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英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Big movement on market-good trend or no?

2021-04-01

比赛分析

澳超

已完赛

星期四2021-04-01 14:35

解读理由

In my opinion Western have good chances to play close match against Melbourne City today. I don't see Melbourne as a so big favorite of this match up. I believe Western +1hc or safer option +1.5 is good call here. I don't see Melbourne win with more than one goal margin.

I see very good value in these odds. Market was opened with odds on Melbourne win around 2.00. Odds slashed down to very low level and all value gone. I see decent value on opposite side. In history of matches between both teams we never saw such a low odds on Melbourne win.

Of course, Melbourne have special advantage because this is away match only on the paper for them. Match going to be played on their stadium, but this is nothing new for Western as they played home matches in current at three different venues.

So far both teams played each other 5 times. Melbourne record 5 wins, but mostly that were very close matches and only once Western failed to score a goal. Last match between both teams in January - Melbourne won at this stadium 2:1 by very late goal from McLaren. Western there wasn't worse team as they even finished with higher ball possession. I expecting similar scenario today.

Melbourne currently have the longest winning streak in club history. They won last 6 matches in a row, but they never won 7 matches in a row. I believe there is some kind of pressure on them to continue winning.

In previous season Mark Rudan made excellent job with Western as they finished in top 5. Now they started little bit worse, but there is still a lot of potential in that team and I believe players are very well prepared and really pumped for today's match. They played last match 10 days ago so freshness is there for sure. Western top striker and league legend said: ''These are the games every football player wants to play, where a team has this great momentum. We want to play against those teams, and we are ready.”

As well I kept in mind one fact - Melbourne City is the last team in whole league without a draw in league match. Maybe today is good moment for that?

I have feeling Melbourne is potential trap for bettors today. I'm more than happy to go against market and bet on underdogs with such high lines.


在我看来,西部人今天有很好的机会与墨尔本城进行一场实力接近的比赛。我不认为墨尔本在这场比赛有这么大的优势。西部联+ 1或更安全的选项+1.5是个不错的选择。我认为墨尔本城不会以超过一个球的优势获胜。

指数非常有价值。墨尔本获胜的赔率约为2.00。回报下降到非常低的水平,所有价值都消失了。我认为对手有不错的价值。在两队之间的比赛历史中,我们从未见过墨尔本城有如此低的回报。

当然,墨尔本有优势,但这对他们来说仅是纸面上的。比赛将在他们的体育场进行,但这对西部联来说并不新鲜,因为他们目前已经在三个不同的场地进行了主场比赛。

到目前为止,两支球队一共交手5次,墨尔本城取得了5场胜利,但大多数情况下都是非常接近的比赛,只有一次西部联未能取得进球。两队之间的最近一场比赛是在一月份-墨尔本凭借迈凯轮最后的进球中以2:1的赢得了比赛。西部联并不是弱队,他们甚至拥有更高的控球率。我预测今天也有类似的情况。

墨尔本城目前处在俱乐部历史上最长的连胜纪录,连续赢得了最近6场比赛,但他们从未连续赢得7场比赛。我相信他们继续连胜会有一定压力。

在上个赛季,马克·鲁丹(Mark Rudan)在带领西部联中取得了出色的成绩,进入了前5名。现在,他们的开局有些差,但是球队仍有很大的潜力,我相信球员们已经为今天的比赛做好了充分的准备。他们在10天前参加了最后一场比赛,因此肯定可以保证体能。西部联的顶尖前锋和联盟传奇人物说:“这是每个足球运动员都想参加的比赛,而一支球队拥有如此强大的动力。我们想和那些球队比赛,我们已经准备好了。”

我还记得一个事实-墨尔本城是平局最少的球队。今天也许是个好时机?

我认为墨尔本城今天可能成为投注者的潜在陷阱。我看好西部联最多输一个球。

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