It makes no sense to see Mallorca favorite here.

Mallorca with 41 points is already out of relegation: they have 7 points advantage with 15 remaining to play. Maybe they’ll need 1 or 2 points more, but surely the safe zone will be around 40-41 points.

They are mentally thinking about the next season. In their recent games their level decreased a lot, missing a lot of concentration and showing lack of motivation. They are winless in the last 3 games.

Although it is at home where they show their best level, this is against offensive/strong teams, where they can make their plan of being defensive and jump on counters or long balls to Muriqi. But against Cadiz, who is also a defensive team, they won’t be able to make this plan.

Best CB Raillo is suspended.

On the other hand, for Cadiz this is a very important game. They are coming from a huge defeat 5:1 against Atletico, so surely will be very motivated here. Furthermore, in the previous game of Atletico - the victory 2:1 against Valencia - several players forced a yellow card to be suspended against Atletico and being available for the upcoming games, starting from this one. This is a clear signal that since 2 weeks ago, the team has been totally focused on this match and not the one against Atletico.

They have 35 points, just one above relegation. Their recent performances have been great, showing a really good level and competitive spirit. Is a team with a lot of experience in this situations, and they are managing it very well during the games. They know how to struggle and wait for their chance, and also know how to manage the last minutes of the games where the tension and nerves are huge.

In the last 22 games, they have lost only against top teams who are in Europe: Atletico Madrid, Athletic Bilbao, Barcelona, Sevilla, Real Madrid and two weeks ago an unlucky defeat 0:1 against Osasuna (who also made a great season playing the Spanish Cup final).

So guests will be much more motivated here, while for hosts a draw won’t be a bad result. The double chance is the right bet here.

在这里看到马略卡最受欢迎的人是没有道理的。

以41分的马洛卡已经脱离保级:他们在剩下15场比赛的情况下有7分的优势。也许他们还需要1到2分，但可以肯定的是，他们的安全区域将在40-41分左右。

他们在精神上考虑下个赛季。在最近的比赛中，他们的水平下降了很多，注意力不集中，表现出缺乏动力。他们最近三场比赛一胜未赢。

虽然是在主场，他们表现出最好的水平，但这是在面对进攻/强大的球队时，他们可以制定防守计划，跳起反击或长传给穆里奇。但是面对加的斯，这也是一支防守球队，他们将无法制定这个计划。

Best CB Raillo被停牌。

另一方面，对于加的斯来说，这是一场非常重要的比赛。他们刚刚以5:1大败马竞，所以在这里肯定会很有动力。此外，在上一场马竞2:1战胜瓦伦西亚的比赛中，几名球员被迫吃到黄牌停赛，从这场比赛开始，他们可以参加接下来的比赛。这是一个明确的信号，从两周前开始，球队已经完全专注于这场比赛，而不是对阵马竞的比赛。

他们有35分，只比保级高1分。他们最近的表现很好，表现出了很好的水平和竞争精神。这是一支在这种情况下有很多经验的球队，他们在比赛中处理得很好。他们知道如何奋斗和等待机会，也知道如何管理比赛的最后几分钟，那里的紧张和神经是巨大的。

在过去的22场比赛中，他们只输给了欧洲的顶级球队:马德里竞技、毕尔巴鄂竞技、巴塞罗那、塞维利亚、皇家马德里，以及两周前不幸以0:1输给奥萨苏纳(奥萨苏纳在西班牙杯决赛中也表现出色)。

因此，在这里，客人会更有动力，而对于东道主来说，平局也不会是一个坏结果。双倍的机会是正确的赌注。