleading! The hosts had more shots on and off goal as well as ball possession and goal attempts – 28-17. Sevilla will have only two full days to prepare for the match against strong Betis and this is not optimal, especially after 120 minutes. I expect their main focus for the rest of the season to be the Europa League Final. Betis should be slim favorites in this clash! Betis would have earned many more goals in expected goals than thay have scored in reality and should score at least once here!



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塞维利亚vs皇家贝蒂斯


北京时间周一凌晨,塞维利亚和皇家贝蒂斯将在Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán球场展开西甲联赛第35轮激战。这是世界上第二好的联赛,我们可以期待一场激烈,高水平和非常有趣的战斗。更重要的是,我和我的球迷在这个联赛的投注中取得了优异的成绩,我们在这里又有了一个很棒的投注机会!赌注就在这里,两支球队都应该受到激励。这两支球队本赛季都还有四场比赛要打。在赌西甲最后一轮时,重要的一点是要记住,如果比赛结束时积分相等,那么正面交锋将是决胜局。我希望贝蒂斯在这里更有动力。让我们看一下排名,以便更好地理解这个基本原理。进入前四的球队将进入下赛季的欧洲冠军联赛小组赛阶段。皇家社会目前以62分排名第四。贝蒂斯已经拿到55分,所以他们击败皇家社会和比利亚雷亚尔的机会当然很小。贝蒂斯的现实目标是获得第五或第六名,这意味着他们将有资格参加下赛季的欧联杯小组赛。为了达到这个目标,他们可能仍然需要积分,因为目前排名第7的毕尔巴鄂竞技似乎正在赢得他们的比赛——他们在撰写这篇预告时以2-1领先。如果赢了比赛,他们就会有50分的存款,但即使是一分对他们来说也很有价值。我估计他们会很有戒心。此外,我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分要低一些。赫罗纳目前已经拿到了48分,奥萨苏纳拿到了47分。塞维利亚也得到了47分。然而,他们获得第6名的机会,甚至是第7名的机会都很小,这将使他们在欧洲联盟联赛中获得一席之地。我还想提一下,对于塞维利亚这样的大俱乐部来说,联盟联赛并不是特别有动力。

塞维利亚的预期积分(xPTS)只有42.87分,排在第10位。西班牙时间14日,经过激烈而艰苦的战斗,他们以2比1击败了意大利球队尤文图斯。经过90分钟的比赛,比分是1比1。在120分钟的比赛中,塞维利亚创造了令人印象深刻的进球机会和射门机会。然而,尤文图斯创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。看来,提供最大投注限制的最大博彩公司对这场伟大的胜利反应过度!事实上,这些通常相当精明的博彩公司在这里犯了一个错误:塞维利亚击败贝蒂斯的赔率约为2.40。他们这个赛季总体上令人失望。上赛季他们表现很好,本赛季他们在欧冠小组赛中获得了一席之地。然而,去年秋天的结果非常糟糕,塞维利亚没有进入附加赛。塞维利亚的表现比上赛季差很多,这并不是什么大意外,因为他们失去了一些重要的防守球员。他们的前半个赛季是一场灾难,他们是西甲最差的球队之一!在与尤文图斯的比赛之前,他们客场3-0击败了苦苦挣扎的巴利亚多利德。他们理应得到三分,但最后的比分仍然误导人!主队的射门次数、控球次数和进球次数都比对手多——28比17。塞维利亚将只有整整两天的时间来准备与强大的贝蒂斯的比赛,这并不是最理想的,尤其是在120分钟之后。我希望他们在本赛季剩下的时间里把重点放在欧联杯决赛上。贝蒂斯在这场比赛中应该是微弱的优势!贝蒂斯本可以在预期进球中获得比实际进球更多的进球,他们应该在这里至少进一次球!

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