Toulouse vs Lens

Toulouse and Lens lock horns in this French Ligue 1 round 33 battle at Stadium Municipal early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the fifth-best league on the planet. Football enthusiasts and us football bettors can realistically expect a pretty high-level game between these pretty lowly teams. However, my fans and I have done very well betting on this league and we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here. The key factor analysing this game is motivation – and the lack of it! Lens gigantically motivated here! Indeed, they currently occupy the 3rd place in this league with a total of 20 clubs. Teams that reach top-2 earn place in the Champions League group stage for next season! Toulouse are currently in the 13th place and have nothing left to play for. They have just 41 points to their account. Lens, on the other hand, have 66 points in their pocket. Marseille, currently in 2nd place, have grabbed 70 points and have played one more game than Lens. Lens have a huge edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. Indeed, they netted the ball 54 times in this league so far this season. However, in terms of expected goals (xG) they have been unlucky. They would have deserved 59.76 goals. Toulouse have scored 48 goals. Lens' defense has been extremely solid this season! It has great structure, a lot of individual skill and the defenders make very few silly mistakes. They also defend very well as a team! Even the strikers sometimes take part in defending if needed – for example when they are defending a one-goal-lead late into the second half. They have allowed just 25 goals in Ligue 2 - this the lowest number in this league. Paris SG, who top the standings and Marseille have allowed many more goals – 34 and 32 respectively.

The biggest, pretty often relatively smart bookies that offer the biggest betting limits offer Lens odds of around 1.60-1.65 to take all three points. However, I would not be at all surprised if the odds on Lens were to go down before the kick off as smart money is expected to pile up on the visitors. Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis that has dozens of variables, the visitors have a 67% chance to win. They have been in great form lately winning five of their most recent matches. They were very strong in their most recent game and crushed a dangerous team, Monaco, currently in 4th place in the standings! 3-0 was the final score. Lens had 63% ball possession and recorded many more shots on goal (8-4), goal attempts (21-11) and attacks. Moreover, they generated a whopping 3.54 in expected goals - the visitors' number was 1.46. Before this they lost to Paris SG away from home as very clear underdigs on the betting market. Lens' Abdul Samed was sent off in the 19th minute when the score was still 0-0. Even so, the hosts only recorded one more goal attempt and both teams recorded seven scoring attempts. Lens generated much more in xG – 1.87-1.21! Toulouse have been in okay form lately – winning two games in the French Cup in April. In Ligue 2 they have won 2/5 of their latest games. Today Lens should, however, be too strong for Toulouse to handle!