Charlotte FC VS Orlando City

Charlotte host Orlando for this US Open Cup 1/16-finals battle at Bank of America Stadium Wednesday morning Beijing time. The level of football in the MLS where both teams play has raised its level significantly during the past 10 or so years. Most teams play entertaining, aggressive and offensive football – at least in the regular season games. The same is expected here and we can expect good entertainment. This competition is not the main priority for either team so I expect neither team not to put too much emphasis on defending. The goal expectancy here is bigger than the bookies estimate. There are many experienced former star players from the biggest European leagues playing and many young and talented younger players mainly from South America playing in this league. In this cup there are teams from lower level competing as well. Charlotte have not started the season particularly well. They currently occupy the 12th place in the MLS Eastern Conference where a total of 15 teams play. They have grabbed just 12 points so far this season. Their defense has been very leaky! Indeed, they have allowed a whopping 21 goals in the MLS! This is clearly the biggest number in the conference. Atlanta United, the team with the second-highest number of goals conceded have allowed 18. Charlotte's defense lacks structure, individual skill and sometimes even motivation to defend 100%. Furthermore, their midfielders should be more active in defending. The Charlotte defenders have also made way too many silly mistakes. They sometimes give too risky passes near their own goal. I also do not trust their coach in improving the hosts' defense - at least not soon. Charlotte's number of expected points (xPTS) is just 10.12. Their offense is not great either – it lacks structure and creativity. They have scored a decent number of goals - 13 to be precise but their number of expected goals (xG) is just 10.45.

The biggest bookies that offer odds on this match see the hosts as solid favorites but based on my in-depth, strongly data-based analysis Orlando should be the narrow favorites here. They have won two of the latest three games between Charlotte and Orlando. Furthermore, their squad has a clearly bigger market value according to a famous and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. The visitors have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Yes, they have scored just 10 goals in the Eastern Conference but their number of xG is 13.12. They occupy the 9th place in the standings with 14 points. However, they would have deserved more! Their number of xPTS is 15.12. Their defense has been solid as they have allowed just 10 goals. Only two teams have conceded less goals, New England Revolution, the current leaders and Nashville, currently in third place. Orlando defends well as a team and in this area of the game they have the biggest edge over Charlotte! Charlotte beat New York City in their latest game 3-2 at home but did not deserve the win. The visitors recorded 2.21 in xG – Charlotte generated just 1.24. Orlando lost to CF Montreal 0-2 away from home three days ago but were unlucky in this game. They recorded more in xG 1.02-0.87.

夏洛特队VS奥兰多队

夏洛特队将于北京时间周三上午在美国银行体育场迎战奥兰多队，进行美国公开赛1/16决赛。两支球队都参加的美国职业足球大联盟的足球水平在过去10年左右的时间里显著提高了。大多数球队踢的是娱乐性强、进攻性强的足球——至少在常规赛中是这样。这里也一样，我们可以期待好的娱乐。这场比赛对两队来说都不是首要任务，所以我希望两队都不要太强调防守。这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要大。在这个联赛中，有许多来自欧洲顶级联赛的经验丰富的前明星球员，也有许多年轻而有才华的年轻球员，主要来自南美。在这个杯赛中，也有来自较低水平的球队参赛。夏洛特队本赛季开局不佳。他们目前在共有15支球队参加的美国职业足球大联盟东部联盟中排名第12位。本赛季到目前为止，他们只拿到了12分。他们的防守漏洞百出!事实上，他们在大联盟中丢了21个球!这显然是会议中最大的数字。丢球第二多的亚特兰大联队丢了18个球。夏洛特的防守缺乏结构，个人技术，有时甚至没有100%防守的动力。此外，他们的中场应该更积极地防守。夏洛特的后卫也犯了太多愚蠢的错误。他们有时在自己的球门附近传球过于冒险。我也不相信他们的教练会改善东道主的防守——至少不会很快。夏洛特的期望值(xPTS)只有10.12。他们的进攻也不是很好——缺乏结构和创造力。他们进了相当多的球——确切地说是13个，但他们的预期进球数(xG)只有10.45个。

最大的庄家在这场比赛的赔率上，我认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队，但根据我的深入分析，奥兰多应该是最受欢迎的球队。他们赢得了黄蜂和魔术最近三场比赛中的两场。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，他们的球队显然拥有更大的市场价值。客队在比赛的各个方面都比主队占优势。是的，他们在东部只进了10个球，但是他们的总进球数是13.12。他们以14分排名第九。然而，他们应该得到更多!它们的xPTS数是15.12。他们的防守很稳固，只丢了10个球。只有两支球队丢了更少的球，新英格兰革命队，目前的领头羊和纳什维尔队，目前排名第三。魔术队的防守很好，在这方面他们比夏洛特有最大的优势!夏洛特在最近的主场比赛中以3比2击败了纽约城，但他们本不应该赢得这场胜利。游客在xG的记录是2.21 -夏洛特只有1.24。奥兰多三天前客场0-2不敌蒙特利尔，但在这场比赛中运气不佳。在xG 1.02-0.87中记录更多。