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HUGE WINNING STREAK! GREAT BET! 德甲 勒沃库森VS科隆

2023-05-05

比赛分析

解读理由

On Friday night, only 2 games in the German Bundesliga are going to happen. One of them will be in Leverkusen where the local Bayer is going to host Koln. After 30 games, Bayer has 14 wins, 6 draws, 10 losses, a total of 48 points and 6th place while Koln has 8 wins, 11 draws, 11 losses, a total of 35 points and 11th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Bayer is going to win.

The team is having a very good stretch lately. Bayer hasn't lost in the last 14 games with 10 wins and 4 draws. The team is playing very well at home where they have won in the last 4 Bundesliga games. During this streak, Bayer has beaten Hertha (18th best), Bayern (the best), Frankfurt (9th) and RB Leipzig (5th). Overall this season, Leverkusen has 8 wins and 2 draws in 15 home games, with a total of 32 goals scored and 19 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.76 goals at home (5th best) and concede 1.24 (4th best).

For 1 month, Koln had a stretch with 1 draw and 4 losses. In April, the team had 5 games and they had 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss. If we speak about their performance on the road, they have 2 wins in a row but both wins were against teams that are lower in the standings: Augsburg (13th) and Hoffenheim (14th). Prior to that, Koln had 2 losses and 1 draw and both losses were against teams that are higher in standings. Overall this season, Koln has 3 wins and 6 draws in 15 road games, with a total of 18 goals scored and 32 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.28 goals on the road and concede 1.72.

While 4 Leverkusen players won't be available because of injuries, Nadiem Amiri is going to be back as he was suspended in the previous match. Amiri is an important player because he has scored 4 goals this season which is the 4th best result for the team. Koln is going to miss 3 injured players and Eric Martel because he has too many yellow cards.

In the 1st meeting of the season, Leverkusen won 2:1. In the last 6 meetings overall, Leverkusen has 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. At this point of the season, this game is more important for Leverkusen because they are fighting for a spot in the TOP6. Wolfsburg is just 2 points behind them so Bayer can't afford to lose points. Koln is in the middle and they won't lose their place in Bundesliga while TOP6 is also out of reach. Expect Bayer to win this game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周五晚上,德甲只有两场比赛。其中一场将在勒沃库森举行,当地的拜耳将主场迎战科隆。30场比赛后,拜耳14胜6平10负,积48分,排名第6,科隆8胜11平11负,积35分,排名第11。在这场比赛中,我预测拜耳会赢。

这个队最近表现很好。在过去的14场比赛中,拜耳取得了10胜4平的战绩。这支球队在主场打得非常好,他们在过去的4场德甲比赛中都取得了胜利。在这一连胜中,拜耳击败了赫塔(排名第18)、拜仁(排名第一)、法兰克福(排名第9)和莱比锡RB(排名第5)。本赛季,勒沃库森在15场主场比赛中取得8胜2平的成绩,进32球失19球。按xG计算,预计球队将在主场打入1.76球(排名第五),失球1.24球(排名第四)。

1个月来,科隆连续1平4负。四月份,球队打了5场比赛,2胜2平1负。如果我们谈论他们在客场的表现,他们已经取得了2连胜,但两场胜利都是对阵排名较低的球队:奥格斯堡(第13位)和霍芬海姆(第14位)。在此之前,科隆的战绩是2负1平,而且两场比赛的对手都是排名靠前的球队。本赛季,科隆在15场客场比赛中取得了3胜6平的成绩,进18球失32球。平均每场比赛,球队预计将在客场打入1.28球,失球1.72球。

虽然有4名勒沃库森球员因伤无法上场,但在上一场比赛中被禁赛的纳迪姆·阿米里将会复出。阿米里是一名重要的球员,因为他本赛季打进了4球,这是球队第四好的成绩。科隆将缺席3名受伤球员和埃里克·马特尔,因为他的黄牌太多了。

在本赛季的第一次交锋中,勒沃库森2:1获胜。在过去的6次交锋中,勒沃库森取得了4胜1平1负的成绩。在这个赛季的这个时候,这场比赛对勒沃库森来说更重要,因为他们正在为进入前6而战。沃尔夫斯堡只落后他们2分,所以拜耳不能丢分。科隆处于中游,他们不会失去在德甲的位置,而TOP6也遥不可及。期待勒沃库森赢得这场比赛。

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