Arges VS Petrolul Ploiesti

Arges and Petrolul lock horns in this Romanian Liga 1 Relegation Group round 9 battle at Stadionul Nicolae Dobrin in Pitesti Saturday night Beijing time. Both teams have big stakes here and I expect a physical,  balanced battle. When the teams last met Petrolul took a 1-0 win at this same stadium. The ball possession was 50-50% but the visitors recorded more goal attempts (12-10) Many goals to be scored could be a surprise here and I see this game as more low-scoring than the bookies do. A crucial fact to take into consideration when analyzing the last rounds of play is that if points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. My fans and I have won a whopping nine picks in row betting on Liga 1 which is of mediocre level by European standards. I am positive that we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here! I have also written a long and comprehensive, in-depth analysis and posted a pick on two other Liga 1 games that start at the same time.. Petrolul currently occupy the 2nd place in the Relegation Group standings where a total of 10 clubs play. The points calculation system in the group is somewhat confusing so let's first take a quick look at the regular season standings to best understand the teams' long-term results and pure class. 30 rounds were played in the regular seaso and the visitors finished in 8th place with 36 points in their pocket. They had a score difference of 28:44. The hosts, on the other hand, were somewhat disappointing and finished up in 14th place. Furthermore, Arges' goal difference was much weaker than that of Petrolul. Arges netted the ball just 31times and conceded 41 goals. The clubs that finish in first and second place in the Relegation Group will still have a chance to qualify for the UEFA Conference League next season. This would be important for Pterolul who are not among the biggest by financial resources or most successful teams historically in Romanian football.. They have 34 points to their account but have been unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved 35.42points. Voluntari, currently in 2nd place in the group, are just one point behind the visitors. Universitatea Craiova, the current group leaders, have 35 points to their account.

Petrolul have scored nine goals in this group but their number of expected goals (xG) is a little higher - 10.45. The visitors have conceded six goals which is marginally more than they should have allowed in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA). This number is 6.45.. Petrolul's offense has looked much stronger than that of Arges in most games this season. Indeed, the hosts have scored just seven goals in eight group matches. They, too, would have deserved more in terms of xG though – 9.02 to be precise. In terms of defensive quality the visitors have a much bigger edge over the hosts than in terms of offensive class. Arges have allowed 11 goals but their number of xGA is lower though – 10.02 .Yes, Arges would have deserved 25.03 points in terms of xPTS. They should have the players for much better performances than we have seen so far this season. However, I do not trust their coach..  Their structure - both defensive and offensively - has not convinced me at all this season. Furthermore, some players sometimes look a bit lazy on the pitch.. This is not promising at all ahead of a massive game against a strong opponent.. The betting market seems to give the hosts' potential and number of xPTS too much emphasis here.. Their odds have been dropping on Friday and are now way too low! The teams that finish in 15th and 16th place will be relegated to Liga 2 for next season. The hosts currently occupy the 15th place in the Relegation Group table. The teams that finish 13th and 14th play will still have an opportunity to ”save themselves” from this horrible fate at the end of the season.. In theory they do have a chance to topple a few teams, but in reality they are fighting with Chindia Targoviste – who currently have 22 points in the pocket..

The biggest, quite often relatively smart bookmakers that offer the biggest betting limits see Arges as surprisingly favorites here – offering them odds of around just around 1.90 to take all three points at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time.. Yes, the hosts should be a little more motivated than Petrolul here. The will to avoid relegation is a huge factor in the final couple of rounds of play in almost any football league! Even so, the bookmakers give this factor way too much emphasis in this math! Arges do not have that great fans by Romanian standards. Moreover, their fans have been very frustrated this season.. Arges have won just two of their latest nine games at their stadium. Yes, the home advantage is still there but I do not see Arges as the favorites here. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis, the game is a 50-50% game without an actual favorite.. Indeed, the +0.5 goals handicap on Petrolul is a great betting option here as even a draw would be enough for my fans and me to win – again! Both teams have been in mediocre form lately winning two of their and losing two of their most recent games. Petrolul were very unlucky to lose at home to Hermannstadt in their most recent game 0-1. The hosts were clear underdogs in this game – priced around 3.00 to win by the bookies. Yet another match where the bookmakers underestimated Petrolul. Indeed, the host had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (11-3), shots on and off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks – 68-41. Arges, on the other hand, looked motivated and fought hard in their latest game but lost 1-2 away from home to U. Craiova who recorded 62% ball possession and many more shots on goal as well as scoring attempts.

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

大型石油公司与石油公司

北京时间周六晚，罗马尼亚甲级联赛降级组第9轮的比赛将在皮特斯蒂的尼古拉多布林球场进行。两支球队在这里都有很大的赌注，我期待一场身体对抗，平衡的战斗。两队上次在同一球场相遇时，汽油队以1比0获胜。控球率是50%，但客队的进球次数更多(12比10)。很多进球可能会让人惊讶，我认为这场比赛比博彩公司认为的要少。在分析最后几轮比赛时需要考虑的一个关键事实是，如果在比赛结束时得分相等，那么正面交锋将是决胜局。我和我的球迷已经连续赢了9次意甲联赛的赌注，以欧洲的标准来看，这是一个平庸的水平。我确信我们在这里还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会!我还写了一篇长篇、全面、深入的分析，并挑选了另外两场同时开始的西甲比赛。汽油队目前在保级组排名第二，共有10家俱乐部参加。小组的积分计算系统有些混乱，所以让我们先快速看一下常规赛积分榜，以最好地了解球队的长期成绩和纯粹的等级。在常规赛进行了30轮比赛后，客队以36分的成绩排名第8。他们的比分差是28:44。另一方面，东道主的表现有些令人失望，仅排在第14位。此外，阿格斯队的净胜球也明显弱于petrol队。阿格斯只打进31球，丢了41球。在保级组中排名第一和第二的俱乐部仍有机会晋级下赛季的欧洲联盟联赛。这对Pterolul来说很重要，他们既不是罗马尼亚足球历史上财力最雄厚的球队，也不是最成功的球队。他们有34分，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面运气不佳。他们应该得到35.42分。目前在小组中排名第二的自愿队仅落后客队一分。克拉约瓦大学(Universitatea Craiova)是目前小组的领头羊，他们得到了35分。

在这个小组中，汽油队打进了9球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)略高，为10.45。客队已经丢了6个球，这比他们应该丢的期望进球(xGA)稍微多一些。这个数字是6.45…在本赛季的大多数比赛中，汽油队的进攻看起来比阿热斯强得多。事实上，东道主在8场小组赛中只进了7球。他们也应该得到更高的xG，准确地说是9.02。客队在防守方面比主队在进攻方面有更大的优势。阿热斯丢了11个球，但是他们的xGA得分更低——10.02。是的，阿热斯应该得到25.03分。他们应该拥有比我们本赛季迄今为止看到的表现更好的球员。然而，我不相信他们的教练…他们的结构——无论是防守还是进攻——这个赛季都没有让我信服。此外，有些球员有时在球场上看起来有点懒。在面对强大对手的大型比赛之前，这一点都不乐观。博彩市场似乎在这里过于强调东道主的潜力和xPTS的数量。他们的赔率在周五一直在下降，现在太低了!排名第15名和第16名的球队下赛季将被降级到乙级联赛。东道主目前在保级组排名第15位。排在第13位和第14位的球队在赛季结束时仍然有机会“拯救自己”，避免这种可怕的命运。理论上他们确实有机会击败几支球队，但实际上他们是在和目前已经拿到22分的中国塔戈维斯特队作战。

最大的，通常是相对聪明的博彩公司提供最大的投注限制，在这里看到阿格斯是令人惊讶的热门-在北京时间周五晚上写这篇预告时，他们提供的赔率约为1.90左右。是的，东道主应该比美国石油公司更积极一点。在几乎所有足球联赛的最后几轮比赛中，保级的意愿都是一个巨大的因素!即便如此，博彩公司在这个数学问题上还是太强调这个因素了!按照罗马尼亚的标准，阿尔格斯没有那么多粉丝。此外，他们的球迷本赛季一直很沮丧。

阿尔热斯在他们的球场最近九场比赛中只赢了两场。是的，主场优势仍然存在，但我不认为阿尔热斯是这里的热门。根据我复杂而深入的分析，这款游戏是一款50%的游戏，没有真正的最爱。事实上，在petrol上+0.5的进球障碍是一个很好的投注选择，因为即使平局也足以让我和我的球迷再次获胜!两支球队最近的状态都很一般，两胜两负。在最近的一场比赛中，汽油队非常不幸地在主场0-1输给了赫尔曼施塔特队。东道主在这场比赛中明显处于劣势——博彩公司开出的赔率约为3.00。又一场博彩公司低估了油价的比赛。事实上，东道主拥有60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(11胜3负)，射门和射门，进攻和危险进攻——68胜41负。另一方面，阿尔热斯在最近一场比赛中看起来很有动力，也很努力，但在客场1-2不敌控球率高达62%的克拉约瓦，后者的射门次数和射门次数要多得多。

05月20日阿格斯 VS 佩特罗鲁比赛分析直播