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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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More PROFIT from Serie A?

2023-05-07

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-05-07 02:45

解读理由

Cremonese VS Spezia


Cremonese welcome Spezia for this Italian Serie A round 34 clash at Stadio Giovanni Zini in Cremona early Sunday morning Beijing time. This is the fourth-best league in the world and football fans and us football bettors can expect a relatively good-level and entertaining match here. However, by the high Serie A standards this battle between two lowly teams will probably be nothing special.. The stakes, especially for Spezia, are massive here! They currently occupy the 17th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. They are in an intense struggle with Lecce, Verona, and technically also Cremonese to avoid relegation to the Serie B. Empoli have grabbed 35 points so far, Lecce have taken 31 points so far, and both Spezia and Verona have 27 points in their pocket. Cremonese have 21 points to their account. All these teams mentioned above have played 33 matches. This means that they still have five matches left to play this season. The hosts' situation looks grim to say the least ahead of this game. They are currently in 19th place.

I do not really think that the Cremonese players are their coach, in all honesty, even believe in avoiding relegation.. I do not trust their overvalued coach as a leader – to fully motivate his squad here.. According to my sources their team spirit is also very far from optimal at the moment. Cremonese's fans have, fully understandably, been very disappointed in their team's performances this season. Yes, the home advantage is there but it is smaller than on average in this league. I do not expect the atmosphere to be very good at the stadium here.. They have not won any of their latest three games but still the biggest bookie see them as favorites here - offering the hosts odds of around 2.50 to win.. I cannot agree – the super-motivated Spezia are slim favorites in my opinion. Yes, their recent results are weak but they have been unlucky in many games lately. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 34.12. Taking a look at today's expected lineups and the expected goals and expected goals allowed numbers we can say that Spezia have a solid edge in all areas of the game!

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