Freiburg is slightly overpriced to win against FC Koln. There is still a slight chance for the away team to win the Bundesliga and they have been in better form than FC Koln. Backing Freiburg to win or draw (+0.5) is a very safe option with good value.

Matchday30 in the German Bundesliga sees Freiburg and FC Koln lock horns at the RheinEnergieStadion on Saturday.

Freiburg is currently fourth in the German Bundesliga with 53 points this season and they are just eight points away from the top. They can cut the gap between them and Borussia Dortmund to just five points if they win this game but they also have an eye on their champions league spots. Freiburg is facing a team that has struggled for consistency this season and they can get a win or draw against FC Koln.

The away team has avoided defeat 23 times in 29 league games this season which translates to almost 80% of their Bundesliga games. Freiburg come into this game on the back of a 4-0 win at home to Schalke 04 and that was their second win in a row after the 2-1 victory over Werder Bremen. The away team has scored nine goals in their last five games and have conceded only four times in that period.

FC Koln is 18 points behind Freiburg in the German Bundesliga and they sit outside the top half of the table. The hosts have won less than 30% of their league games this season with just eight wins in 29 matches, losing more than a third of their domestic games. FC Koln has won only three of their last ten games in all competitions and their last home game ended in a 1-1 draw against Mainz.

Freiburg has a superior record against the hosts, winning more than 60% of the total meetings while FC Koln has only six wins in 18 games against the visitors. Freiburg won the last match against FC Koln, beating them 2-0 in the reverse league game. A bet on the away team to avoid defeat (+0.5) in this game is the best available option to bet on.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

弗莱堡对科隆的报价有点过高。这支客场球队仍然有机会赢得德甲冠军，而且他们的状态比科隆队要好。支持弗赖堡赢或平(+0.5)是一个非常安全的选择，价值很高。

德甲第30场比赛将于周六在莱茵能源球场上演。

弗莱堡本赛季以53分排名德甲第四，距离榜首只有8分的差距。如果他们赢得这场比赛，他们可以将与多特蒙德之间的差距缩小到5分，但他们也在关注他们的冠军联赛席位。弗赖堡面对的是一支本赛季一直在努力保持稳定的球队，他们可能会在对阵科隆的比赛中取得一胜或一平。

这支客场球队在本赛季的29场联赛中23次避免了失败，这意味着他们在德甲联赛中的比赛几乎占了80%。弗赖堡在主场4-0战胜沙尔克04后迎来了这场比赛，这是他们在2-1战胜云达不莱梅后的第二场胜利。在过去的5场比赛中，客队进了9球，只丢了4球。

在德甲联赛中，科隆队落后弗赖堡18分，排在积分榜上半区之外。东道主本赛季的联赛胜率不到30%，29场比赛只赢了8场，国内比赛输掉了三分之一以上。科隆队在最近的10场比赛中只赢了3场，最后一场主场比赛以1比1战平美因茨。

弗赖堡在对阵主队的比赛中战绩优异，胜率超过60%，而科隆在对阵客队的18场比赛中仅取得6场胜利。弗赖堡在上一场对科隆队的比赛中以2:0战胜了他们。在这场比赛中赌客场球队能避免失败(+0.5)是最好的选择。