Chindia Targoviste VS FC Voluntari

Chindia Targoviste host Voluntari for this Romanian Liga 1 Relegation Group round 9 battle at Stadionul Eugen Popescu Saturday night Beijing time. Both teams have massive stakes here and I expect a fierce, physical battle – quite possibly with big emotions. Several bookings - or even a red card would certainly not be a surprise. An important fact to remember when analyzing the last rounds of play is that if points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. My fans and I have won a stunning nine picks in row betting on this league of mediocre level by European standards. I am convinced that we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! I have also analysed and posted a pick on two other Liga 1 games. Voluntari currently occupy the 3rd place in the Relegation Group standings where a total of 10 clubs compete. The points calculation system in the group is a little confusing so let's first take a quick look at the regular season standings to best understand the teams' class and results.. 30 rounds were played and the visitors finished in 10th place with 40 points in their pocket. They had a score difference of 28:32. hosts, on the other hand, were somewhat disappointing and ended up in 12th place. Furthermore, Chindia Targovitse's goal difference was much worse than Voluntari's. They netted the ball just 32 times and allowed 41 goals. The clubs that finish in first and second place in the Relegation Group will still have a chance to qualify for the UEFA Conference League next season. This would mean a lot for Voluntari who are not among the biggest or most successful teams in Romanian football..They have 33 points to their account but have been slightly unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved 35.45 points. Petrolul, currently in 2nd place in the group, are just one point away. Universitatea Craiova, the current group leaders have 35 points in their pocket.

The visitors have scored 15 goals in this group but their number of expected goals (xG) is a little lower 14.32. However, the 15 goals is clearly the biggest number in this group. Indeed, U. Craiova (1st place) have scored 12 goals. The visitors have conceded nine goals which is more than they should have allowed in terms of expected goals allowed (xGA). This number is 7.98. Voluntari's offense is massively stronger than that of the Chindia Targoviste! Indeed, the hosts have scored five goals in eight matches They, too, would have deserved more in terms of xG though – 6.98 to be precise. In terms of defensive quality the visitors have a little smaller edge over the hosts than in terms of offensive class. They have allowed nine goals but their number of xGA is just 7.99. The hosts have allowed 10 goals in this group. They would have deserved 23.09 points in terms of xPTS. Yes, they should have the players for significantly better performances than we have seen so far this season. However, they just do not play that well as a team and players have often looked frustrated - especially in their latest three games.The bookies clearly give the hosts potential too much emphasis here.. I do not think that Chindia Targoviste will be able to significantly improve during the remainder of the season. They are in a desperate struggle to avoid relegation to Liga 2. The teams that finish in 15th and 16th place are relegated. The hosts currently occupy the 14th place in the Relegation Group table. The teams that finish 13th and 14th play will still have an opportunity to ”save themselves” at the end of the season.. Yes, mathematically they do have a chance to topple FC Botosani (28 points) and UTA Arad (14th with 25 points). Botosani is the worst placed team in ”safety”  - in 12th place at the moment. However, in reality toppling both teams seems extremely improbable and the actual fight is with FC Arges who are in 9th place with 21 points,

The biggest, quite often relatively sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as clear favorites here – offering them odds of around just around 2.00-2.10 to take all three points. Yes, it is true that the hosts are probably a little more motivated than Voluntari here. The urge to avoid relegation is a massive factor in the final couple of rounds of play in almost any football league. Even so, the bookies give this factor way too much emphasis in this game! UTA Arad do not have that loud fans by Romanian standards. Surely the home advantage is still there but I see them only as slim favorites in this match. The +0.5 goals handicap on Voluntari is a very good betting option here! They have won just one of their latest six games at Stadionul Eugen Popescu . We must not forget that Voluntari have not suffered a defeat in any of their latest 12 matches – winning three of the six games! Moreover, they have now won three games in a row! In their most recent match they beat motivated Botosani 2-0 at home. Yes, the final score does flatter them a bit but they deserved to win – as solid favorites according to the betting market. Indeed, the visitors had 56% ball possession and did record more scoring attempts but I liked the way Voluntari defended and did not allow Botosani any shots on target! Voluntari, on the other hand, recorded nine! Before this they were not at their best offensively but beat the rock-bottom team, Mioveni, 1-0 at home. Mioveni recorded just four scoring attempts – the hosts created 10. Furthermore, the visitors failed to record any shots on goal. Voluntari have clearly improved defensively in their most recent games.

Before the two victorious games mentioned above Voluntari took a fine win on the road 3-2 over U. Cluj as clear underdogs – priced around 3.60-3.90 to win on the betting market. However, I want to mention that the hosts did receive a red card in the first half which of course affected the game. Even so, Voluntari looked dangerous offensively in this game recording 16 scoring attempts. They should have defended a little more carefully though and should not have allowed the hosts two score twice. Indeed, U. Cluj had just four scoring chances and two shots on target!  The hosts, on the other hand, have been poor lately and have lost three games in a row -  and five of their latest six matches! They have netted the ball just once in their latest three games. In their most recent game they did fight well away from home but U. Cluj were clearly the better team and won 2-0. The visitors did have some chances to score but still managed just two shots on goal. U. Cluj recorded five and also had more goal attempts. Before this they played a balanced match at home as solid favorites according to the bookies at home but lost to Petrolul 1-2. They looked quite frustrated and anxious on the pitch at times in this game.. The motivation is obviously huge - but so is the pressure..

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Chindia Targoviste VS FC Voluntari

北京时间周六晚，罗马尼亚甲级联赛降级组第9轮的比赛将在波佩斯库球场进行。两支球队在这里都有很大的利害关系，我预计会有一场激烈的身体对抗，很可能会有很大的情绪。几张黄牌，甚至一张红牌都不会让人感到意外。在分析最后几轮比赛时要记住的一个重要事实是，如果在比赛结束时得分相等，那么正面交锋将是决胜局。我和我的球迷已经连续赢得了惊人的九次选秀权，以欧洲的标准来看，这是一个中等水平的联赛。我相信我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我也对另外两场西甲联赛进行了分析和评论。目前，在共有10家俱乐部参加的保级组积分榜上，自愿队排名第三。小组的积分计算系统有点混乱，所以让我们先快速看一下常规赛积分榜，以最好地了解球队的级别和结果。在30轮比赛中，客队以第10名的成绩获得了40分。他们的比分差是28:32。另一方面，东道主的表现有些令人失望，最终排在第12位。此外，Chindia Targovitse的净胜球比voltari差得多。他们只射门32次，丢了41个球。在保级组中排名第一和第二的俱乐部仍有机会晋级下赛季的欧洲联盟联赛。这对志愿军团来说意义重大，虽然他们不是罗马尼亚足坛最伟大或最成功的球队，但他们有33分，但在预期积分(xPTS)方面有点不走运。他们应该得到35.45分。目前在小组中排名第二的汽油队只差一分。克拉约瓦大学，目前小组第一，他们已经拿到了35分。

客队在这一组打进了15球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)略低，为14.32。然而，这15个目标显然是这一组中最大的数字。事实上，排名第一的克拉约瓦已经进了12个球。客队已经丢了9个球，这比他们预期丢的球要多。这个数字是7.98。志愿军的进攻比中印塔戈维斯特强大得多!事实上，东道主在8场比赛中打进5球，他们也应该得到更多的xG，准确地说是6.98。客队在防守方面比主队在进攻方面的优势要小一些。他们丢了9个球，但是他们的射门数字只有7.99。东道主在这个小组中丢了10个球。他们理应得到23.09分的积分。是的，他们应该拥有比我们本赛季迄今为止看到的表现更好的球员。然而，他们作为一个团队踢得并不好，球员们经常看起来很沮丧——尤其是在最近的三场比赛中。博彩公司显然在这里过分强调东道主的潜力。我不认为Chindia Targoviste在本赛季剩下的时间里会有明显的进步。他们正在为避免降级到乙级而拼命挣扎。排在第15名和第16名的球队将降级。东道主目前在保级组排名第14位。排在第13位和第14位的球队在赛季结束时仍然有机会“拯救自己”。是的，从数学上讲，他们确实有机会击败波托萨尼(28分)和阿拉德(第14名，25分)。Botosani是“安全”方面排名最差的球队，目前排名第12位。然而，在现实中，击败这两支球队似乎是极不可能的，真正的战斗是与以21分排名第9的FC Arges。

最大的，通常是相对敏锐的博彩公司，接受客户最大的赌注，认为东道主在这里是明显的热门-提供大约2.00-2.10的赔率来获得所有三分。是的，这是真的，东道主可能比这里的志愿者更有动力。在几乎所有足球联赛的最后几轮比赛中，保级的冲动都是一个重要因素。即便如此，博彩公司在这场比赛中还是太强调这个因素了!按照罗马尼亚的标准，UTA Arad没有那么大声的球迷。当然，主场优势仍然存在，但我认为他们在这场比赛中只是微弱的优势。+0.5的进球障碍在这里是一个非常好的投注选择!他们最近在欧根波普球场的六场比赛中只赢了一场

escu。我们不能忘记，志愿军在最近的12场比赛中没有输过一场，在6场比赛中赢了3场!而且，他们现在已经连赢三场了!在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场以2比0击败了博托萨尼。是的，最后的比分确实让他们有点高兴，但他们应该获胜——根据博彩市场，他们是最受欢迎的球队。事实上，客队有56%的控球率，并且记录了更多的得分尝试，但我喜欢沃尔塔里的防守方式，没有让博托萨尼射正!另一方面，“志愿者”记录了9个!在此之前，他们的进攻并没有达到最佳状态，但在主场以1比0击败了排名垫底的米奥韦尼队。米奥韦尼只进球4次，而东道主创造了10次。此外，客队没有任何射门得分。在最近的比赛中，志愿军的防守有了明显的提高。

在上面提到的两场胜利比赛之前，voltari在客场以3-2击败U. Cluj作为明显的劣势赢得了一场漂亮的胜利-在博彩市场上的价格约为3.60-3.90。然而，我想提到的是，主队在上半场确实收到了一张红牌，这当然影响了比赛。尽管如此，在这场比赛中，沃尔塔里在进攻端看起来很危险，他有16次得分尝试。他们本应该更小心地防守，不应该让主队连进两球。事实上，克鲁日只有4次得分机会和2次射正!另一方面，东道主最近表现不佳，连输三场，最近六场比赛输了五场!在最近的三场比赛中，他们只进了一次球。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场打得很好，但克鲁日显然是一支更好的球队，他们以2比0获胜。客队确实有一些得分的机会，但仍然只有两脚射门。克鲁日有5次进球，而且射门次数更多。在此之前，他们在主场打了一场平衡的比赛，根据国内博彩公司的说法，他们是坚实的热门，但以1比2输给了石油公司。在这场比赛中，他们有时在球场上看起来很沮丧和焦虑。动机显然是巨大的，但压力也是如此。

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