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外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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Free bet for my followers

2023-05-06

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期日2023-05-07 00:30

解读理由

I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on Bayern win with at least two goals difference slashed down by 0.20 from opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Bayern have to win last 4 matches to make a title at the end of the season. No excuses. They won 6:1 in first match of the season between both teams so they have huge mental advantage. In last round 2:0 at home against Hertha and that was fully deserved result: expected goals scored for Bayern 2.71, for Hertha 0.11. Today we will see on the pitch Musiala - he is best scorer and also best assistant in team.

On the other hand Werder today will start without striker Fullkrug - it's huge blow as he is best scorer (16 goals) and best player (according to the ratings). That should have very bad impact on their performance in attack. Werder don't have any stability at the back as they conceded more than one goal in last 8 matches in a row. I see continuation of this bad steak also today.

I agree with market movement.

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