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外籍分析师
拉托维亚籍人,职业足球分析师
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RIVAL in Italy

2023-04-29

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-04-30 00:00

解读理由

As Roma host AC Milan at the Stadio Olimpico for a round of Serie A weekend matches on Saturday evening. They are both on identical points and goals difference, with both teams having 56 points and 14 goals difference. AC Milan are currently placed on the 4th position, while AS Roma are a place below them on the 5th position. AS Roma were beaten 3-1 by Atalanta in their last outing. This result allowed AC Milan to catch up with them after they beat Lecce 2-0 in their own outing. This match is going to be a closely fought one, and will tend to be cagey. A draw is the most likely outcome for me; but a win for AC Milan is also on the plate. These are my reasons for the prediction:

Firstly. AS Roma have been on a relatively good form recently. After their three consecutive wins had kept them ahead of the pack in the race for a top 4 finish, and their form had also got them progress to the semis in Europe, they went ahead to lose to Atalanta in their last outing to allow AC Milan into the contention. AS Roma have however won four of their last six games in all competitions. And, they have one of the best defensive lines in the league as they have conceded only the third fewest goals in the league. They have also got good home record as they have kept seven clean sheets in their last eight home games.

Secondly. AC Milan have also been on a good form recently. They have remained unbeaten in their last six games in all competitions; winning three and drawing three. After their impressive beginning to the season, they wobbled in the mid season when they went seven games without winning any; losing four of them, to lose ground in the title race. They have since made up for it by improving in their form, and recording some impressive wins, like the wins against the league leaders Napoli.

The difference makers would be each of the teams' attack. AS Roma's attack are beset with injuries or poor form. This is not the case for AC Milan, as Leao has picked form at the right moment. He is on his best league scoring form, and scored the only two goals of the match against Lecce. The teams are almost evenly matched in every other area. It is on this note that I am giving a win or a draw to AC Milan in this encounter.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

罗马将于周六晚上在奥林匹克球场主场迎战AC米兰,进行一轮意甲周末比赛。两队积分和净胜球相同,两队都有56分和14个净胜球。AC米兰目前排名第四,而罗马比他们低一个名次,排名第五。罗马在上一场比赛中被亚特兰大1 - 3击败。这个结果让AC米兰在主场2-0击败莱切后追上了他们。这场比赛将会是一场势均力敌的比赛,而且会很谨慎。对我来说,平局是最有可能的结果;但是AC米兰的胜利也在考虑之中。以下是我的预测理由:

首先。罗马最近的状态相对不错。他们的三连胜让他们在争夺前四的比赛中遥遥领先,他们的状态也让他们进入了欧洲半决赛,但他们在最后一场比赛中输给了亚特兰大,让AC米兰进入了争夺。罗马在最近的6场比赛中赢了4场。而且,他们拥有联盟中最好的防线之一,他们丢的球在联盟中排名第三。他们的主场战绩也很好,他们在最近的8场主场比赛中保持了7场不失球。

其次。AC米兰最近的状态也不错。他们在各项赛事的最近6场比赛中保持不败;三胜三平。在他们令人印象深刻的赛季开始之后,他们在赛季中期摇摇欲坠,他们七场比赛都没有获胜;失去了其中的四个,在冠军争夺战中失去了优势。从那以后,他们的状态得到了改善,并取得了一些令人印象深刻的胜利,比如战胜联赛领头羊那不勒斯。

决定胜负的是两队的进攻。罗马的进攻被伤病和糟糕的状态所困扰。AC米兰的情况就不一样了,莱奥在合适的时机恢复了状态。他正处于最佳的联赛进球状态,在对阵莱切的比赛中打入了仅有的两球。两队在其他各方面几乎势均力敌。正是在这一点上,我给出了AC米兰在这场比赛中取胜或平局的答案。

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